Cremonese vs Bologna Prediction
Serie A · Italy
Cremonese
Full Time
Bologna
📍 Stadio Giovanni Zini, Cremona
🗓️ Sunday, 5 Apr 2026 at 13:00
Match Result
7.8/10Bologna Survive Late Scare to Edge Ten-Man Cremonese in Fiery Clash
Bologna secured a hard-fought 2-1 victory over Cremonese at the Stadio Giovanni Zini, surviving a nervy finale after a dominant first half and a flurry of cards that saw both sides reduced to ten men. The visitors raced into an early lead with goals in the 3rd and 16th minutes, capitalizing on their superior possession and attacking intent. Despite trailing for most of the match, Cremonese showed resilience, pulling one back in the 90th minute to set up a tense finish, but ultimately fell short. The match was marked by physicality and discipline issues, with both teams collecting multiple yellow cards and each seeing a player sent off. Bologna's control of the ball (63% possession) and greater attacking output (14 shots, 7 on target) proved decisive, though Cremonese's late push nearly salvaged a draw. The result keeps Bologna's European hopes alive, while Cremonese are left to rue a slow start and missed opportunities.
💪 AI Prediction Report
DECENT HITPredicted
0 - 1
Actual
1 - 2
💰 Bet Results1/2 hit
Key Moments
3' — Goal
Santiago Castro puts Bologna ahead with an early strike.
16' — Goal
Bologna double their lead, capitalizing on their early dominance.
Second Half' — Red Card
Cremonese reduced to ten men, compounding their uphill battle.
Second Half' — Red Card
Bologna also see red, setting up a tense, even finish.
90' — Goal
Federico Bonazzoli scores for Cremonese, sparking late drama.
Cremonese
Cremonese struggled to impose themselves in the first half, conceding twice within the opening 16 minutes and finding it difficult to break through Bologna's midfield. Despite only managing 37% possession and 9 shots (3 on target), they showed grit in the second half, especially after going down to ten men. Their late goal in the 90th minute was a testament to their fighting spirit, but it proved too little, too late. Discipline was an issue, with two yellow cards and a red, and their inability to control the midfield left them chasing the game for long stretches. However, their late surge hinted at potential that was unlocked too late in the contest.
Key Players
Strengths
Weaknesses
Bologna
Bologna started the match with intent, pressing high and taking control of possession early. Their 63% possession and 14 total shots (7 on target) reflected their dominance, especially in the first half where they scored twice to put the game firmly in their grasp. The midfield, anchored by Remo Freuler, dictated the tempo and limited Cremonese's opportunities. However, Bologna's discipline wavered in the second half, as they picked up three yellow cards and a red, allowing Cremonese back into the contest. Despite the late scare, their early efficiency in front of goal and ability to manage the game under pressure secured them all three points.
Key Players
Strengths
Weaknesses
Tactical Analysis
Cremonese lined up in a 4-1-3-2, seeking to press high with two strikers but often found themselves outnumbered in midfield against Bologna's 4-1-4-1. Bologna's extra man in the center allowed Remo Freuler to orchestrate play and keep Cremonese pinned back, especially in the first half. The visitors used their width effectively, with both full-backs supporting attacks and the midfield four interchanging positions. Substitutions and red cards forced both teams to adapt, with more space opening up in midfield and transitions becoming more frantic. Bologna's tactical discipline in the opening hour gave them the platform for victory, while Cremonese's late switch to a more direct approach nearly paid dividends.
Turning Point
Bologna's second goal in the 16th minute gave them a cushion that proved crucial as the match descended into a physical, card-laden contest.
Man of the Match
Remo Freuler
Anchored Bologna's midfield, dictated the tempo, and provided a vital shield for the defense during key periods.
Pre-Match Prediction
Prediction Summary
Predicted Score
0 - 1
Match Odds (1X2)
Home: 16.0%
Draw: 29.0%
Away: 55.0%
Both Teams to Score
No
79.0% confidence
💰 Recommended Bets(2)
1x2 — away@ 1.45
EV: -4.0%
Bologna are significantly stronger away than Cremonese are at home, and have a better season record and defensive stats. However, the odds are short and value is marginal.
over_under_2_5 — under@ 1.17
EV: -2.0%
Both teams average under 2.5 goals per game, especially Cremonese at home. Recent form and H2H also suggest a low-scoring match.
Match Analysis
This is a clash between a relegation-threatened Cremonese side and a Bologna team pushing for a top-half finish. Cremonese have struggled for goals and results at home, while Bologna have been solid on the road. Both teams' recent matches have been low-scoring, and defensive solidity is likely to dominate. Expect Bologna to control the game, with few clear chances for either side.
Key Factors
- →Cremonese have only 2 home wins all season and average 0.86 goals per home game.
- →Bologna have the 5th-best away record in Serie A with 7 wins and 24 goals in 15 away matches.
- →Both teams average less than 1 goal scored per game in their last 5 matches.
- →Cremonese have failed to score in 2 of their last 5; Bologna have 2 clean sheets in the same span.
- →No significant injuries for either side.
- →Historical H2H is limited but includes a recent 3-1 away win for Cremonese, though Bologna won the last meeting at this venue 5-1.
Risk Notes
- ⚠️Some recent match stats for Bologna are missing (shots, lineups), increasing model uncertainty.
- ⚠️Cremonese's form is volatile, with a recent away win but four losses prior.
- ⚠️Low-scoring prediction is sensitive to early goals or red cards.
- ⚠️Limited H2H data between these sides.
This analysis is for informational purposes only and does not constitute financial advice. Betting involves risk — always gamble responsibly.