Fulham vs West Ham Predictions
Premier League · England
Fulham
Full Time
0 - 1
AI predicted 2 - 1
West Ham
Win Probability (1X2)
Best Value Pick
Over/Under 2.5: Over 2.5
@ 3.65(+17% edge)
Match Result
7.2/10West Ham Edge Fulham at Craven Cottage with Second-Half Strike
West Ham United snatched a hard-fought 1-0 victory over Fulham at Craven Cottage, thanks to a decisive second-half goal in a tightly contested London derby. Despite Fulham dominating possession with 60% and registering 13 shots (5 on target), it was the visitors who made their chances count, breaking the deadlock in the 65th minute. The Hammers were resolute defensively, absorbing pressure and striking clinically when it mattered most. Fulham, lining up in a 4-2-3-1, controlled much of the tempo and looked the more enterprising side for large spells. However, their lack of cutting edge in the final third proved costly, as West Ham’s disciplined 4-4-2 shape limited clear-cut opportunities. The match was punctuated by a flurry of yellow cards—six in total—as both teams battled fiercely, but ultimately it was West Ham’s efficiency and defensive solidity that secured all three points.
💪 AI Prediction Report
DECENT HITPredicted
2 - 1
Actual
0 - 1
💰 Bet Results0/2 hit
Key Moments
65' — Goal
Valentín Castellanos scores for West Ham, finishing off a swift counter-attack.
73' — Yellow Card
Tomáš Souček shown yellow for a tactical foul, highlighting West Ham's combative approach.
80' — Substitution
Fulham introduce fresh attacking options in search of an equalizer.
87' — Yellow Card
Aaron Wan-Bissaka booked as West Ham dig in to protect their lead.
Fulham
Fulham played with purpose and intensity, dictating the rhythm with 60% possession and a steady flow of attacks. Their midfield, anchored by Sander Berge and Tom Cairney, kept the ball moving and created several promising openings, while the wide play of Samuel Chukwueze and Alex Iwobi stretched the West Ham backline. However, despite 13 shots and 6 corners, Fulham struggled to convert their dominance into goals, often finding West Ham’s defense a stubborn barrier. As the game wore on, Fulham pushed for an equalizer, but their efforts were thwarted by a lack of clinical finishing and some timely interventions from the visitors. The introduction of substitutes brought fresh energy, but the breakthrough never materialized, leaving the hosts frustrated at the final whistle.
Key Players
Strengths
Weaknesses
West Ham
West Ham executed their game plan to perfection, soaking up Fulham’s pressure and striking decisively on the counter. Their 4-4-2 formation provided defensive solidity, with Jean-Clair Todibo and Axel Disasi marshalling the backline and Mads Hermansen making key saves. The midfield worked tirelessly to disrupt Fulham’s rhythm, while the front two, Valentín Castellanos and Callum Wilson, provided a constant threat on the break. The breakthrough came in the 65th minute, capitalizing on a rare defensive lapse from Fulham. After taking the lead, West Ham managed the game expertly, using tactical fouls and disciplined defending to see out the win, despite collecting four yellow cards in the process.
Key Players
Strengths
Weaknesses
Tactical Analysis
Fulham’s 4-2-3-1 formation allowed them to dominate possession and dictate the tempo, with full-backs pushing high and the midfield recycling play. Their focus on width and overlapping runs created several half-chances, but West Ham’s compact 4-4-2 blocked central spaces and forced Fulham into less dangerous areas. The Hammers’ disciplined shape and willingness to concede possession paid dividends, as they looked to spring forward quickly on the break. Substitutions in the second half saw Fulham inject more attacking impetus, but West Ham responded by tightening their defensive lines and using tactical fouls to disrupt play. Set pieces were evenly matched, but it was West Ham’s ability to transition swiftly from defense to attack that ultimately decided the contest.
Turning Point
Castellanos’ 65th-minute goal shifted the momentum and allowed West Ham to retreat into a defensive shell, frustrating Fulham’s pursuit of an equalizer.
Man of the Match
Valentín Castellanos
Scored the decisive goal and led the line with tireless running and intelligent movement.
