Al-Fayha vs Al-Ahli Jeddah Predictions
Pro League · Saudi-Arabia
Al-Fayha
Full Time
1 - 1
AI predicted 1 - 2
Al-Ahli Jeddah
Win Probability (1X2)
Best Value Pick
Match Result: Al-Ahli Jeddah Win
Match Result
7.1/10Al-Fayha Hold Al-Ahli Jeddah in Tense 1-1 Draw at Buraidah
Al-Fayha and Al-Ahli Jeddah shared the spoils in a tightly contested 1-1 draw at King Abdullah Sports City Stadium. The visitors struck first in the 36th minute, but Al-Fayha responded early in the second half to ensure both sides left with a point. Al-Ahli Jeddah controlled much of the possession (58%) and created more chances, but Al-Fayha's resilience and tactical discipline frustrated their more fancied opponents. Despite Al-Ahli's attacking intent and a flurry of late pressure, Al-Fayha's compact defensive shape and effective transitions proved enough to keep the score level. The match saw two yellow cards for the visitors, reflecting the intensity of their efforts to regain control after Al-Fayha's equalizer. Ultimately, neither side could find a decisive breakthrough, leaving the draw a fair reflection of the balance of play.
😅 AI Prediction Report
CLOSE BUT NO CIGARPredicted
1 - 2
Actual
1 - 1
💰 Bet Results1/3 hit
Key Moments
36' — Goal
Ivan Toney put Al-Ahli Jeddah ahead, finishing a well-worked move.
53' — Goal
Yassine Benzia equalized for Al-Fayha, capitalizing on a defensive lapse.
68' — Yellow Card
Al-Ahli Jeddah's Franck Kessié booked for a tactical foul to halt a counter.
82' — Yellow Card
Riyad Mahrez received a yellow for dissent as Al-Ahli pressed for a winner.
Al-Fayha
Al-Fayha approached the match with a pragmatic 4-2-3-1, focusing on defensive solidity and quick transitions. While they saw less of the ball (42% possession) and managed just 7 shots (3 on target), their discipline and organization limited Al-Ahli's clear-cut chances. The hosts responded well after falling behind, showing character to level early in the second half and defending resolutely thereafter. Key players in midfield and defense stepped up to blunt Al-Ahli's attacking threats, and the team maintained composure under sustained pressure, conceding only 4 shots on target. Their ability to capitalize on a key moment after the break was crucial in securing a valuable point.
Key Players
Strengths
Weaknesses
Al-Ahli Jeddah
Al-Ahli Jeddah set up in an attacking 4-3-3, seeking to dominate possession and push forward through their talented front line. They enjoyed the majority of the ball (58% possession), fired 11 shots (4 on target), and won five corners, but struggled to convert their superiority into goals. Their breakthrough in the 36th minute showcased their quality, but they were unable to build on their lead and were pegged back shortly after halftime. Despite two yellow cards reflecting their aggressive intent, Al-Ahli couldn't find a late winner. Their midfield controlled the tempo for long stretches, but a lack of clinical finishing and Al-Fayha's defensive discipline ultimately left them frustrated.
Key Players
Strengths
Weaknesses
Tactical Analysis
Al-Fayha's 4-2-3-1 provided a solid defensive base, with the double pivot shielding the back four and enabling quick transitions. Their wide midfielders tracked back diligently, limiting space for Al-Ahli's wingers. After conceding, Al-Fayha pushed their full-backs higher and increased pressing in midfield, leading to their equalizer. Al-Ahli Jeddah's 4-3-3 emphasized possession and width, with Mahrez and Galeno stretching play and Toney leading the line. Their midfield trio dictated tempo but struggled to break down Al-Fayha's compact block after taking the lead. Substitutions aimed to inject fresh legs and attacking impetus, but Al-Fayha's structure held firm.
Turning Point
Yassine Benzia's 53rd-minute equalizer shifted momentum and forced Al-Ahli Jeddah onto the front foot, ultimately ensuring Al-Fayha held on for a draw.
Man of the Match
Yassine Benzia
Scored the crucial equalizer and was instrumental in Al-Fayha's attacking play.
🎮 Prediction Playground
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Expected goals · model says 0.95
Expected goals · model says 1.75
Over 2.5 Goals
51%
BTTS: Yes
51%
Likely Scores
0-1 · 1-1 · 0-2
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Powered by the same Poisson scoreline model behind the prediction. For fun and exploration — not betting advice.
Al-Fayha vs Al-Ahli Jeddah Prediction Confidence at a Glance
How strongly the model leans on each market.
