Al-Hilal Saudi FC vs Al-Ittihad FC Predictions
Pro League · Saudi-Arabia
Al-Hilal Saudi FC
Full Time
1 - 1
AI predicted 2 - 1
Al-Ittihad FC
Win Probability (1X2)
Best Value Pick
BTTS: Yes
@ 3.65(+22% edge)
Match Result
7.2/10Al-Hilal Held by Ten-Man Al-Ittihad in Riyadh Stalemate
Al-Hilal Saudi FC were forced to settle for a 1-1 draw against Al-Ittihad FC at Kingdom Arena, despite dominating possession and firing 21 shots to their opponents' 7. The hosts took an early lead in the 5th minute, but were pegged back by a resilient Al-Ittihad side who equalized shortly after the break. The visitors' task became even harder when they were reduced to ten men following a second-half red card, yet Al-Hilal could not capitalize on their numerical advantage. The match unfolded with Al-Hilal dictating the tempo, enjoying 62% of possession and creating numerous chances, but a combination of wasteful finishing and dogged Al-Ittihad defending kept the score level. Al-Ittihad, despite seeing less of the ball and being a man down for much of the second half, showed remarkable discipline to claim a valuable point on the road.
🔥 AI Prediction Report
CERTIFIED WPredicted
2 - 1
Actual
1 - 1
💰 Bet Results2/2 hit
Key Moments
5' — Goal
Karim Benzema gives Al-Hilal an early lead with a composed finish.
53' — Goal
Youssef En-Nesyri levels for Al-Ittihad with a well-taken strike.
65' — Red Card
Al-Ittihad reduced to ten men after a straight red card.
75' — Yellow Card
Al-Ittihad pick up a second yellow as the pressure mounts.
85' — Save
Rajković denies Malcom with a crucial stop to keep the scores level.
Al-Hilal Saudi FC
Al-Hilal started brightly, taking the lead in the 5th minute and controlling the majority of the match with 62% possession and 21 total shots, 10 of which were on target. Their midfield, anchored by Rúben Neves and Sergej Milinković-Savić, dictated play, while Salem Al-Dawsari and Malcom provided attacking impetus from wide areas. However, despite their dominance and a man advantage for a significant period, Al-Hilal struggled to break down a determined Al-Ittihad defense after the equalizer, lacking clinical edge in the final third. The inability to convert sustained pressure into a second goal ultimately cost them two points, as they were repeatedly frustrated by the visitors' compact defensive shape and some inspired goalkeeping.
Key Players
Strengths
Weaknesses
Al-Ittihad FC
Al-Ittihad showed impressive resilience, coming from behind to draw away against a strong Al-Hilal side. Despite having just 38% possession and only 7 shots (3 on target), they made the most of their opportunities, equalizing in the 53rd minute. The team was forced to dig deep after being reduced to ten men in the second half, but held their shape well and frustrated Al-Hilal with disciplined defending. Predrag Rajković was instrumental between the posts, making several key saves, while Fabinho and Danilo Pereira marshaled the defense effectively under sustained pressure. The visitors' ability to hold out for a point, despite adversity, was a testament to their organization and fighting spirit.
Key Players
Strengths
Weaknesses
Tactical Analysis
Al-Hilal lined up in a 4-1-4-1, using their midfield superiority to control possession and build attacks through the central and wide areas. The full-backs, Moteb Al-Harbi and Theo Hernández, provided width, while Benzema led the line supported by a fluid midfield quartet. After conceding the equalizer, Al-Hilal pushed more men forward, but struggled to break down a compact Al-Ittihad block, especially after the visitors went down to ten men. Al-Ittihad's 4-3-3 became a 4-4-1 after the red card, with the midfield dropping deeper and wide forwards tracking back. Their defensive organization, led by Fabinho and Danilo Pereira, was key to absorbing pressure, while Rajković's goalkeeping proved decisive. The visitors rarely threatened on the counter but were efficient when opportunities arose.
Turning Point
The red card to Al-Ittihad in the 65th minute, which forced them to defend deep and ultimately frustrated Al-Hilal's attack.
Man of the Match
Predrag Rajković
Produced a string of vital saves, especially in the closing stages, to preserve a hard-fought point for Al-Ittihad.
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Expected goals · model says 2.05
Expected goals · model says 1.05
Over 2.5 Goals
60%
BTTS: Yes
57%
Likely Scores
2-1 · 1-1 · 2-0
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Powered by the same Poisson scoreline model behind the prediction. For fun and exploration — not betting advice.
Al-Hilal Saudi FC vs Al-Ittihad FC Prediction Confidence at a Glance
How strongly the model leans on each market.
Who do you think wins: Al-Hilal Saudi FC vs Al-Ittihad FC?
Cast your vote, then see how it stacks up against the model.
