Al Shabab vs Al-Fateh Predictions
Pro League · Saudi-Arabia
Al Shabab
Full Time
1 - 1
AI predicted 2 - 1
Al-Fateh
Win Probability (1X2)
Best Value Pick
Double Chance: Al Shabab or Draw
Match Result
6/10Stalemate in Riyadh: Al Shabab and Al-Fateh Battle to Goalless Draw
Al Shabab and Al-Fateh played out a tense 0-0 draw at the Al-Shabab Club Stadium in Riyadh, with both sides creating opportunities but ultimately failing to break the deadlock. The hosts dominated possession with 59% and registered 14 shots, 6 of which were on target, but found Al-Fateh's defense resolute throughout the 90 minutes. Al-Fateh, meanwhile, were dangerous on the counter and managed 13 shots of their own, though only 3 tested the goalkeeper. Despite the attacking intent from both teams, neither could find the clinical edge required. The match was evenly contested in midfield, with both teams earning 7 corners and committing a similar number of fouls. The result leaves both sides ruing missed chances, as the point does little to boost their respective ambitions in the Pro League.
💪 AI Prediction Report
DECENT HITPredicted
2 - 1
Actual
1 - 1
💰 Bet Results2/3 hit
Key Moments
23' — Save
Al-Fateh goalkeeper makes a sharp stop to deny Al Shabab's first real chance.
55' — Chance
Al Shabab's best opportunity as a close-range effort is parried away.
70' — Counter-attack
Al-Fateh break quickly but are denied by the Al Shabab goalkeeper.
88' — Late Pressure
Al Shabab pile on the pressure with a flurry of corners, but Al-Fateh hold firm.
Al Shabab
Al Shabab controlled much of the game, dictating play with 59% possession and consistently probing the Al-Fateh backline. Their attacking efforts produced 14 shots and 6 on target, but a lack of cutting edge in the final third saw them fail to convert pressure into goals. Defensively, they remained organized and rarely looked troubled, but the inability to capitalize on their dominance will frustrate the home fans.
Key Players
Strengths
Weaknesses
Al-Fateh
Al-Fateh set up to absorb pressure and hit on the break, conceding possession but remaining compact and disciplined. They matched Al Shabab in corners and nearly equaled them in shots, suggesting a well-executed counter-attacking plan. However, with only 3 shots on target, their attacking forays lacked the precision needed to snatch all three points.
Key Players
Strengths
Weaknesses
Tactical Analysis
Al Shabab appeared to line up with an attacking formation, prioritizing ball retention and width, as reflected in their 59% possession and 14 shots. Their approach relied on patient buildup, but Al-Fateh's compact defensive block proved difficult to penetrate. Al-Fateh, meanwhile, set up to frustrate the hosts, sitting deep and springing forward on the counter whenever possible. Both teams matched each other in set pieces, with 7 corners apiece, but neither could make the difference from dead-ball situations. The lack of cards and relatively even foul count suggest a disciplined, tactical contest rather than a physical battle.
Turning Point
Al-Fateh goalkeeper's crucial save in the 55th minute denied Al Shabab what would have been a deserved opener, preserving the deadlock.
Man of the Match
Al-Fateh Goalkeeper
Produced a string of vital saves, especially under late pressure, to secure a valuable away clean sheet.
🎮 Prediction Playground
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Expected goals · model says 1.40
Expected goals · model says 1.20
Over 2.5 Goals
48%
BTTS: Yes
53%
Likely Scores
1-1 · 1-0 · 0-1
Play this match once with the probabilities above — every run is different.
Powered by the same Poisson scoreline model behind the prediction. For fun and exploration — not betting advice.
Al Shabab vs Al-Fateh Prediction Confidence at a Glance
How strongly the model leans on each market.
Who do you think wins: Al Shabab vs Al-Fateh?
Cast your vote, then see how it stacks up against the model.
Where the Model Sees Value: Al Shabab vs Al-Fateh(3)
Selections where the model's probability beats the bookmaker's implied probability. Expected value is computed from real consensus odds, not opinion.
Double Chance: Al Shabab or Draw
Al Shabab are at home, have a slightly better form and home record, and Al-Fateh are on a three-game losing streak. H2H is close, but Shabab have the edge at home.
