Damac vs Al-Fayha Predictions
Pro League · Saudi-Arabia
Damac
Full Time
3 - 0
AI predicted 1 - 2
Al-Fayha
Win Probability (1X2)
Best Value Pick
Double Chance: Draw or Al-Fayha
Match Result
7.8/10Damac Dismantle Al-Fayha 3-0 With Ruthless Display in Abha
Damac delivered a statement performance at the Prince Sultan bin Abdul Aziz Stadium, dispatching Al-Fayha 3-0 in a match defined by clinical finishing and disciplined defending. The hosts struck first in the 16th minute and never looked back, adding further goals early in the second half and midway through the latter stages to seal a comprehensive victory. Despite Al-Fayha enjoying more possession (55%), they struggled to translate their control into meaningful chances, registering just one shot on target all evening. The home side, set up in a proactive 4-3-3, capitalized on their chances with five shots on target from 14 attempts and looked the more incisive side throughout. Al-Fayha, operating in a 3-5-1-1, were unable to break down Damac’s organized backline and were punished on the counter and from set pieces, leaving them with little to show for their efforts in the attacking third.
😅 AI Prediction Report
CLOSE BUT NO CIGARPredicted
1 - 2
Actual
3 - 0
💰 Bet Results0/1 hit
Key Moments
16' — Goal
Jonathan Okita opens the scoring for Damac, finishing a swift move to give the hosts an early lead.
53' — Goal
Arielson doubles Damac's advantage, capitalizing on a defensive lapse from Al-Fayha.
77' — Goal
Damac seal the win with a third goal, putting the result beyond doubt.
Yellow Card' — Card
Both teams receive a yellow card each in a physical midfield battle.
Damac
Damac combined defensive solidity with attacking verve, making the most of their 45% possession to carve out 14 shots, five of which tested the goalkeeper. Their midfield trio controlled transitions, and the front three were a constant threat, particularly on the break. The defense, marshaled by Abdelkader Bedrane and Jamal Harkass, limited Al-Fayha to just a single shot on target, ensuring Kewin had a relatively quiet evening in goal.
Key Players
Strengths
Weaknesses
Al-Fayha
Al-Fayha controlled the ball for 55% of the match and looked comfortable in possession, but their lack of cutting edge in the final third proved costly. Chris Smalling and the back three were exposed by Damac's direct play, and the midfield struggled to create clear openings. With only one shot on target from seven attempts, their attacking efforts fizzled out repeatedly, and they were unable to respond after falling behind.
Key Players
Strengths
Weaknesses
Tactical Analysis
Damac’s 4-3-3 provided both defensive stability and attacking width, allowing them to absorb pressure and break quickly. Their midfield trio pressed effectively, disrupting Al-Fayha’s attempts to build through the center. The full-backs supported attacks judiciously, while the front three exploited spaces behind Al-Fayha’s high line. Al-Fayha’s 3-5-1-1 formation gave them numerical superiority in midfield and more possession, but their wing-backs were often pinned back, limiting their attacking output. Damac’s set-piece routines and transitions exposed gaps in Al-Fayha’s back three, leading to decisive goals. Substitutions did little to alter the tactical balance, as Damac maintained their structure and discipline, while Al-Fayha’s changes failed to inject the necessary attacking impetus.
Turning Point
Arielson’s goal in the 53rd minute, which doubled Damac’s lead and effectively ended Al-Fayha’s hopes of a comeback.
Man of the Match
Jonathan Okita
Set the tone with the opening goal and was a constant threat down the flank, driving Damac’s attacking play.
🎮 Prediction Playground
Think the model has it wrong? Nudge each team's expected goals and watch every probability react — then simulate the match and see what happens.
Expected goals · model says 1.15
Expected goals · model says 1.50
Over 2.5 Goals
49%
BTTS: Yes
53%
Likely Scores
1-1 · 0-1 · 1-2
Play this match once with the probabilities above — every run is different.
Powered by the same Poisson scoreline model behind the prediction. For fun and exploration — not betting advice.
Damac vs Al-Fayha Prediction Confidence at a Glance
How strongly the model leans on each market.
Who do you think wins: Damac vs Al-Fayha?
Cast your vote, then see how it stacks up against the model.
Where the Model Sees Value: Damac vs Al-Fayha(3)
Selections where the model's probability beats the bookmaker's implied probability. Expected value is computed from real consensus odds, not opinion.
Double Chance: Draw or Al-Fayha
Al-Fayha are in better form, have a stronger away attack, and Damac have struggled at home and overall. The H2H record also shows Damac rarely winning this matchup.
Read more ↓
BTTS: Yes
Both teams have shown defensive vulnerabilities, with BTTS hitting in 4 of Al-Fayha's last 5 and Damac's attack showing some life at home.
