Cracovia Krakow vs Pogon Szczecin Predictions
Ekstraklasa · Poland
Cracovia Krakow
Full Time
1 - 1
AI predicted 1 - 1
Pogon Szczecin
Win Probability (1X2)
Best Value Pick
Double Chance: Draw or Pogon Szczecin
Match Result
7.4/10Late Drama as Ten-Man Cracovia Krakow Snatch Draw Against Pogon Szczecin
Cracovia Krakow and Pogon Szczecin played out a dramatic 1-1 draw at the Marshal Jozef Pilsudski Stadium, with the hosts salvaging a point in stoppage time despite being reduced to ten men. Pogon Szczecin took an early lead in the 18th minute and looked set to claim all three points, but Cracovia’s resilience paid off with a late equalizer in the 90th minute, sending the home fans into raptures. The match was a physical affair, featuring seven yellow cards and a red for Cracovia, who had to dig deep after going a man down. Cracovia dominated possession (55%) and registered more shots (14 to Pogon's 10), but Pogon's disciplined defense and robust midfield made life difficult for the hosts. Ultimately, a late surge and relentless pressure saw Cracovia claw back a deserved point.
🔮 AI Prediction Report
PSYCHIC MODEPredicted
1 - 1
Actual
1 - 1
💰 Bet Results3/3 hit
Key Moments
18' — Goal
F. Cuic puts Pogon Szczecin ahead with a well-taken finish.
57' — Red Card
Cracovia Krakow reduced to ten men after a straight red card.
75' — Yellow Card
Pogon Szczecin pick up their fourth yellow as the match grows increasingly physical.
90' — Goal
J. Batoum scores a dramatic equalizer for Cracovia Krakow.
Cracovia Krakow
Cracovia Krakow showed impressive fighting spirit, especially after being reduced to ten men. They controlled the tempo for much of the match, enjoying 55% possession and firing 14 shots, four of which were on target. The midfield quartet worked tirelessly, and the team’s persistence was rewarded with a dramatic 90th-minute equalizer. However, discipline was an issue, as they picked up three yellow cards and a red, which forced them to adjust tactically and play more cautiously in the latter stages.
Key Players
Strengths
Weaknesses
Pogon Szczecin
Pogon Szczecin executed their game plan efficiently, taking an early lead and maintaining defensive solidity for much of the match. Despite conceding more possession and failing to win a single corner, Pogon were clinical with their chances, scoring from one of their two shots on target. The midfield battled hard, and the back line absorbed considerable pressure, but they ultimately let their guard down in the dying moments, allowing Cracovia to equalize.
Key Players
Strengths
Weaknesses
Tactical Analysis
Both teams lined up in a 4-4-2 formation, leading to a balanced midfield battle and frequent one-on-one duels across the pitch. Cracovia looked to control the game through possession and width, utilizing their full-backs and winning seven corners, but struggled to break down Pogon's compact defensive block. Pogon Szczecin, meanwhile, focused on quick transitions and direct play, capitalizing on their early chance and then sitting deep to absorb pressure, especially after Cracovia went down to ten men. Following the red card, Cracovia shifted to a more conservative shape, relying on counter-attacks and set pieces, while Pogon failed to exploit their numerical advantage, becoming increasingly passive. Substitutions aimed to inject fresh legs into midfield, but neither side altered their shape significantly, leading to a tense, attritional second half.
Turning Point
The 90th-minute equalizer by J. Batoum, which salvaged a point for ten-man Cracovia and denied Pogon victory.
Man of the Match
J. Batoum
Scored the crucial late equalizer and led the line tirelessly, inspiring Cracovia's comeback.
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Expected goals · model says 1.10
Expected goals · model says 1.25
Over 2.5 Goals
42%
BTTS: Yes
48%
Likely Scores
1-1 · 0-1 · 1-0
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Powered by the same Poisson scoreline model behind the prediction. For fun and exploration — not betting advice.
Cracovia Krakow vs Pogon Szczecin Prediction Confidence at a Glance
How strongly the model leans on each market.
Who do you think wins: Cracovia Krakow vs Pogon Szczecin?
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Where the Model Sees Value: Cracovia Krakow vs Pogon Szczecin(3)
Selections where the model's probability beats the bookmaker's implied probability. Expected value is computed from real consensus odds, not opinion.
Double Chance: Draw or Pogon Szczecin
Pogon Szczecin have a strong H2H record (6 wins in last 10) and Cracovia's recent form is poor. Pogon are inconsistent away but Cracovia's home record is not dominant. Draw or away covers most likely outcomes.
