Yeovil Town vs Morecambe Prediction

Yeovil Town

Morecambe
📍 Huish Park Stadium, Yeovil
🗓️ Saturday, 21 Mar 2026 at 15:00
Prediction Summary
Predicted Score
1 - 2
Match Odds (1X2)
Home: 27.0%
Draw: 36.0%
Away: 37.0%
Both Teams to Score
Yes
59.0% confidence
💰 Recommended Bets(2)
btts — yes@ 3.8
EV: 124.0%
Both teams have high BTTS rates recently (Yeovil 2/5, Morecambe 3/5), both defences are leaky (Yeovil 2.0 conceded/game last 5, Morecambe 1.6), and Morecambe's attack is in strong form (2.6 scored/game last 5). The odds present a large value edge.
over_under_2_5 — over@ 3.8
EV: 117.0%
Morecambe matches see high goal totals (66% over 2.5 for the season, 4/5 last 5 matches over 2.5), Yeovil's defence is poor (2.0 conceded/game last 5), and both teams are fighting relegation, so expect open play. Odds offer significant value.
Match Analysis
This is a crucial relegation battle between Yeovil Town and Morecambe, both in poor league positions and desperate for points. Yeovil's recent form is mixed, with defensive frailties (2.0 conceded per game last 5) and only one clean sheet in that span. Morecambe, despite their low league position, have found attacking form, scoring 2.6 goals per game in their last five and recording two big away wins. However, their defence is among the league's worst, conceding 2.05 per game this season. Both teams' recent matches have been high-scoring, and the H2H history also features several goal-fests. Expect an open, nervy contest with goals likely at both ends.
Key Factors
- →Morecambe have scored 13 goals in their last 5 matches (2.6 per game), Yeovil only 6 (1.2 per game)
- →Both teams have poor defensive records: Yeovil 2.0 conceded/game (last 5), Morecambe 1.6
- →Morecambe's away games average 3.8 goals per game this season
- →Yeovil's home record is weak (7W 4D 8L, 22:28 goals), Morecambe's away is similar (4W 5D 10L, 30:42 goals)
- →Head-to-heads often feature goals (last 5: 0-0, 3-2, 1-2, 4-3, 2-2)
- →No significant injuries reported for either side
- →Both teams have high over 2.5 goal % (Yeovil 47%, Morecambe 66%)
Risk Notes
- ⚠️No shots, corners, or possession data for recent matches; set piece and tempo estimates are less precise
- ⚠️Lineups not available at time of analysis; late injuries or rotations could impact predictions
- ⚠️Both teams are inconsistent, especially defensively, increasing variance in correct score and goal lines
This analysis is for informational purposes only and does not constitute financial advice. Betting involves risk — always gamble responsibly.