Correct Score: 1–2
This scoreline aligns with the model's most probable outcome, given Al-Fayha's superior attack and Damac's defensive weaknesses.
More Pro League Predictions
The Case For This Damac vs Al-Fayha Prediction
Damac, fighting near the relegation zone, welcome mid-table Al-Fayha in a clash where both teams have struggled defensively. Damac's recent form is poor, with two consecutive losses and only one win in five. Al-Fayha have been inconsistent but show more attacking threat, especially away from home, and have a better overall record. The head-to-head history suggests a tendency toward draws, but Al-Fayha's current edge in attack and Damac's inability to keep clean sheets point toward an away result with goals at both ends.
Key Factors at a Glance
Recent Form
- →Damac's poor form: 2 straight losses, only 1 win in last 5
- →Recent H2H: 6 draws in last 10, but Damac rarely wins
Attack
- →Al-Fayha's away attack: 1.19 goals per away game, 41 goals in 32 matches
Defence
- →Damac's home record: only 3 wins in 16, 20 goals conceded
Injuries & Team News
- →No significant injuries for either side
Match Context
- →Al-Fayha's high BTTS rate: 4/5 recent matches
🚩 Damac vs Al-Fayha Corners Prediction
medium confidenceOur corners model projects roughly 4.6 corners for Damac and 6.2 for Al-Fayha, for an expected total of 10.8. That makes the model lean Over 9.5 corners (64%). Over 8.5: 75% · Over 10.5: 52%.
How Damac and Al-Fayha Are Arriving
Form, fitness and who's likely to start.
Damac vs Al-Fayha Goalscorer Form
Goals scored in last 5 matches across all competitions. Rate = goals ÷ 5 games. XI badge shows player is in the expected starting lineup.
Damaclast 5 matchesRegular contributor
Occasional threat
Al-Fayhalast 5 matchesOccasional threat
Occasional threat
Occasional threat
Occasional threat
Occasional threat
Damac are on a downward trajectory, losing their last two matches and managing just one win in their last five, struggling to score and conceding regularly. Al-Fayha, though inconsistent, have shown more attacking promise, with a recent 4-2 win and only one blank in their last five, suggesting a greater threat going forward.
Damac vs Al-Fayha — Last 10 Matches
Concerns
- −Inconsistent — 3+ losses in last 5
Concerns
- −Inconsistent — 3+ losses in last 5
- −Leaky defence — 2.0 conceded/game
- −No clean sheets in last 5 matches
What History Says: Damac vs Al-Fayha
Head-to-head clashes between these sides are often close, with six draws in the last ten meetings and a recent trend toward both teams scoring. Damac have not dominated at home against Al-Fayha, and the last two encounters ended in 1-1 and 2-1 scorelines, reflecting the competitive balance.
Damac vs Al-Fayha Head-to-Head History
Last 10 meetings between these sides
4
Damac wins
5
Draws
1
Al-Fayha wins
Where the Model Disagrees with the Odds: Damac vs Al-Fayha
With no odds data, it's not possible to quantify value edges, but model probabilities suggest the strongest edge is backing Al-Fayha on double chance (X2) or in the BTTS market. Damac's low win probability and defensive issues make the away side and goals markets more attractive if odds are favorable.
Odds from Bet365. Positive edge = our model gives a higher probability than the odds imply. EV = expected value per £1 staked.
1X2
Over/Under 2.5
Both Teams Score
Best Value Markets Found by the Model
EV per £1 staked. Positive EV means this bet has mathematical edge over the long run. Past model accuracy is tracked on our predictions tracker.
Edge and EV are derived from model probabilities only and do not constitute financial advice. Odds fluctuate — always verify current prices with your bookmaker.
Things to Watch: Damac vs Al-Fayha
- ⚠️No bookmaker odds provided, so value edges cannot be calculated.
- ⚠️Some recent match stats missing (shots, xG, etc.), lowering confidence in set piece and discipline markets.
- ⚠️Both teams have shown erratic form, increasing variance.
This analysis is for informational purposes only and does not constitute financial advice. Betting involves risk — always gamble responsibly.
How This Prediction Was Made
The numbers on this page come from a structured statistical pack for Damac vs Al-Fayha: recent results and scoring data for both sides, home/away splits, the head-to-head record, current league standings, known injuries and live bookmaker odds, all sourced from the API-Football data feed.
An AI model analyses that pack and produces the probabilities, predicted score and written analysis shown above. Nothing is edited by hand, and no information outside the data pack is used.
Last updated: 10 May 2026 (refreshed automatically as new team data arrives). Every prediction is scored against the real result once the match finishes — see the verified track record or read the full methodology. Football is inherently uncertain: treat this page as analysis, not advice.