Al-Ettifaq vs Al-Ittihad FC Predictions
Pro League · Saudi-Arabia
Al-Ettifaq
Full Time
1 - 3
AI predicted 1 - 1
Al-Ittihad FC
Win Probability (1X2)
Best Value Pick
Double Chance: Al-Ettifaq or Draw
Match Result
7.5/10Al-Ittihad Outclass Al-Ettifaq 3-1 in Dammam Showdown
Al-Ittihad FC delivered a commanding away performance to defeat Al-Ettifaq 3-1 at the Abdullah Al Dabil Stadium. The visitors struck early, with goals in the 3rd and 19th minutes putting them in control before Al-Ettifaq pulled one back midway through the first half. Despite the hosts' efforts, Al-Ittihad's clinical edge and defensive solidity proved decisive, capped by a late third goal to seal the result. Al-Ettifaq enjoyed a slight edge in possession (52%) and registered 14 shots, but struggled to convert their opportunities, finding the target just three times. Al-Ittihad, meanwhile, were ruthless in front of goal, firing 9 of their 17 shots on target and making the most of their chances. The match was fiercely contested, with a total of 25 fouls and three yellow cards, but it was the visitors' attacking efficiency that ultimately made the difference.
😅 AI Prediction Report
CLOSE BUT NO CIGARPredicted
1 - 1
Actual
1 - 3
💰 Bet Results0/3 hit
Key Moments
3' — Goal
S. Bergwijn opens the scoring for Al-Ittihad with a well-taken finish.
19' — Goal
M. Diaby doubles Al-Ittihad's lead, punishing Al-Ettifaq's defensive lapse.
26' — Goal
M. Dembele pulls one back for Al-Ettifaq, giving the home fans hope.
79' — Goal
Al-Ittihad restore their two-goal cushion with a decisive third goal.
55' — Yellow Card
Fabinho (Al-Ittihad) booked for a tactical foul to break up a counter.
68' — Yellow Card
J. Hendry (Al-Ettifaq) shown yellow for dissent.
Al-Ettifaq
Al-Ettifaq showed flashes of quality, particularly in midfield where they edged possession and created several promising moves. Their 4-2-3-1 setup allowed for some fluid interplay, and they responded well to going two goals down by pulling one back in the 26th minute. However, their inability to convert pressure into goals proved costly, as they managed just three shots on target from 14 attempts. Defensively, they struggled to contain Al-Ittihad's front line, conceding early and late goals that bookended their efforts. Despite a spirited display, Al-Ettifaq lacked the cutting edge in the final third and were ultimately undone by lapses at the back and a lack of clinical finishing.
Key Players
Strengths
Weaknesses
Al-Ittihad FC
Al-Ittihad FC executed their game plan with precision, capitalizing on early chances to seize the initiative. Their 3-4-1-2 formation provided both defensive solidity and attacking width, as evidenced by their 17 shots, 9 of which were on target. The front three, supported by a dynamic midfield, consistently troubled the Al-Ettifaq backline. Even as the hosts rallied, Al-Ittihad maintained composure, absorbing pressure and striking decisively on the counter to restore their two-goal cushion late on. Defensively, they limited Al-Ettifaq to few clear sights of goal and were disciplined despite conceding 16 fouls and picking up two yellow cards. Their clinical finishing and tactical discipline were the hallmarks of a deserved victory.
Key Players
Strengths
Weaknesses
Tactical Analysis
Al-Ettifaq lined up in a 4-2-3-1, seeking control through midfield numbers and width from their full-backs. They enjoyed more possession but often found themselves vulnerable to Al-Ittihad's rapid transitions and incisive attacking play. Al-Ittihad's 3-4-1-2 provided defensive stability and allowed their wing-backs to push high, stretching Al-Ettifaq and creating overloads in wide areas. The visitors pressed aggressively early, forcing errors and capitalizing on loose passes to build their lead. As Al-Ettifaq pushed forward in search of an equalizer, Al-Ittihad remained compact and disciplined, springing forward with pace and precision. Set pieces were less of a factor, with Al-Ettifaq winning five corners but unable to make them count, while Al-Ittihad's single corner reflected their preference for open-play opportunities.
Turning Point
M. Diaby's goal in the 19th minute, which gave Al-Ittihad a commanding 2-0 lead and forced Al-Ettifaq to chase the game.
Man of the Match
S. Bergwijn
Set the tone with an early goal and was a constant threat, driving Al-Ittihad's attack.
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Expected goals · model says 1.30
Expected goals · model says 1.15
Over 2.5 Goals
44%
BTTS: Yes
50%
Likely Scores
1-1 · 1-0 · 0-1
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Powered by the same Poisson scoreline model behind the prediction. For fun and exploration — not betting advice.
Al-Ettifaq vs Al-Ittihad FC Prediction Confidence at a Glance
How strongly the model leans on each market.
Who do you think wins: Al-Ettifaq vs Al-Ittihad FC?
Cast your vote, then see how it stacks up against the model.