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Correct Score: 1–1
Both teams have similar points and goal difference, recent matches suggest a low-scoring, tight contest. 1-1 is the most probable single scoreline.
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Over/Under 2.5: Under 2.5
Both teams average just over 1 goal scored per game, and both have failed to score in 2 of last 5. Under 2.5 has a slight edge given recent attacking struggles.
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More Ekstraklasa Predictions
The Case For This Cracovia Krakow vs Pogon Szczecin Prediction
This is a mid-table clash between two sides with identical points and similar goal differences. Cracovia have struggled for wins recently, while Pogon Szczecin are inconsistent but just claimed an away win. Both teams have issues in attack, as shown by their low recent scoring averages and multiple games without scoring. Pogon have a poor away record this season, but their historical H2H dominance over Cracovia (especially away) and their slightly better attacking stats suggest they can avoid defeat. A low-scoring draw is the most likely outcome, with neither side showing enough quality to be clear favorites.
Key Factors at a Glance
Recent Form
- →Cracovia's recent form is poor (DLWLL), Pogon are inconsistent (WLLWL).
- →Pogon Szczecin have won 6 of last 10 H2H, including 3 of last 5 in Krakow.
- →Both teams have failed to score in 2 of last 5 matches.
Injuries & Team News
- →No significant injuries reported for either side.
Match Context
- →Both teams have 37 points and nearly identical season records.
- →Cracovia's home record is solid but not dominant (5W 6D 3L).
- →Pogon Szczecin's away record is weak (3W 2D 9L, 12:23 goals).
🚩 Cracovia Krakow vs Pogon Szczecin Corners Prediction
low confidenceOur corners model projects roughly 5.5 corners for Cracovia Krakow and 4.2 for Pogon Szczecin, for an expected total of 9.7. That makes the model lean Under 9.5 corners (50%). Over 8.5: 63% · Over 10.5: 38%.
How Cracovia Krakow and Pogon Szczecin Are Arriving
Form, fitness and who's likely to start.
Cracovia Krakow vs Pogon Szczecin Goalscorer Form
Goals scored in last 5 matches across all competitions. Rate = goals ÷ 5 games. XI badge shows player is in the expected starting lineup.
Cracovia Krakowlast 5 matchesNo scorer data yet — available after predictions are regenerated.
Pogon Szczecinlast 5 matchesNo scorer data yet — available after predictions are regenerated.
Scorer data populates once predictions are regenerated with the updated pipeline.
Cracovia Krakow vs Pogon Szczecin — Last 10 Matches
Concerns
- −Leaky defence — 2.0 conceded/game
Concerns
- −Inconsistent — 3+ losses in last 5
What History Says: Cracovia Krakow vs Pogon Szczecin
Cracovia Krakow vs Pogon Szczecin Head-to-Head History
Last 10 meetings between these sides
1
Cracovia Krakow wins
4
Draws
5
Pogon Szczecin wins
Where the Model Disagrees with the Odds: Cracovia Krakow vs Pogon Szczecin
Odds from 10Bet. Positive edge = our model gives a higher probability than the odds imply. EV = expected value per £1 staked.
1X2
Over/Under 2.5
Both Teams Score
Best Value Markets Found by the Model
EV per £1 staked. Positive EV means this bet has mathematical edge over the long run. Past model accuracy is tracked on our predictions tracker.
Edge and EV are derived from model probabilities only and do not constitute financial advice. Odds fluctuate — always verify current prices with your bookmaker.
Things to Watch: Cracovia Krakow vs Pogon Szczecin
- ⚠️No bookmaker odds provided, so value edges cannot be calculated.
- ⚠️Some match stats (shots, possession, etc.) are missing for several recent games.
- ⚠️Lineups not available; late injuries or rotations could impact predictions.
- ⚠️Both teams are mid-table and may lack strong motivation.
This analysis is for informational purposes only and does not constitute financial advice. Betting involves risk — always gamble responsibly.
How This Prediction Was Made
The numbers on this page come from a structured statistical pack for Cracovia Krakow vs Pogon Szczecin: recent results and scoring data for both sides, home/away splits, the head-to-head record, current league standings, known injuries and live bookmaker odds, all sourced from the API-Football data feed.
An AI model analyses that pack and produces the probabilities, predicted score and written analysis shown above. Nothing is edited by hand, and no information outside the data pack is used.
Last updated: 18 April 2026 (refreshed automatically as new team data arrives). Every prediction is scored against the real result once the match finishes — see the verified track record or read the full methodology. Football is inherently uncertain: treat this page as analysis, not advice.