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Aston Villa vs Newcastle Predictions
All AI-powered predictions and betting tips for Aston Villa vs Newcastle fixtures. 1 prediction available.
Most Recent Prediction
Predicted Score
2 - 1
Match Odds (1X2)
Home: 45.0%
Draw: 32.0%
Away: 23.0%
Both Teams to Score
No
51.0% confidence
💰 Recommended Bets(3)
btts — yes@ 3.4
EV: 37.2%
Both teams have averaged 1.4 goals scored per game in their last 5, Newcastle have seen BTTS in all of their last 5, and Villa have failed to score only once. The odds for BTTS:Yes are generous compared to the model probability.
over_under_2_5 — over@ 3.4
EV: 31.4%
Both teams have 100% over 2.5 in their (limited) FA Cup records this season and Newcastle's defence has conceded 2.4 per game in their last 5. The price for over 2.5 is higher than model probability suggests it should be.
1x2 — draw@ 3.5
EV: 12.0%
The model sees a higher than market-implied probability for a draw, with both sides having patchy form and a history of draws in H2H (2 in last 10).
Match Analysis
Aston Villa come into this FA Cup clash in slightly better recent form than Newcastle, with two wins in their last three and a solid defensive record (0.8 conceded per game in last 5). Newcastle, however, have struggled defensively, conceding 2.4 per game in their last 5, but remain a threat in attack and have scored in every recent match. The H2H history is balanced but slightly favours Newcastle, though Villa won the most recent meeting away. Expect a tight, competitive match with Villa's home advantage and Newcastle's attacking intent suggesting both teams can score, but Villa's defence may prove decisive.
Key Factors
- →Villa have won 3 of their last 5 and kept 2 clean sheets.
- →Newcastle have not kept a clean sheet in their last 5 and have BTTS in all 5.
- →Both teams average 1.4 goals scored per game in their last 5.
- →Villa's defence is significantly stronger recently (0.8 conceded per game vs 2.4 for Newcastle).