Where the Model Sees Value: Al-Hilal Saudi FC vs Al-Ittihad FC(2)
Selections where the model's probability beats the bookmaker's implied probability. Expected value is computed from real consensus odds, not opinion.
BTTS: Yes@ 3.65
Model sees BTTS as close to a coin flip (49%), but odds imply just 27%. Both teams have attacking quality, and Al-Ittihad average 1.71 goals per game. Value is strong.
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Match Result: Draw@ 4.2
Draw probability is slightly higher than market implies. Al-Hilal have drawn 5/21 this season and 3 of last 5. Al-Ittihad have drawn 4/21. Worth small stake for value.
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More Pro League Predictions
The Case For This Al-Hilal Saudi FC vs Al-Ittihad FC Prediction
Al-Hilal Saudi FC come into this match as league leaders and heavy favorites, boasting an unbeaten season and strong home form (9W, 2D, 0L). Their defense has been particularly impressive, conceding just 8 goals at home and keeping 4 clean sheets in their last 5. Al-Ittihad FC, while 6th in the table, have shown attacking threat (2.4 goals avg in last 5) but have been inconsistent away (4W, 4D, 2L). Head-to-head is heavily in Al-Hilal's favor, especially at home, but Al-Ittihad's attack and recent form suggest they can compete. Expect Al-Hilal to control possession and create more chances, but Al-Ittihad have enough to potentially trouble the hosts' defense.
Key Factors at a Glance
Recent Form
- →Al-Hilal are unbeaten in the league (16W, 5D, 0L) and have the best home record.
Defence
- →Al-Hilal have 4 clean sheets in last 5, but failed to score in 2 of those.
- →Al-Ittihad's away defense is vulnerable (15 conceded in 10 away).
Injuries & Team News
- →No major injuries reported for either side.
Match Context
- →Al-Ittihad have scored in 4 of last 5 and average 2.4 goals in that span.
- →Head-to-head: Al-Hilal dominate recent meetings (8W in last 10).
🚩 Al-Hilal Saudi FC vs Al-Ittihad FC Corners Prediction
high confidenceOur corners model projects roughly 7.2 corners for Al-Hilal Saudi FC and 5 for Al-Ittihad FC, for an expected total of 12.2. That makes the model lean Over 9.5 corners (77%). Over 8.5: 86% · Over 10.5: 67%.
How Al-Hilal Saudi FC and Al-Ittihad FC Are Arriving
Form, fitness and who's likely to start.
Al-Hilal Saudi FC vs Al-Ittihad FC Goalscorer Form
Goals scored in last 5 matches across all competitions. Rate = goals ÷ 5 games. XI badge shows player is in the expected starting lineup.
Al-Hilal Saudi FClast 5 matchesNo scorer data yet — available after predictions are regenerated.
Al-Ittihad FClast 5 matchesNo scorer data yet — available after predictions are regenerated.
Scorer data populates once predictions are regenerated with the updated pipeline.
Al-Hilal Saudi FC vs Al-Ittihad FC — Last 10 Matches
Strengths
- +4/5 wins in last 5 — excellent form
- +Prolific attack — 2.8 goals/game (last 5)
- +Defensively solid — 0.4 conceded/game
- +4 clean sheets in last 5 matches
Concerns
- −Inconsistent — 3+ losses in last 5
What History Says: Al-Hilal Saudi FC vs Al-Ittihad FC
Al-Hilal Saudi FC vs Al-Ittihad FC Head-to-Head History
Last 10 meetings between these sides
7
Al-Hilal Saudi FC wins
2
Draws
1
Al-Ittihad FC wins
Things to Watch: Al-Hilal Saudi FC vs Al-Ittihad FC
- ⚠️Some recent match stats (shots, possession, etc.) missing for Al-Ittihad, increasing model uncertainty.
- ⚠️Al-Hilal's low BTTS rate in last 5 (1/5) tempers BTTS confidence, but value is strong.
- ⚠️Lineups not available at time of analysis.
- ⚠️Form swings and motivation factors (title race, top 6) could affect intensity.
This analysis is for informational purposes only and does not constitute financial advice. Betting involves risk — always gamble responsibly.
How This Prediction Was Made
The numbers on this page come from a structured statistical pack for Al-Hilal Saudi FC vs Al-Ittihad FC: recent results and scoring data for both sides, home/away splits, the head-to-head record, current league standings, known injuries and live bookmaker odds, all sourced from the API-Football data feed.
An AI model analyses that pack and produces the probabilities, predicted score and written analysis shown above. Nothing is edited by hand, and no information outside the data pack is used.
Last updated: 16 February 2026 (refreshed automatically as new team data arrives). Every prediction is scored against the real result once the match finishes — see the verified track record or read the full methodology. Football is inherently uncertain: treat this page as analysis, not advice.