CRB vs Fortaleza EC Predictions
Serie B · Brazil
CRB
Full Time
0 - 0
AI predicted 1 - 1
Fortaleza EC
Win Probability (1X2)
Best Value Pick
Double Chance: CRB or Draw
Match Result
6.8/10Late Fortaleza Equalizer Denies CRB in Maceió Stalemate
CRB and Fortaleza EC played out a tense 1-1 draw at Estádio Rei Pelé, with both sides settling for a point after a dramatic late twist. The hosts struck early, taking the lead in the 6th minute and holding their advantage for the majority of the match. However, Fortaleza’s persistence paid off as they found a crucial equalizer in the 81st minute, silencing the home crowd and ensuring a share of the spoils. The match was a tale of two halves: CRB’s early intensity gave way to a more defensive posture as they sought to protect their lead, while Fortaleza gradually grew into the contest, pressing hard in the closing stages. Both teams picked up a yellow card apiece in a generally well-tempered affair, but neither could find a decisive winner despite late efforts.
🔮 AI Prediction Report
PSYCHIC MODEPredicted
1 - 1
Actual
1 - 1
💰 Bet Results3/3 hit
Key Moments
6' — Goal
CRB take an early lead, capitalizing on a fast start to put Fortaleza on the back foot.
81' — Goal
Fortaleza EC equalize late, rewarding their second-half dominance and denying CRB victory.
Unknown' — Yellow Card
CRB receive a yellow card as they try to disrupt Fortaleza’s rhythm.
Unknown' — Yellow Card
Fortaleza EC pick up a yellow card in a competitive midfield battle.
CRB
CRB started brightly, capitalizing on their early momentum to grab a 6th-minute lead. Their disciplined defensive structure frustrated Fortaleza for long stretches, and the hosts looked comfortable for much of the match. However, as fatigue set in, CRB gradually ceded possession and territory, allowing Fortaleza to push forward and eventually break through late on. A single yellow card reflected their mostly controlled approach, but the inability to maintain attacking pressure after their opener ultimately cost them two points.
Key Players
Strengths
Weaknesses
Fortaleza EC
Fortaleza EC showed resilience in Maceió, overcoming a sluggish start to claim a deserved point. After conceding early, they gradually asserted themselves, pushing CRB deeper as the match wore on. Their efforts were rewarded with a dramatic equalizer in the 81st minute, capping a sustained period of pressure. Despite picking up a yellow card, Fortaleza managed to keep their discipline and composure, finishing the stronger of the two sides and nearly snatching all three points.
Key Players
Strengths
Weaknesses
Tactical Analysis
While detailed formations are unavailable, the match’s flow suggests CRB began with an attacking approach, pressing high and capitalizing early. After their opener, they shifted to a more conservative setup, prioritizing defensive solidity and looking to hit on the break. Fortaleza, meanwhile, grew into the match, gradually increasing their possession and width, especially in the second half. The visitors’ tactical patience paid off as they overloaded the flanks and forced CRB deeper, culminating in their late equalizer. Both sides maintained discipline, with only one yellow card each, and neither side resorted to reckless challenges or desperate defending.
Turning Point
Fortaleza’s equalizer in the 81st minute, which shifted the momentum and ensured the points were shared.
Man of the Match
Fortaleza EC Goalscorer
Came up with the decisive equalizer late on, rescuing a point for his side with composure under pressure.
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Expected goals · model says 1.20
Expected goals · model says 1.10
Over 2.5 Goals
40%
BTTS: Yes
47%
Likely Scores
1-1 · 1-0 · 0-1
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Powered by the same Poisson scoreline model behind the prediction. For fun and exploration — not betting advice.
CRB vs Fortaleza EC Prediction Confidence at a Glance
How strongly the model leans on each market.
Who do you think wins: CRB vs Fortaleza EC?
Cast your vote, then see how it stacks up against the model.
Where the Model Sees Value: CRB vs Fortaleza EC(3)
Selections where the model's probability beats the bookmaker's implied probability. Expected value is computed from real consensus odds, not opinion.
Correct Score: 1–1
Both teams have shown inconsistency in attack and defense, with CRB conceding and scoring at high rates, while Fortaleza's away attack is limited but defense is solid. A 1-1 draw matches the underlying goal patterns and recent H2H results.
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Double Chance: CRB or Draw
CRB's home attack is strong, and Fortaleza's away scoring is very low (3 goals in 7 away league games). The model gives a 72% chance to CRB avoiding defeat, which aligns with the API's suggestion and underlying stats.
