AS Roma vs Cremonese Prediction
Serie A · Italy
AS Roma
Full Time
Cremonese
📍 Stadio Olimpico, Rome
🗓️ Sunday, 22 Feb 2026 at 19:45
Match Result
7.5/10Roma Dominate Cremonese with 3-0 Statement at Stadio Olimpico
AS Roma delivered a commanding performance at the Stadio Olimpico, dispatching Cremonese 3-0 in a one-sided Serie A encounter. After a goalless first half despite sustained pressure, Roma broke the deadlock in the 59th minute and never looked back, adding two further goals in the final quarter to seal a comprehensive victory. The home side controlled proceedings throughout, racking up 23 shots (5 on target) and enjoying 58% possession, while limiting Cremonese to just two attempts without a single shot on target. Cremonese struggled to cope with Roma's intensity and creativity, rarely threatening Mile Svilar's goal. The gulf in class was evident, particularly after Roma's opener, as the Giallorossi's superior quality and tactical discipline shone through. The result keeps Roma's momentum alive and underlines their credentials in the race for European football.
💪 AI Prediction Report
DECENT HITPredicted
2 - 0
Actual
3 - 0
💰 Bet Results2/3 hit
Key Moments
59' — Goal
Donyell Malen breaks the deadlock for Roma after sustained pressure.
77' — Goal
Lorenzo Pellegrini doubles Roma's lead, effectively sealing the points.
86' — Goal
Roma add a third to cap a dominant display.
23' — Yellow Card
Bryan Cristante booked for a tactical foul in midfield.
41' — Yellow Card
Morten Thorsby receives a yellow for a late challenge.
AS Roma
Roma were in total control from the outset, dictating play with their 3-4-2-1 setup and pinning Cremonese deep in their own half. The Giallorossi's high tempo and attacking intent yielded 23 shots, with constant pressure finally rewarded after the break. The midfield duo of Manu Koné and Bryan Cristante provided stability and drive, while the attacking trio created numerous openings. Defensively, Roma were rarely troubled, with the back three and Svilar enjoying a quiet evening.
Key Players
Strengths
Weaknesses
Cremonese
Cremonese endured a torrid evening in Rome, struggling to gain a foothold against relentless Roma pressure. Their 3-5-2 formation was quickly overwhelmed, with the midfield unable to retain possession or link with the front two. Defensively, they held firm in the first half but were eventually worn down, conceding three times in the final half hour. Going forward, Cremonese were toothless, failing to register a single shot on target and creating little of note.
Key Players
Strengths
Weaknesses
Tactical Analysis
Roma's 3-4-2-1 formation allowed them to dominate the midfield and overload wide areas, with wing-backs Zeki Çelik and Wesley providing width and stretching Cremonese's defensive line. The double pivot of Koné and Cristante ensured control in the center, recycling possession and breaking up rare Cremonese counters. Pellegrini and Zaragoza operated between the lines, linking up with Malen and creating overloads in advanced positions. Cremonese's 3-5-2 was far too passive, with their midfield often overrun and the front two isolated. Their defensive block was initially compact, but as Roma increased the tempo in the second half, gaps appeared and were ruthlessly exploited. Substitutions did little to change the pattern, with Roma's depth and tactical clarity evident throughout.
Turning Point
Donyell Malen's opener in the 59th minute shattered Cremonese's resistance and opened the floodgates for Roma.
Man of the Match
Donyell Malen
His breakthrough goal and tireless movement set the tone for Roma's attacking dominance.
Pre-Match Prediction
Prediction Summary
Predicted Score
2 - 0
Match Odds (1X2)
Home: 74.0%
Draw: 19.0%
Away: 7.0%
Both Teams to Score
No
86.0% confidence
💰 Recommended Bets(3)
1x2 — home@ 1.07
EV: -1.0%
Roma's strong home record (8W/1D/3L), much higher league position, and Cremonese's very poor away attack (0.77 goals per away game, 4/5 recent matches failed to score) point to a high probability of a home win, despite the low odds.
btts — no@ 1.1
EV: -5.0%
Roma concede just 0.5 goals/game at home, Cremonese have failed to score in 4 of last 5, and only 1/5 recent matches saw BTTS for Cremonese. H2H also trends low-scoring for the away side.
over_under_2_5 — under@ 1.18
EV: -8.0%
Roma's season over 2.5 rate is just 24%, and Cremonese's is 36%. Both teams average under 2.0 total goals per game in recent matches, so under is likely, though odds are short.
Match Analysis
Roma, currently 4th and strong at home, host a struggling Cremonese side who are winless in their last five and have scored just once in that run. Roma's defense is among the best in Serie A, especially at home, while Cremonese's away attack is one of the weakest. Expect Roma to control the match, limit chances for the visitors, and likely win by a modest margin in a low-scoring affair.
Key Factors
- →Roma's home record: 8 wins, 1 draw, 3 losses, only 6 goals conceded.
- →Cremonese have failed to score in 4 of their last 5 matches.
- →Roma average 1.24 goals scored and 0.64 conceded per game this season.
- →Cremonese away: 10 goals scored, 18 conceded in 13 games.
- →H2H: Roma have won 3 of last 5 meetings, often with low scores for Cremonese.
- →Both teams' season over 2.5 goal % is low (Roma 24%, Cremonese 36%).
- →Motivation: Roma in top 4 race, Cremonese just above relegation zone.
Risk Notes
- ⚠️Roma's recent form is not dominant (DWLDD), but opposition has been stronger.
- ⚠️Cremonese occasionally pull off away draws, but rarely win.
- ⚠️Low odds on all favorites mean little value; upsets, while unlikely, are possible in football.
- ⚠️Some missing detailed stats for Roma's last 5 matches; model relies on season averages and results.
This analysis is for informational purposes only and does not constitute financial advice. Betting involves risk — always gamble responsibly.