ATK Mohun Bagan vs East Bengal II Predictions
Indian Super League · India
ATK Mohun Bagan
Full Time
1 - 1
AI predicted 1 - 1
East Bengal II
Win Probability (1X2)
Best Value Pick
Double Chance: ATK Mohun Bagan or Draw
Match Result
7/10Late Drama as ATK Mohun Bagan and East Bengal II Share the Spoils in Kolkata Derby
The iconic Kolkata Derby delivered a pulsating finish as ATK Mohun Bagan and East Bengal II battled to a 1-1 draw at the Vivekananda Yuba Bharati Krirangan. With both sides locked in a tense tactical struggle for much of the match, it was East Bengal II who broke the deadlock in the 85th minute, only for ATK Mohun Bagan to snatch a dramatic equalizer at the death in the 90th minute. The match was marked by high intensity and discipline, with East Bengal II reduced to ten men following a red card, and a flurry of yellow cards reflecting the fierce rivalry. Despite the numerical disadvantage, East Bengal II nearly stole all three points before ATK Mohun Bagan’s late heroics ensured the honours were shared. The result leaves both sides with plenty to ponder, but the spectacle lived up to the derby’s storied reputation.
🔮 AI Prediction Report
PSYCHIC MODEPredicted
1 - 1
Actual
1 - 1
💰 Bet Results1/1 hit
Key Moments
85' — Goal
East Bengal II take the lead with a late strike, putting pressure on the hosts.
90' — Goal
ATK Mohun Bagan equalize dramatically in the final minute, salvaging a point.
Unknown' — Red Card
East Bengal II are reduced to ten men, shifting momentum to the home side.
Various' — Yellow Cards
A total of four yellow cards (one for ATK Mohun Bagan, three for East Bengal II) reflect the derby's intensity.
ATK Mohun Bagan
ATK Mohun Bagan showed resilience and determination, particularly in the closing stages. Despite falling behind late in the game, they capitalized on their numerical advantage after East Bengal II’s red card, pressing relentlessly and eventually finding the equalizer in the 90th minute. Their attacking intent was evident in the dying moments, though they struggled to break down a disciplined East Bengal II defense for much of the match.
Key Players
Strengths
Weaknesses
East Bengal II
East Bengal II delivered a disciplined and combative performance, especially after going down to ten men. Their late goal in the 85th minute appeared to have secured a famous derby win, but fatigue and the numerical disadvantage ultimately told as they conceded in stoppage time. The three yellow cards and a red highlighted their aggressive approach, but also undermined their ability to hold on in the final minutes.
Key Players
Strengths
Weaknesses
Tactical Analysis
With both teams’ lineups and formations unavailable, the match nonetheless reflected classic derby intensity: tight marking, aggressive challenges, and a willingness to commit numbers forward in the closing stages. East Bengal II’s red card forced them into a deeper defensive block late on, inviting ATK Mohun Bagan to press high and throw men forward. The home side’s persistence paid off with a late equalizer, while East Bengal II’s earlier goal showcased their ability to strike on the counter, even when under pressure. Set pieces and physical duels played a significant role, as evidenced by the high card count. Both teams struggled to carve out clear chances until the final moments, suggesting compact defensive shapes and a midfield battle that left little room for creative play.
Turning Point
The red card to East Bengal II, which swung momentum and allowed ATK Mohun Bagan to mount late pressure leading to the equalizer.
Man of the Match
ATK Mohun Bagan Goal Scorer
Kept his composure to score the crucial 90th-minute equalizer and rescue a point for his team.
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Expected goals · model says 1.35
Expected goals · model says 1.15
Over 2.5 Goals
46%
BTTS: Yes
51%
Likely Scores
1-1 · 1-0 · 0-1
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Powered by the same Poisson scoreline model behind the prediction. For fun and exploration — not betting advice.
ATK Mohun Bagan vs East Bengal II Prediction Confidence at a Glance
How strongly the model leans on each market.
Who do you think wins: ATK Mohun Bagan vs East Bengal II?
Cast your vote, then see how it stacks up against the model.
Where the Model Sees Value: ATK Mohun Bagan vs East Bengal II(3)
Selections where the model's probability beats the bookmaker's implied probability. Expected value is computed from real consensus odds, not opinion.
Correct Score: 1–1
Both teams have drawn their last two head-to-heads and have similar form and defensive records, making a 1-1 draw a plausible outcome.
Double Chance: ATK Mohun Bagan or Draw
ATK Mohun Bagan are unbeaten at home except for one loss, and East Bengal II have drawn both previous H2H meetings, supporting a home or draw outcome.
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BTTS: Yes
Both teams have scored in 3 of their last 5 games and in both H2H meetings, suggesting BTTS is likely.
