Yeovil Town vs Tamworth Prediction

Yeovil Town

Tamworth
π Huish Park, Yeovil
ποΈ Tuesday, 3 Mar 2026 at 19:45
Prediction Summary
Predicted Score
1 - 2
Match Odds (1X2)
Home: 26.0%
Draw: 33.0%
Away: 41.0%
Both Teams to Score
Yes
54.0% confidence
π° Recommended Bets(2)
btts β yes@ 4.2
EV: 126.8%
Model probability for BTTS (yes) is 54%, while the odds imply only 23.8%. Both teams have seen BTTS in 4 of their last 5, and neither keeps clean sheets consistently. Value is very strong.
1x2 β draw@ 3.2
EV: 2.6%
Draw probability is slightly higher than implied by odds. Both teams are inconsistent, and H2H history includes a draw. Low scoring and mid-table context support a close game.
Match Analysis
Tamworth travel to Yeovil Town in a clash between two mid-to-lower table sides, both showing recent attacking intent but defensive frailties. Tamworth come in with better form (WWDLD), scoring 2 goals per game in their last 5 and winning their last two. Yeovil have struggled, losing three of their last five and conceding 2.2 per game. Both teams' matches have seen frequent BTTS and over 2.5 goals. Tamworth's away defence is leaky (33 conceded in 16), but their attack is currently sharper than Yeovil's. H2H is balanced, but Tamworth won the reverse fixture. Expect a competitive match, with Tamworth slight favourites due to form and attacking edge.
Key Factors
- βTamworth's last 5: 2.0 goals scored, 1.4 conceded per game; Yeovil: 1.4 scored, 2.2 conceded.
- βYeovil home record: 6W 4D 7L, 20:25 GF:GA; Tamworth away: 5W 4D 7L, 20:33 GF:GA.
- βBoth teams have 4/5 BTTS in recent games.
- βTamworth have more points, better form, and a higher scoring rate.
- βNeither side keeps clean sheets reliably (Yeovil 21%, Tamworth 15%).
- βNo injuries reported for either side.
Risk Notes
- β οΈNo recent match stats (shots, possession, etc) availableβreduces precision.
- β οΈSample size for H2H is small (3 matches).
- β οΈNo confirmed lineups; late changes could impact predictions.
- β οΈDiscipline/corners data not available for recent matches.
This analysis is for informational purposes only and does not constitute financial advice. Betting involves risk β always gamble responsibly.