Millwall vs Derby Result

ChampionshipChampionship · England
Millwall

Millwall

1 - 0

Full Time

Derby

Derby

📍 The Den, London

🗓️ Tuesday, 10 Mar 2026 at 19:45

🔥 AI Prediction Report

CERTIFIED W

Predicted

2 - 1

Actual

1 - 0

Result
BTTS
O/U 2.5
Score

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over_under_2_5over@ 4.5
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£-200

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Millwall Edge Derby in Tight Contest at The Den

Millwall secured a narrow but deserved 1-0 victory over Derby County at The Den in a fiercely contested Championship clash. The decisive moment arrived just before the break, with Mihailo Ivanović finding the net in the 43rd minute to give the hosts a lead they would not relinquish. Despite a fairly even share of possession—Millwall with 51% and Derby with 49%—the home side looked the more purposeful in attack, managing 15 shots to Derby's 14, and crucially, registering four efforts on target to the visitors' solitary attempt. Derby struggled to break down a resolute Millwall backline and were limited to just one shot on target throughout the 90 minutes. The visitors' frustration was evident, as they picked up three yellow cards in a match that saw them commit nearly double the fouls of their hosts. Millwall's disciplined defensive display and greater attacking intent ultimately proved the difference, as they held on for a valuable three points.

Millwall

Millwall

7.5/10

Millwall put in a solid all-round display, balancing defensive discipline with attacking ambition. They edged possession and created the better chances, particularly in the first half, and were rewarded when Mihailo Ivanović struck just before half-time. The Lions managed the game well after taking the lead, limiting Derby to just one shot on target and maintaining composure under pressure. Their midfield, marshaled by Barry Bannan and Billy Mitchell, provided both energy and control, while the back four stood firm when called upon.

Key Players

Mihailo Ivanović: Scored the match-winning goal in the 43rd minute.
Barry Bannan: Controlled the midfield tempo and linked play effectively.
Jake Cooper: Led the defensive line with authority, helping secure a clean sheet.

Strengths

Disciplined defensive structureMidfield control and ball retentionEffective chance creation

Weaknesses

Conversion rate—only 4 of 15 shots were on targetCould have killed the game off with a second goal
Derby

Derby

6/10

Derby County battled hard but ultimately lacked the cutting edge required to break down Millwall’s defence. Despite a balanced share of possession and a respectable 14 shots, they managed just one on target, reflecting their struggles in the final third. The Rams showed flashes of quality in midfield, but their attacking quartet, including Ben Brereton Díaz and Patrick Agyemang, were largely kept at bay. Defensive lapses and a lack of composure in key moments, coupled with a mounting foul count and three yellow cards, hampered their efforts to mount a comeback.

Key Players

Lewis Travis: Battled in midfield, trying to disrupt Millwall's rhythm.
Matthew Clarke: Made several important interventions at the back.

Strengths

Midfield work rateDefensive resilience after conceding

Weaknesses

Lack of attacking threat—only 1 shot on targetDiscipline—committed 13 fouls and received 3 yellow cards

Key Moments

43' — Goal

Mihailo Ivanović scores to give Millwall the lead just before half-time.

Various' — Yellow Cards

Derby pick up three yellow cards as frustration grows in the second half.

Second Half' — Millwall Defensive Stand

Millwall repel Derby's late pressure, limiting them to just one shot on target.

Tactical Analysis

Millwall set up in a classic 4-4-2, focusing on compactness and quick transitions through the midfield. Their wide players, Femi Azeez and Camiel Neghli, provided width and supported both attack and defence, while the central partnership of Bannan and Mitchell dictated the tempo. The front two pressed Derby's back line, forcing errors and creating openings. Derby, in contrast, deployed a 4-2-3-1, looking to control the midfield with Travis and Ozoh and utilize the creative talents of Szmodics and Brereton Díaz behind Agyemang. However, their build-up play was often stifled by Millwall's disciplined shape, and they struggled to create clear chances, resorting to shots from distance and set pieces that rarely troubled Patterson in goal. Substitutions and tactical tweaks from Derby in the second half aimed to inject more attacking impetus, but Millwall's defensive organization remained steadfast. The Lions' ability to absorb pressure and break quickly was key, while Derby's lack of width and penetration left them frustrated.

Turning Point

Ivanović's goal in the 43rd minute gave Millwall a crucial lead and shifted the momentum decisively in their favor.

Man of the Match

Mihailo Ivanović

His clinical finish just before half-time proved decisive in a tightly contested match.