More Indian Super League Predictions
The Case For This ATK Mohun Bagan vs East Bengal II Prediction
This is a top-of-the-table clash between ATK Mohun Bagan and East Bengal II, with both sides boasting strong defensive records but also enough attacking quality to threaten. The home side is formidable at home, but East Bengal II have been prolific in attack this season and are unbeaten away. Recent head-to-heads have ended in draws, and both teams have shown resilience and balance, suggesting another close contest is likely.
Key Factors at a Glance
Recent Form
- →Recent form is similar: ATK Mohun Bagan (DWWDL), East Bengal II (DWWDW).
Match Context
- →Both teams are in the top two league positions and separated by just one point.
- →ATK Mohun Bagan's home record: 5 wins, 1 loss, 17:5 goal difference.
- →East Bengal II's away record: 2 wins from 2, 5:2 goal difference.
- →Both H2H meetings in the last year ended in draws (1-1, 0-0).
- →East Bengal II have a higher season over 2.5 goal percentage (72.73%) than ATK Mohun Bagan (30%).
🚩 ATK Mohun Bagan vs East Bengal II Corners Prediction
low confidenceOur corners model projects roughly 6 corners for ATK Mohun Bagan and 4.3 for East Bengal II, for an expected total of 10.3. That makes the model lean Over 9.5 corners (57%). Over 8.5: 69% · Over 10.5: 45%.
How ATK Mohun Bagan and East Bengal II Are Arriving
Form, fitness and who's likely to start.
ATK Mohun Bagan vs East Bengal II Goalscorer Form
Goals scored in last 5 matches across all competitions. Rate = goals ÷ 5 games.
ATK Mohun Baganlast 5 matchesOccasional threat
Occasional threat
East Bengal IIlast 5 matchesOccasional threat
ATK Mohun Bagan come into this match with a solid run, losing just once in their last five and remaining unbeaten at home except for a single defeat. East Bengal II are also in strong form, unbeaten in five and showing attacking prowess with 2.2 average goals per game in their last five. Both sides have demonstrated defensive solidity and resilience, making this a closely matched encounter.
ATK Mohun Bagan vs East Bengal II — Last 10 Matches
Strengths
- +Over 2.5 goals in 66.67% of games this season
What History Says: ATK Mohun Bagan vs East Bengal II
The two most recent head-to-heads between ATK Mohun Bagan and East Bengal II have both ended in draws, with low-scoring outcomes (1-1 and 0-0). This suggests a tendency for these fixtures to be tightly contested, with both teams difficult to break down.
ATK Mohun Bagan vs East Bengal II Head-to-Head History
Last 3 meetings between these sides
0
ATK Mohun Bagan wins
3
Draws
0
East Bengal II wins
Where the Model Disagrees with the Odds: ATK Mohun Bagan vs East Bengal II
No bookmaker odds are available for this fixture, so value edges cannot be calculated. The model suggests the draw and double chance markets (1X) are likely to offer value based on the teams' similar form and H2H history. If odds become available, these markets should be monitored for potential value.
Odds from Bet365. Positive edge = our model gives a higher probability than the odds imply. EV = expected value per £1 staked.
1X2
Over/Under 2.5
Both Teams Score
Best Value Markets Found by the Model
EV per £1 staked. Positive EV means this bet has mathematical edge over the long run. Past model accuracy is tracked on our predictions tracker.
Edge and EV are derived from model probabilities only and do not constitute financial advice. Odds fluctuate — always verify current prices with your bookmaker.
Things to Watch: ATK Mohun Bagan vs East Bengal II
- ⚠️No bookmaker odds provided, so no value edges can be calculated.
- ⚠️Limited shots, possession, and set piece data for most recent matches.
- ⚠️Small H2H sample size (2 matches), both ending as draws.
- ⚠️Predictions rely on derived stats and recent form; lineups are unknown.
This analysis is for informational purposes only and does not constitute financial advice. Betting involves risk — always gamble responsibly.
How This Prediction Was Made
The numbers on this page come from a structured statistical pack for ATK Mohun Bagan vs East Bengal II: recent results and scoring data for both sides, home/away splits, the head-to-head record, current league standings, known injuries and live bookmaker odds, all sourced from the API-Football data feed.
An AI model analyses that pack and produces the probabilities, predicted score and written analysis shown above. Nothing is edited by hand, and no information outside the data pack is used.
Last updated: 12 May 2026 (refreshed automatically as new team data arrives). Every prediction is scored against the real result once the match finishes — see the verified track record or read the full methodology. Football is inherently uncertain: treat this page as analysis, not advice.
More ATK Mohun Bagan vs East Bengal II Resources
ATK Mohun Bagan Predictions
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East Bengal II Predictions
All East Bengal II fixtures & tips
ATK Mohun Bagan vs East Bengal II Stats
Full H2H record & season stats
Indian Super League Predictions
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Model Accuracy
Track record & verified results