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Expected goals · model says 1.45
Expected goals · model says 0.90
Over 2.5 Goals
42%
BTTS: Yes
45%
Likely Scores
1-0 · 1-1 · 2-0
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Powered by the same Poisson scoreline model behind the prediction. For fun and exploration — not betting advice.
Fulham vs West Ham Prediction Confidence at a Glance
How strongly the model leans on each market.
Who do you think wins: Fulham vs West Ham?
Cast your vote, then see how it stacks up against the model.
Where the Model Sees Value: Fulham vs West Ham(2)
Selections where the model's probability beats the bookmaker's implied probability. Expected value is computed from real consensus odds, not opinion.
Over/Under 2.5: Over 2.5@ 3.65
Both teams average over 1.4 goals scored per game, and both have high over 2.5 goal percentages (Fulham 59%, West Ham 63%). The odds for over 2.5 are generous compared to the model probability.
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Match Result: Draw@ 3.45
Recent H2H meetings have produced several draws and both teams have shown inconsistency. The model probability for a draw is slightly higher than the implied probability.
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More Premier League Predictions
The Case For This Fulham vs West Ham Prediction
Fulham host West Ham in a midweek Premier League clash with both sides looking to solidify their league positions. Fulham have a strong home record and are coming off a confidence-boosting win, while West Ham are fighting against relegation and have improved defensive solidity in recent games. Expect a competitive match with Fulham's attacking edge at home likely to be the difference, but West Ham's need for points could keep it close.
Key Factors at a Glance
Recent Form
- →Fulham's recent form is mixed (WWLLL), but they come off a strong away win.
- →West Ham are unbeaten in three (DDW), but have only three away wins all season.
Attack
- →Fulham's home record is solid (7W, 2D, 4L), with 22 goals scored in 13 home matches.
- →Both teams average over 1.4 goals scored per game and have high over 2.5 goal percentages.
Defence
- →West Ham have struggled defensively this season, conceding 49 in 27 games (1.81 per game).
Injuries & Team News
- →No significant injuries reported for either side.
🚩 Fulham vs West Ham Corners Prediction
medium confidenceOur corners model projects roughly 4.3 corners for Fulham and 4.3 for West Ham, for an expected total of 8.5. That makes the model lean Under 9.5 corners (65%). Over 8.5: 48% · Over 10.5: 24%.
How Fulham and West Ham Are Arriving
Form, fitness and who's likely to start.
Fulham vs West Ham Goalscorer Form
Goals scored in last 5 matches across all competitions. Rate = goals ÷ 5 games. XI badge shows player is in the expected starting lineup.
Fulhamlast 5 matchesNo scorer data yet — available after predictions are regenerated.
West Hamlast 5 matchesNo scorer data yet — available after predictions are regenerated.
Scorer data populates once predictions are regenerated with the updated pipeline.
Fulham vs West Ham — Last 10 Matches
Strengths
- +Defensively solid — 0.6 conceded/game
- +3 clean sheets in last 5 matches
What History Says: Fulham vs West Ham
Fulham vs West Ham Head-to-Head History
Last 10 meetings between these sides
3
Fulham wins
3
Draws
4
West Ham wins
Things to Watch: Fulham vs West Ham
- ⚠️West Ham's last 5 match stats are incomplete (shots, possession, etc. missing), reducing model confidence.
- ⚠️Fulham's defensive record is patchy, with no clean sheets in last 5.
- ⚠️Market odds are quite short on Fulham and 'btts no', limiting value on favorites.
- ⚠️H2H history is mixed, with both teams having wins and several draws.
This analysis is for informational purposes only and does not constitute financial advice. Betting involves risk — always gamble responsibly.
How This Prediction Was Made
The numbers on this page come from a structured statistical pack for Fulham vs West Ham: recent results and scoring data for both sides, home/away splits, the head-to-head record, current league standings, known injuries and live bookmaker odds, all sourced from the API-Football data feed.
An AI model analyses that pack and produces the probabilities, predicted score and written analysis shown above. Nothing is edited by hand, and no information outside the data pack is used.
Last updated: 27 February 2026 (refreshed automatically as new team data arrives). Every prediction is scored against the real result once the match finishes — see the verified track record or read the full methodology. Football is inherently uncertain: treat this page as analysis, not advice.