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Where the Model Sees Value: Al-Fayha vs Al-Ahli Jeddah(3)
Selections where the model's probability beats the bookmaker's implied probability. Expected value is computed from real consensus odds, not opinion.
Match Result: Al-Ahli Jeddah Win
Al-Ahli Jeddah have a strong away record (9W/2D/2L), much higher league position, and have dominated H2H (8 wins in last 10). Al-Fayha are in decent form but have struggled against top teams and have a negative goal difference.
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Over/Under 2.5: Over 2.5
Both teams average over 2 goals scored per game in their last 5, and 3 of last 5 H2H have seen at least 3 goals. Al-Fayha's matches go over 2.5 at 58% this season.
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BTTS: Yes
Both teams have scored in 3 of their last 5 matches; Al-Fayha have failed to score in none of their last 5. Al-Ahli's defense is strong, but Al-Fayha's recent attacking form at home suggests a goal is likely.
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More Pro League Predictions
The Case For This Al-Fayha vs Al-Ahli Jeddah Prediction
Al-Fayha host Al-Ahli Jeddah in a clash of mid-table security versus title-chasing ambition. Al-Ahli Jeddah come in as clear favorites, boasting a strong away record, superior squad quality, and a dominant head-to-head record. Al-Fayha are in good recent form, especially in attack, but their defense remains vulnerable. Expect a competitive match with Al-Ahli's class and motivation likely to edge a game with goals at both ends.
Key Factors at a Glance
Recent Form
- →Al-Ahli Jeddah have won 8 of the last 10 H2H meetings.
Attack
- →Both teams average over 2 goals scored per game in their last 5 matches.
Defence
- →Al-Fayha have scored in all of their last 5 matches but conceded in 3/5.
- →Al-Ahli Jeddah have the league's 2nd best defense (0.73 goals conceded/game).
Injuries & Team News
- →No significant injuries reported for either side.
Match Context
- →Al-Ahli Jeddah have the 3rd best away record in the league (9W/2D/2L, 19:7 GD).
- →Al-Fayha's home record is average (5W/5D/3L, 16:14 GD).
🚩 Al-Fayha vs Al-Ahli Jeddah Corners Prediction
medium confidenceOur corners model projects roughly 3.6 corners for Al-Fayha and 5.2 for Al-Ahli Jeddah, for an expected total of 8.8. That makes the model lean Under 9.5 corners (61%). Over 8.5: 52% · Over 10.5: 27%.
How Al-Fayha and Al-Ahli Jeddah Are Arriving
Form, fitness and who's likely to start.
Al-Fayha vs Al-Ahli Jeddah Goalscorer Form
Goals scored in last 5 matches across all competitions. Rate = goals ÷ 5 games. XI badge shows player is in the expected starting lineup.
Al-Fayhalast 5 matchesNo scorer data yet — available after predictions are regenerated.
Al-Ahli Jeddahlast 5 matchesNo scorer data yet — available after predictions are regenerated.
Scorer data populates once predictions are regenerated with the updated pipeline.
Al-Fayha vs Al-Ahli Jeddah — Last 10 Matches
Strengths
- +Solid recent form — 3+ wins in last 5
- +Prolific attack — 2.0 goals/game (last 5)
- +53.57% clean sheet rate this season
What History Says: Al-Fayha vs Al-Ahli Jeddah
Al-Fayha vs Al-Ahli Jeddah Head-to-Head History
Last 10 meetings between these sides
1
Al-Fayha wins
2
Draws
7
Al-Ahli Jeddah wins
Things to Watch: Al-Fayha vs Al-Ahli Jeddah
- ⚠️No bookmaker odds provided, so value edges cannot be calculated.
- ⚠️Some away team recent match stats (shots, possession, etc.) are missing.
- ⚠️Al-Fayha's recent form is improved, especially in attack, which could cause an upset.
- ⚠️Predictions are based strictly on available data; actual lineups may influence outcomes.
This analysis is for informational purposes only and does not constitute financial advice. Betting involves risk — always gamble responsibly.
How This Prediction Was Made
The numbers on this page come from a structured statistical pack for Al-Fayha vs Al-Ahli Jeddah: recent results and scoring data for both sides, home/away splits, the head-to-head record, current league standings, known injuries and live bookmaker odds, all sourced from the API-Football data feed.
An AI model analyses that pack and produces the probabilities, predicted score and written analysis shown above. Nothing is edited by hand, and no information outside the data pack is used.
Last updated: 3 April 2026 (refreshed automatically as new team data arrives). Every prediction is scored against the real result once the match finishes — see the verified track record or read the full methodology. Football is inherently uncertain: treat this page as analysis, not advice.