Energie Cottbus vs SV Wehen Predictions
3. Liga · Germany
Energie Cottbus
Full Time
2 - 1
AI predicted 3 - 1
SV Wehen
Win Probability (1X2)
Best Value Pick
Match Result: Energie Cottbus Win
Match Result
7.5/10Late Engelhardt Strike Seals Dramatic Win for Energie Cottbus Over Wehen
Energie Cottbus edged SV Wehen 2-1 in a tense encounter at the LEAG Energie Stadion, with a late goal from E. Engelhardt proving decisive. The match was finely balanced throughout, as Wehen initially took the lead in the 37th minute before Cottbus responded just before halftime. The second half saw both sides probing for a winner, but it was the home side who found the breakthrough in the dying moments. Cottbus, lining up in a 4-3-3, showed resilience after falling behind, while Wehen’s 3-4-2-1 setup provided early promise but ultimately failed to withstand the late pressure. The result keeps Cottbus’s hopes alive and delivers a blow to Wehen’s ambitions, in a match marked by disciplined defending and a few flashes of attacking brilliance.
🔥 AI Prediction Report
CERTIFIED WPredicted
3 - 1
Actual
2 - 1
💰 Bet Results3/3 hit
Key Moments
37' — Goal
F. Kaya gives SV Wehen the lead after a well-worked move.
41' — Goal
Energie Cottbus equalize just before halftime, shifting momentum.
89' — Goal
E. Engelhardt scores a dramatic late winner for Cottbus.
various' — Yellow Cards
Cottbus receive 1 yellow, Wehen 2, as tempers flare in a tense second half.
Energie Cottbus
Cottbus displayed grit and determination, coming from behind to claim all three points. After conceding in the 37th minute, they responded swiftly with a goal just four minutes later, demonstrating strong character. Their attacking trio, spearheaded by E. Engelhardt and J. Butler, was a constant threat, and the midfield worked tirelessly to regain control after early setbacks. Defensively, the back four held firm under pressure, and the team’s discipline ensured they avoided costly mistakes, picking up just one yellow card. The late winner was a testament to their persistence and belief.
Key Players
Strengths
Weaknesses
SV Wehen
Wehen started brightly, taking the lead in the 37th minute and looking comfortable in their 3-4-2-1 formation. Their midfield, marshaled by D. Suarez and T. Gozusirin, controlled large spells of the first half, and the defense was well-drilled for much of the match. However, lapses at crucial moments—conceding just before halftime and again in the closing stages—undid their earlier good work. Two yellow cards reflected their increasing desperation as the match wore on, and their inability to hold onto the lead proved costly.
Key Players
Strengths
Weaknesses
Tactical Analysis
Cottbus’s 4-3-3 provided width and attacking options, with their wingers and full-backs pushing high to stretch Wehen’s back three. The midfield trio worked hard to disrupt Wehen’s rhythm, especially after falling behind. The switch to a more aggressive approach late in the game paid dividends, as they committed numbers forward in search of a winner. Wehen’s 3-4-2-1 initially offered solidity and allowed them to control the midfield, but as the match progressed, their wing-backs were pinned back, reducing attacking support. The defensive line struggled to cope with Cottbus’s late surges, and tactical discipline waned under pressure, as reflected in their bookings and the late concession.
Turning Point
E. Engelhardt’s 89th-minute goal, which broke the deadlock and sealed victory for Cottbus.
Man of the Match
E. Engelhardt
Led the line with determination and scored the crucial late winner to secure all three points.
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Expected goals · model says 2.25
Expected goals · model says 1.10
Over 2.5 Goals
65%
BTTS: Yes
60%
Likely Scores
2-1 · 2-0 · 1-1
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Powered by the same Poisson scoreline model behind the prediction. For fun and exploration — not betting advice.
Energie Cottbus vs SV Wehen Prediction Confidence at a Glance
How strongly the model leans on each market.
Who do you think wins: Energie Cottbus vs SV Wehen?
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Where the Model Sees Value: Energie Cottbus vs SV Wehen(3)
Selections where the model's probability beats the bookmaker's implied probability. Expected value is computed from real consensus odds, not opinion.
