Yeovil Town vs Scunthorpe Prediction
National League · England
Yeovil Town
Scunthorpe
📍 Huish Park Stadium, Yeovil
🗓️ Saturday, 7 Mar 2026 at 15:00
Prediction Summary
Predicted Score
1 - 2
Match Odds (1X2)
Home: 17.0%
Draw: 25.0%
Away: 58.0%
Both Teams to Score
No
52.0% confidence
💰 Recommended Bets(3)
over_under_2_5 — over@ 4.33
EV: 125.0%
Both teams have high recent BTTS and over 2.5 rates (Yeovil 45%, Scunthorpe 61%), both have defensive issues (last 5: 2.2 and 3.2 goals conceded per game), and the odds are much higher than model probability.
btts — yes@ 4.33
EV: 78.0%
4 of last 5 for both teams have seen BTTS. Both sides have failed to keep a clean sheet in the last 5. Odds offer significant value over model probability.
1x2 — away@ 1.4
EV: -2.0%
Scunthorpe are 6th, Yeovil 18th, and away side have much better season and away record. However, odds are short and value is limited.
Match Analysis
Scunthorpe travel to Yeovil as strong favourites based on league position, away record, and attacking output. Both teams have struggled defensively in recent weeks, with high goals conceded and frequent BTTS. Yeovil's home form is inconsistent but they are capable of scoring, while Scunthorpe's away attack is strong but their defence is leaky. The match is likely to see goals, with Scunthorpe expected to edge it, but Yeovil have a chance to get on the scoresheet.
Key Factors
- →Scunthorpe 6th in table, Yeovil 18th; large gap in points and goal difference.
- →Scunthorpe away: 7W 6D 4L (29F 27A), Yeovil home: 6W 4D 7L (20F 25A).
- →Both teams have not kept a clean sheet in their last 5 matches.
- →Yeovil last 5: 1.4 scored, 2.2 conceded per game; Scunthorpe last 5: 1.6 scored, 3.2 conceded.
- →Season over 2.5 rates: Yeovil 45%, Scunthorpe 61%.
- →Head-to-head: 3 draws in last 5, but Scunthorpe won last meeting 1-0.
- →No major injuries reported for either side.
Risk Notes
- ⚠️No detailed shots, possession, or set piece data for recent matches.
- ⚠️Recent form for both teams is inconsistent; both have defensive issues.
- ⚠️Market odds suggest a very low-scoring game, but model expects more goals.
- ⚠️H2H sample size is small and spread over many years/leagues.
This analysis is for informational purposes only and does not constitute financial advice. Betting involves risk — always gamble responsibly.