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BTTS: Yes
Both teams average over 1 goal scored/conceded per game, and 4 of Shabab's last 5 have seen BTTS. H2H also trends to goals for both sides.
Over/Under 2.5: Over 2.5
Slightly more than half of recent games for both teams are over 2.5, and both defences have been leaky. However, neither team is prolific, so confidence is moderate.
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More Pro League Predictions
The Case For This Al Shabab vs Al-Fateh Prediction
This is a lower mid-table clash between Al Shabab and Al-Fateh, both looking to secure safety. Al Shabab come into the match with slightly better recent form and a solid home record, while Al-Fateh are struggling, especially away from home, with three consecutive losses. Both teams have defensive weaknesses but can score, suggesting a competitive match with goals at both ends. Head-to-head is balanced but leans slightly towards the home side when in Riyadh.
Key Factors at a Glance
Recent Form
- →Al Shabab's home record is stronger than Al-Fateh's away form.
- →Al-Fateh are on a three-game losing streak.
Attack
- →Recent H2H meetings are high scoring and often see both teams score.
Defence
- →Both teams have poor defensive records (conceding 1.5+ per game).
Injuries & Team News
- →No major injuries reported for either side.
🚩 Al Shabab vs Al-Fateh Corners Prediction
medium confidenceOur corners model projects roughly 6.2 corners for Al Shabab and 5.2 for Al-Fateh, for an expected total of 11.4. That makes the model lean Over 9.5 corners (70%). Over 8.5: 80% · Over 10.5: 58%.
How Al Shabab and Al-Fateh Are Arriving
Form, fitness and who's likely to start.
Al Shabab vs Al-Fateh Goalscorer Form
Goals scored in last 5 matches across all competitions. Rate = goals ÷ 5 games. XI badge shows player is in the expected starting lineup.
Al Shabablast 5 matchesNo scorer data yet — available after predictions are regenerated.
Al-Fatehlast 5 matchesNo scorer data yet — available after predictions are regenerated.
Scorer data populates once predictions are regenerated with the updated pipeline.
Al Shabab vs Al-Fateh — Last 10 Matches
Strengths
- +High-volume attack — 14 shots/game
Concerns
- −Inconsistent — 3+ losses in last 5
What History Says: Al Shabab vs Al-Fateh
Al Shabab vs Al-Fateh Head-to-Head History
Last 10 meetings between these sides
3
Al Shabab wins
4
Draws
3
Al-Fateh wins
Where the Model Disagrees with the Odds: Al Shabab vs Al-Fateh
Odds from 10Bet. Positive edge = our model gives a higher probability than the odds imply. EV = expected value per £1 staked.
1X2
Over/Under 2.5
Both Teams Score
Best Value Markets Found by the Model
EV per £1 staked. Positive EV means this bet has mathematical edge over the long run. Past model accuracy is tracked on our predictions tracker.
Edge and EV are derived from model probabilities only and do not constitute financial advice. Odds fluctuate — always verify current prices with your bookmaker.
Things to Watch: Al Shabab vs Al-Fateh
- ⚠️No bookmaker odds provided, so value edges cannot be calculated.
- ⚠️Some recent match stats are missing, reducing confidence in shot/corner projections.
- ⚠️Both teams are inconsistent and capable of surprise results.
- ⚠️Motivation could shift if relegation battle tightens before kickoff.
This analysis is for informational purposes only and does not constitute financial advice. Betting involves risk — always gamble responsibly.
How This Prediction Was Made
The numbers on this page come from a structured statistical pack for Al Shabab vs Al-Fateh: recent results and scoring data for both sides, home/away splits, the head-to-head record, current league standings, known injuries and live bookmaker odds, all sourced from the API-Football data feed.
An AI model analyses that pack and produces the probabilities, predicted score and written analysis shown above. Nothing is edited by hand, and no information outside the data pack is used.
Last updated: 21 April 2026 (refreshed automatically as new team data arrives). Every prediction is scored against the real result once the match finishes — see the verified track record or read the full methodology. Football is inherently uncertain: treat this page as analysis, not advice.