1. FC Nürnberg vs FC Schalke 04 Predictions
2. Bundesliga · Germany
1. FC Nürnberg
AI Predicted Score
1 - 2
FC Schalke 04
Win Probability (1X2)
Best Value Pick
Over/Under 2.5: Over 2.5
@ 7(+27% edge)
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Expected goals · model says 0.80
Expected goals · model says 1.50
Over 2.5 Goals
40%
BTTS: Yes
43%
Likely Scores
0-1 · 1-1 · 0-2
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Powered by the same Poisson scoreline model behind the prediction. For fun and exploration — not betting advice.
1. FC Nürnberg vs FC Schalke 04 Prediction Confidence at a Glance
How strongly the model leans on each market.
Who do you think wins: 1. FC Nürnberg vs FC Schalke 04?
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Where the Model Sees Value: 1. FC Nürnberg vs FC Schalke 04(2)
Selections where the model's probability beats the bookmaker's implied probability. Expected value is computed from real consensus odds, not opinion.
Over/Under 2.5: Over 2.5@ 7
Model probability (0.41) for over 2.5 goals is much higher than the implied probability from odds (0.143), suggesting large value. Both teams have shown the ability to score, and Schalke's attack is strong, though the market expects a low-scoring match.
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Match Result: Draw@ 3.5
Draw has a slight value edge and Nürnberg are competitive at home. Schalke are favorites but Nürnberg's defensive improvement at home and Schalke's tendency to draw away make the draw a plausible outcome.
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More 2. Bundesliga Predictions
The Case For This 1. FC Nürnberg vs FC Schalke 04 Prediction
FC Schalke 04 travel to Nürnberg as league leaders, riding a five-game winning streak and boasting the best away defensive record in the division. Nürnberg are mid-table but solid at home, with a recent uptick in defensive solidity and only one loss in their last five. Schalke's attack has been firing (2.2 goals/game last 5), but Nürnberg have conceded less than a goal per game over the same span. Head-to-head favors Schalke, who have won 7 of the last 10 meetings, including the reverse fixture. Expect Schalke to control proceedings, but Nürnberg's home resilience could keep things tight, with a narrow away win or a draw most likely.
Key Factors at a Glance
Recent Form
- →H2H: Schalke have won 7 of last 10, including the reverse fixture 1-0.
Defence
- →Schalke on a 5-game win streak, top of the league, highest away clean sheet rate (40.6%).
- →Nürnberg strong at home (8W/4D/4L), conceding just over 1 goal per home match.
- →Schalke average 2.2 goals scored and 0.8 conceded in last 5, Nürnberg 1.2 scored, 0.8 conceded.
Injuries & Team News
- →No significant injuries for either side.
Match Context
- →Bookmakers heavily favor under 2.5 goals, but model sees higher goal potential.
🚩 1. FC Nürnberg vs FC Schalke 04 Corners Prediction
low confidenceOur corners model projects roughly 5.7 corners for 1. FC Nürnberg and 3.8 for FC Schalke 04, for an expected total of 9.5. That makes the model lean Under 9.5 corners (53%). Over 8.5: 60% · Over 10.5: 35%.
How 1. FC Nürnberg and FC Schalke 04 Are Arriving
Form, fitness and who's likely to start.
1. FC Nürnberg vs FC Schalke 04 Goalscorer Form
Goals scored in last 5 matches across all competitions. Rate = goals ÷ 5 games. XI badge shows player is in the expected starting lineup.
1. FC Nürnberglast 5 matchesNo scorer data yet — available after predictions are regenerated.
FC Schalke 04last 5 matchesNo scorer data yet — available after predictions are regenerated.
Scorer data populates once predictions are regenerated with the updated pipeline.
1. FC Nürnberg vs FC Schalke 04 — Last 10 Matches
Strengths
- +5/5 wins in last 5 — excellent form
- +Prolific attack — 2.2 goals/game (last 5)
- +High-volume attack — 16 shots/game
What History Says: 1. FC Nürnberg vs FC Schalke 04
1. FC Nürnberg vs FC Schalke 04 Head-to-Head History
Last 10 meetings between these sides
2
1. FC Nürnberg wins
1
Draws
7
FC Schalke 04 wins
Where the Model Disagrees with the Odds: 1. FC Nürnberg vs FC Schalke 04
Odds from Betfair. Positive edge = our model gives a higher probability than the odds imply. EV = expected value per £1 staked.
1X2
Over/Under 2.5
Both Teams Score
Best Value Markets Found by the Model
EV per £1 staked. Positive EV means this bet has mathematical edge over the long run. Past model accuracy is tracked on our predictions tracker.
Edge and EV are derived from model probabilities only and do not constitute financial advice. Odds fluctuate — always verify current prices with your bookmaker.
Things to Watch: 1. FC Nürnberg vs FC Schalke 04
- ⚠️Market expects very low goals (under 2.5 at 1.07), but model sees value on over due to attacking form and H2H history.
- ⚠️Nürnberg's home form is solid, but Schalke's away strength and momentum are significant.
- ⚠️No injury news, but lineups not confirmed for this future fixture.
- ⚠️Schalke may rotate if title is already secured, introducing late uncertainty.
This analysis is for informational purposes only and does not constitute financial advice. Betting involves risk — always gamble responsibly.
How This Prediction Was Made
The numbers on this page come from a structured statistical pack for 1. FC Nürnberg vs FC Schalke 04: recent results and scoring data for both sides, home/away splits, the head-to-head record, current league standings, known injuries and live bookmaker odds, all sourced from the API-Football data feed.
An AI model analyses that pack and produces the probabilities, predicted score and written analysis shown above. Nothing is edited by hand, and no information outside the data pack is used.
Last updated: 3 May 2026 (refreshed automatically as new team data arrives). Every prediction is scored against the real result once the match finishes — see the verified track record or read the full methodology. Football is inherently uncertain: treat this page as analysis, not advice.