Where the Model Sees Value: Al-Ettifaq vs Al-Ittihad FC(3)
Selections where the model's probability beats the bookmaker's implied probability. Expected value is computed from real consensus odds, not opinion.
Correct Score: 1–1
Both teams are closely matched in form and league position, with recent defensive solidity and a high draw probability. The 1-1 scoreline aligns with their recent scoring and conceding rates.
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Double Chance: Al-Ettifaq or Draw
Al-Ettifaq are strong at home and have avoided defeat in most recent home games, while Al-Ittihad's away record is solid but not dominant. The model gives a high probability to the home team avoiding defeat.
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Over/Under 2.5: Under 2.5
Both teams' recent matches trend towards lower scores, and their defensive stats suggest a tight contest with limited big chances.
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The Case For This Al-Ettifaq vs Al-Ittihad FC Prediction
This fixture brings together two evenly matched sides, both sitting on 49 points and separated only by goal difference in the table. Al-Ettifaq have found some attacking form recently, but Al-Ittihad's defense has tightened up, especially away from home. With both teams showing similar season and recent form, a close, tactical encounter is expected, with neither side likely to take excessive risks.
Key Factors at a Glance
Recent Form
- →Both teams have identical points and similar form strings (Al-Ettifaq: WDWLL, Al-Ittihad: DWLLW).
Defence
- →Recent matches for both sides have been low scoring, with several clean sheets.
Injuries & Team News
- →No significant injuries reported for either team.
Match Context
- →Al-Ettifaq's home record (7W, 6D, 3L) is strong, while Al-Ittihad's away record (5W, 6D, 4L) is resilient.
- →Head-to-head history shows a tendency for away wins and draws.
🚩 Al-Ettifaq vs Al-Ittihad FC Corners Prediction
medium confidenceOur corners model projects roughly 4 corners for Al-Ettifaq and 5 for Al-Ittihad FC, for an expected total of 9. That makes the model lean Under 9.5 corners (59%). Over 8.5: 54% · Over 10.5: 29%.
How Al-Ettifaq and Al-Ittihad FC Are Arriving
Form, fitness and who's likely to start.
Al-Ettifaq vs Al-Ittihad FC Goalscorer Form
Goals scored in last 5 matches across all competitions. Rate = goals ÷ 5 games. XI badge shows player is in the expected starting lineup.
Al-Ettifaqlast 5 matchesOccasional threat
Al-Ittihad FClast 5 matchesRegular contributor
Regular contributor
Occasional threat
Al-Ettifaq come into this match with two wins and a draw in their last three, including a dominant 5-0 away win, but also suffered two defeats prior. Al-Ittihad have been inconsistent, with two wins, two losses, and a draw in their last five, but have shown defensive improvement with three clean sheets.
Al-Ettifaq vs Al-Ittihad FC — Last 10 Matches
Strengths
- +Solid recent form — 3+ wins in last 5
What History Says: Al-Ettifaq vs Al-Ittihad FC
The head-to-head record is competitive, with Al-Ittihad slightly ahead in wins, but both teams have managed to win away from home. Recent encounters have often been decided by narrow margins or ended in draws, with only one of the last five exceeding three goals.
Al-Ettifaq vs Al-Ittihad FC Head-to-Head History
Last 10 meetings between these sides
2
Al-Ettifaq wins
2
Draws
6
Al-Ittihad FC wins
Where the Model Disagrees with the Odds: Al-Ettifaq vs Al-Ittihad FC
Without current bookmaker odds, it is not possible to identify explicit value edges. However, the model suggests that the draw and under 2.5 goals may be undervalued in typical markets for this fixture, given both teams' defensive records and recent form.
Odds from Bet365. Positive edge = our model gives a higher probability than the odds imply. EV = expected value per £1 staked.
1X2
Over/Under 2.5
Both Teams Score
Best Value Markets Found by the Model
EV per £1 staked. Positive EV means this bet has mathematical edge over the long run. Past model accuracy is tracked on our predictions tracker.
Edge and EV are derived from model probabilities only and do not constitute financial advice. Odds fluctuate — always verify current prices with your bookmaker.
Things to Watch: Al-Ettifaq vs Al-Ittihad FC
- ⚠️No bookmaker odds available, so value and expected value cannot be calculated.
- ⚠️Some match statistics (shots, possession, etc.) are missing for several recent games.
- ⚠️Lineups for this match are not yet available, so late changes could affect predictions.
This analysis is for informational purposes only and does not constitute financial advice. Betting involves risk — always gamble responsibly.
How This Prediction Was Made
The numbers on this page come from a structured statistical pack for Al-Ettifaq vs Al-Ittihad FC: recent results and scoring data for both sides, home/away splits, the head-to-head record, current league standings, known injuries and live bookmaker odds, all sourced from the API-Football data feed.
An AI model analyses that pack and produces the probabilities, predicted score and written analysis shown above. Nothing is edited by hand, and no information outside the data pack is used.
Last updated: 10 May 2026 (refreshed automatically as new team data arrives). Every prediction is scored against the real result once the match finishes — see the verified track record or read the full methodology. Football is inherently uncertain: treat this page as analysis, not advice.