Match Result: Energie Cottbus Win
Energie Cottbus are in strong form (WWLWW), have an excellent home record (10W-7D-1L), and face a SV Wehen side winless in five (DDLLL) with a poor away record (4W-6D-8L). Home side also have better attack and defense metrics in recent matches.
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Over/Under 2.5: Over 2.5
Both teams have high season over 2.5 goal percentages (Cottbus 68.6%, Wehen 54.3%), and recent matches for both sides have seen frequent BTTS and high scoring. Cottbus average 2.6 goals scored in last 5, Wehen concede 2.8 per game in last 5.
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BTTS: Yes
SV Wehen have scored in 4 of their last 5 despite poor form, and Cottbus have conceded in 2 of their last 5. H2H also shows both teams often scoring.
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More 3. Liga Predictions
The Case For This Energie Cottbus vs SV Wehen Prediction
Energie Cottbus host SV Wehen in a clash where the home side are clear favorites based on recent form, season-long performance, and home/away splits. Cottbus are unbeaten in their last four, scoring freely and boasting a strong home record, while Wehen have struggled defensively, especially away, and have not won in five. Expect Cottbus to control proceedings, likely taking an early lead, but Wehen's attack still poses some threat for a consolation. Goals are likely, with both teams' matches tending towards high scoring.
Key Factors at a Glance
Attack
- →Energie Cottbus: 4 wins from last 5, 2.6 goals scored per game in that span.
- →Cottbus home record: 10W-7D-1L, 41 goals scored in 18 home matches.
- →Wehen away record: 4W-6D-8L, only 14 goals scored in 18 away matches.
- →H2H: Cottbus have won 4 of last 9, Wehen 3, 2 draws; most games see both teams scoring.
Defence
- →SV Wehen: 0 wins from last 5, conceding 2.8 goals per game.
Injuries & Team News
- →No key injuries for either side.
Match Context
- →Cottbus high season over 2.5 goal rate (68.6%).
How Energie Cottbus and SV Wehen Are Arriving
Form, fitness and who's likely to start.
Energie Cottbus vs SV Wehen Goalscorer Form
Goals scored in last 5 matches across all competitions. Rate = goals ÷ 5 games. XI badge shows player is in the expected starting lineup.
Energie Cottbuslast 5 matchesOccasional threat
Occasional threat
Occasional threat
SV Wehenlast 5 matchesNo scorer data yet — available after predictions are regenerated.
Energie Cottbus vs SV Wehen — Last 10 Matches
Strengths
- +4/5 wins in last 5 — excellent form
- +Prolific attack — 2.2 goals/game (last 5)
- +Over 2.5 goals in 68.42% of games this season
Strengths
- +Defensively solid — 0.0 conceded/game
Concerns
- −Struggling to score — 0.0 goals/game
What History Says: Energie Cottbus vs SV Wehen
Energie Cottbus vs SV Wehen Head-to-Head History
Last 10 meetings between these sides
5
Energie Cottbus wins
2
Draws
3
SV Wehen wins
Things to Watch: Energie Cottbus vs SV Wehen
- ⚠️No bookmaker odds provided; unable to calculate expected value or value edges.
- ⚠️Some match stats missing for recent games, which may slightly reduce model confidence.
- ⚠️Wehen's attack has shown flashes of quality, so a surprise away goal is possible.
This analysis is for informational purposes only and does not constitute financial advice. Betting involves risk — always gamble responsibly.
How This Prediction Was Made
The numbers on this page come from a structured statistical pack for Energie Cottbus vs SV Wehen: recent results and scoring data for both sides, home/away splits, the head-to-head record, current league standings, known injuries and live bookmaker odds, all sourced from the API-Football data feed.
An AI model analyses that pack and produces the probabilities, predicted score and written analysis shown above. Nothing is edited by hand, and no information outside the data pack is used.
Last updated: 3 May 2026 (refreshed automatically as new team data arrives). Every prediction is scored against the real result once the match finishes — see the verified track record or read the full methodology. Football is inherently uncertain: treat this page as analysis, not advice.