Alemannia Aachen vs Hansa Rostock Predictions

3. Liga3. Liga · Germany
high confidence
Alemannia Aachen

Alemannia Aachen

AI Predicted Score

2 - 1

Hansa Rostock

Hansa Rostock

🗓️ Saturday, 2 May 2026 at 14:00 CEST (venue time) · 12:00 UTC (your time)📍 New Tivoli, Aachen

Win Probability (1X2)

Alemannia Aachen 43%Draw 31%Hansa Rostock 26%

Best Value Pick

BTTS: Yes

@ 3.4(+33% edge)

🎮 Prediction Playground

Think the model has it wrong? Nudge each team's expected goals and watch every probability react — then simulate the match and see what happens.

Alemannia Aachen1.85

Expected goals · model says 1.85

Hansa Rostock1.45

Expected goals · model says 1.45

Win Probability
Alemannia Aachen 47% Draw 23% Hansa Rostock 30%

Over 2.5 Goals

64%

BTTS: Yes

64%

Likely Scores

1-1 · 2-1 · 1-2

Play this match once with the probabilities above — every run is different.

Powered by the same Poisson scoreline model behind the prediction. For fun and exploration — not betting advice.

Alemannia Aachen vs Hansa Rostock Prediction Confidence at a Glance

How strongly the model leans on each market.

Match Result (1X2)
43%
31%
26%
Alemannia Aachen 43%Draw 31%Hansa Rostock 26%
Both Teams to Score
62%
38%
Yes 62%No 38%
Over/Under 2.5 Goals
66%
34%
Over 2.5 66%Under 2.5 34%
Corners (Over/Under 9.5)
61%
39%
Over 9.5 61%Under 9.5 39%

Who do you think wins: Alemannia Aachen vs Hansa Rostock?

Cast your vote, then see how it stacks up against the model.

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The Case For This Alemannia Aachen vs Hansa Rostock Prediction

Alemannia Aachen enter this fixture in outstanding form, winning four of their last five and scoring freely, but their defense remains leaky. Hansa Rostock have been less consistent but are difficult to beat away from home and have the league's second-best away defense. Expect a competitive, open game with goals at both ends, with Aachen's home edge and recent momentum just tipping the balance.

Key Factors at a Glance

Attack

  • →Aachen: 4 wins and 1 draw in last 5, averaging 2.6 goals scored per game.

Defence

  • →Hansa Rostock: Only 2 away losses all season, best away defense (13 conceded in 17).

Injuries & Team News

  • →No significant injuries reported.

Match Context

  • →Both teams have seen BTTS in 4 of last 5.
  • →Aachen home matches: 74% over 2.5 goals this season.
  • →Recent H2H: 2-2 draw earlier this season.

🚩 Alemannia Aachen vs Hansa Rostock Corners Prediction

medium confidence
10.5expected total corners
Over 61%
Under 39%
Over 9.5Under 9.5

Our corners model projects roughly 4.3 corners for Alemannia Aachen and 6.2 for Hansa Rostock, for an expected total of 10.5. That makes the model lean Over 9.5 corners (61%). Over 8.5: 72% · Over 10.5: 48%.

More corners tips:Over 9.5 →Under 9.5 →

How Alemannia Aachen and Hansa Rostock Are Arriving

Form, fitness and who's likely to start.

Alemannia Aachen vs Hansa Rostock Goalscorer Form

Goals scored in last 5 matches across all competitions. Rate = goals ÷ 5 games. XI badge shows player is in the expected starting lineup.

Alemannia AachenAlemannia Aachenlast 5 matches

No scorer data yet — available after predictions are regenerated.

Hansa RostockHansa Rostocklast 5 matches

No scorer data yet — available after predictions are regenerated.

Scorer data populates once predictions are regenerated with the updated pipeline.