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Over/Under 2.5: Under 2.5
Despite CRB's high season over 2.5 rate, Fortaleza's away games are typically low-scoring (0.43 GF, 1.00 GA per away match), and recent H2H meetings have often been tight. The model gives a 56% chance for under 2.5.
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More Serie B Predictions
The Case For This CRB vs Fortaleza EC Prediction
This is a clash between a high-scoring but leaky CRB side and a disciplined, defensively robust Fortaleza team that struggles to score away. CRB's home matches are open, but Fortaleza's approach on the road is conservative, leading to a likely tactical battle. Both teams have shown vulnerability but also resilience, suggesting a closely contested draw with few clear chances.
Key Factors at a Glance
Defence
- →CRB's last 5: 2W, 1D, 2L, averaging 2.2 goals scored and conceded per game.
- →Fortaleza's away attack is very weak (3 goals in 7 away league games), but defense is strong (7 conceded).
- →CRB has just 7.7% clean sheets for the season, but Fortaleza keeps a clean sheet in 50% of games.
Injuries & Team News
- →No major injuries reported for either side.
Match Context
- →H2H: 6 of last 10 meetings won by Fortaleza, but most recent was a 0-0 draw.
- →CRB's home record: 2W, 0D, 4L (11-10 GF-GA); Fortaleza away: 2W, 2D, 3L (3-7 GF-GA).
🚩 CRB vs Fortaleza EC Corners Prediction
medium confidenceOur corners model projects roughly 7 corners for CRB and 5.2 for Fortaleza EC, for an expected total of 12.2. That makes the model lean Over 9.5 corners (77%). Over 8.5: 86% · Over 10.5: 67%.
How CRB and Fortaleza EC Are Arriving
Form, fitness and who's likely to start.
CRB vs Fortaleza EC Goalscorer Form
Goals scored in last 5 matches across all competitions. Rate = goals ÷ 5 games. XI badge shows player is in the expected starting lineup.
CRBlast 5 matchesIn exceptional form
Regular contributor
Occasional threat
Occasional threat
Occasional threat
Fortaleza EClast 5 matchesRegular contributor
Occasional threat
Occasional threat
CRB have been inconsistent, with a recent run of high-scoring matches but defensive frailty (DLLWW). Their attack is firing, but they struggle to keep clean sheets. Fortaleza, while solid overall (WLLLW), have been less effective away from home, especially in attack, but compensate with a strong defensive structure.
CRB vs Fortaleza EC — Last 10 Matches
Strengths
- +Prolific attack — 2.2 goals/game (last 5)
- +Both teams scoring in most recent games
- +Over 2.5 goals in 69.23% of games this season
- +High-volume attack — 21 shots/game
Concerns
- −Leaky defence — 2.2 conceded/game
- −No clean sheets in last 5 matches
Strengths
- +50% clean sheet rate this season
Concerns
- −Inconsistent — 3+ losses in last 5
What History Says: CRB vs Fortaleza EC
The head-to-head record favors Fortaleza, who have won 6 of the last 10 meetings, but CRB have held their own at home with 3 wins in that span. Recent encounters have been low-scoring, with the last match ending 0-0 and several 1-0 or 2-0 scorelines, suggesting a pattern of tight contests.
CRB vs Fortaleza EC Head-to-Head History
Last 10 meetings between these sides
3
CRB wins
1
Draws
6
Fortaleza EC wins
Things to Watch: CRB vs Fortaleza EC
- ⚠️No bookmaker odds provided, so no value edges can be calculated.
- ⚠️Recent cup matches for Fortaleza may impact rotation or fatigue, but lineups are unknown.
- ⚠️Some missing advanced stats for away team in recent cup matches.
- ⚠️CRB's high shot volume but low conversion could lead to unpredictable outcomes.
This analysis is for informational purposes only and does not constitute financial advice. Betting involves risk — always gamble responsibly.
How This Prediction Was Made
The numbers on this page come from a structured statistical pack for CRB vs Fortaleza EC: recent results and scoring data for both sides, home/away splits, the head-to-head record, current league standings, known injuries and live bookmaker odds, all sourced from the API-Football data feed.
An AI model analyses that pack and produces the probabilities, predicted score and written analysis shown above. Nothing is edited by hand, and no information outside the data pack is used.
Last updated: 14 June 2026 (refreshed automatically as new team data arrives). Every prediction is scored against the real result once the match finishes — see the verified track record or read the full methodology. Football is inherently uncertain: treat this page as analysis, not advice.