Alemannia Aachen vs Hansa Rostock — Last 10 Matches

Alemannia AachenAlemannia AachenLast 10 results
W3-1
W3-1
W3-1
D1-1
W3-0
W2-1
W4-1
W3-1
W1-0
L1-2
Wvs MSV Duisburg3-1
W@ SSV Jahn Regensburg3-1
Wvs Stuttgart II3-1
D@ FC Saarbrücken1-1
Wvs SV Wehen3-0
W@ FC Ingolstadt 042-1
Wvs Energie Cottbus4-1
W@ Erzgebirge Aue3-1
Wvs FC Schweinfurt 051-0
L@ Waldhof Mannheim1-2

Strengths

  • +4/5 wins in last 5 — excellent form
  • +Prolific attack — 2.6 goals/game (last 5)
  • +Both teams scoring in most recent games
  • +Over 2.5 goals in 74.29% of games this season
Hansa RostockHansa RostockLast 10 results
L2-5
D0-0
W5-1
W2-1
L2-3
W1-0
W5-1
D0-0
W3-1
W3-2
Lvs SSV Jahn Regensburg2-5
D@ FC Schweinfurt 050-0
Wvs SSV Ulm 18465-1
W@ Verl2-1
Lvs FC Viktoria Köln2-3
W@ SV Wehen1-0
Wvs MSV Duisburg5-1
D@ Energie Cottbus0-0
W@ Havelse3-1
Wvs Rot-Weiß Essen3-2

Strengths

  • +Prolific attack — 2.2 goals/game (last 5)
  • +Both teams scoring in most recent games

Concerns

  • −Leaky defence — 2.0 conceded/game

What History Says: Alemannia Aachen vs Hansa Rostock

Alemannia Aachen vs Hansa Rostock Head-to-Head History

Last 7 meetings between these sides

2

Alemannia Aachen wins

3

Draws

2

Hansa Rostock wins

29%43% draws29%
7 Dec 25Hansa Rostock vs Alemannia Aachen2-2
16 Mar 25Alemannia Aachen vs Hansa Rostock2-1
19 Oct 24Hansa Rostock vs Alemannia Aachen1-2
12 Apr 13Alemannia Aachen vs Hansa Rostock3-4
20 Oct 12Hansa Rostock vs Alemannia Aachen1-0
19 Feb 12Alemannia Aachen vs Hansa Rostock0-0

Where the Model Disagrees with the Odds: Alemannia Aachen vs Hansa Rostock

Odds from 10Bet. Positive edge = our model gives a higher probability than the odds imply. EV = expected value per £1 staked.

1X2

SelectionOddsModel %Edge
Alemannia Aachen Win1.7343.0%-14.8%
Drawvalue3.6531.0%+3.6%
Hansa Rostock Win2.0026.0%-24.0%

Over/Under 2.5

SelectionOddsModel %Edge
Over 2.51.5566.0%+1.5%
Under 2.52.4034.0%-7.7%

Both Teams Score

SelectionOddsModel %Edge
Yesvalue3.4062.0%+32.6%
No1.2838.0%-40.1%

Best Value Markets Found by the Model

1X2: Draw @ 3.65EV +0.132
Over/Under 2.5: Over 2.5 @ 1.55EV +0.023
Both Teams Score: Yes @ 3.40EV +1.108

EV per £1 staked. Positive EV means this bet has mathematical edge over the long run. Past model accuracy is tracked on our predictions tracker.

Edge and EV are derived from model probabilities only and do not constitute financial advice. Odds fluctuate — always verify current prices with your bookmaker.

Things to Watch: Alemannia Aachen vs Hansa Rostock

  • ⚠️Some match stats (shots, corners) missing for several recent games, increasing model uncertainty.
  • ⚠️Aachen's home record is inconsistent (8W 1D 8L), raising volatility.
  • ⚠️End-of-season motivation/rotation unknown.

This analysis is for informational purposes only and does not constitute financial advice. Betting involves risk — always gamble responsibly.

How This Prediction Was Made

The numbers on this page come from a structured statistical pack for Alemannia Aachen vs Hansa Rostock: recent results and scoring data for both sides, home/away splits, the head-to-head record, current league standings, known injuries and live bookmaker odds, all sourced from the API-Football data feed.

An AI model analyses that pack and produces the probabilities, predicted score and written analysis shown above. Nothing is edited by hand, and no information outside the data pack is used.

Last updated: 29 April 2026 (refreshed automatically as new team data arrives). Every prediction is scored against the real result once the match finishes — see the verified track record or read the full methodology. Football is inherently uncertain: treat this page as analysis, not advice.

More Alemannia Aachen vs Hansa Rostock Resources