Gent vs Union St. Gilloise Predictions
Jupiler Pro League · Belgium
Gent
Full Time
0 - 0
AI predicted 0 - 2
Union St. Gilloise
Win Probability (1X2)
Best Value Pick
Match Result: Union St. Gilloise Win
Match Result
6.8/10Gent Hold Firm as Union St. Gilloise Fail to Break Deadlock in Stalemate
Gent and Union St. Gilloise played out a tense 0-0 draw at the Planet Group Arena, with both sides showing flashes of quality but ultimately unable to find a breakthrough. Union St. Gilloise dominated possession (54%) and peppered Gent’s goal with 15 shots—8 of them on target—but were repeatedly denied by a resolute home defence and an inspired Davy Roef between the posts. Gent, meanwhile, struggled to create clear chances, managing just one shot on target from their nine attempts, but remained dangerous on set pieces, winning eight corners. The match saw Gent pick up four yellow cards as they worked hard to disrupt Union’s rhythm, while the visitors kept their discipline but couldn’t convert their attacking superiority into goals. Tactical adjustments and substitutions failed to tip the balance, leaving both teams to settle for a point in a contest marked by defensive solidity and missed opportunities.
💪 AI Prediction Report
DECENT HITPredicted
0 - 2
Actual
0 - 0
💰 Bet Results1/2 hit
Key Moments
18' — Yellow card
Gent’s T. Araujo booked for a tactical foul to halt a promising Union attack.
34' — Save
Davy Roef makes a crucial stop from K. Rodriguez’s close-range effort.
56' — Yellow card
Gent’s L. Lopes receives a yellow for a late challenge in midfield.
67' — Corner
Gent force their eighth corner but fail to capitalise as Union clear the danger.
79' — Save
Roef again denies Zeneli with a diving save to preserve the clean sheet.
Gent
Gent were forced onto the back foot for much of the contest, conceding the majority of possession and territory to Union St. Gilloise. Despite this, their defensive organisation was impressive, with the back four and goalkeeper Davy Roef standing firm under sustained pressure. Gent’s midfield worked tirelessly to disrupt Union’s build-up, but the hosts struggled to transition effectively into attack, registering just one shot on target from nine attempts. Their best moments came from set pieces, as evidenced by their eight corners, but they lacked the cutting edge in the final third. The four yellow cards picked up by Gent reflected their combative approach, as they sought to break up Union’s play and protect their goal at all costs. While the attacking trio of Skoras, Kanga, and Goore showed intent, they were largely isolated and unable to make a decisive impact.
Key Players
Strengths
Weaknesses
Union St. Gilloise
Union St. Gilloise controlled the tempo and flow of the match, enjoying 54% possession and creating the bulk of the opportunities. Their 15 shots, including 8 on target, reflected a proactive approach, with the likes of K. Rodriguez and B. Zeneli frequently threatening Gent’s goal. The midfield quartet provided width and numbers in attack, but a combination of wayward finishing and an inspired Gent goalkeeper denied them the breakthrough. Defensively, Union were rarely troubled, with their three-man backline and disciplined midfield limiting Gent to speculative efforts. Despite their attacking dominance, Union’s inability to convert chances proved costly, and their frustration grew as the match wore on.
Key Players
Strengths
Weaknesses
Tactical Analysis
Gent lined up in a 4-3-3, focusing on defensive solidity and looking to hit Union on the break or via set pieces. Their compact midfield trio worked hard to screen the back four, but the front three were often left isolated as Gent struggled to progress the ball under Union’s press. Gent’s reliance on corners and set pieces highlighted their lack of fluidity in open play. Union St. Gilloise’s 3-4-2-1 formation allowed them to dominate possession and stretch Gent’s defensive shape. The wingbacks provided width, while the attacking trio interchanged positions to create openings. However, despite their territorial advantage and shot volume, Union lacked the cutting edge in the final third, and their tactical rigidity made it easier for Gent to defend deep and in numbers.
Turning Point
Davy Roef’s save from Rodriguez in the 34th minute set the tone for Gent’s defensive defiance and ultimately preserved the draw.
Man of the Match
Davy Roef
His 8 saves were pivotal in keeping Gent in the game and earning a hard-fought clean sheet.
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Expected goals · model says 0.80
Expected goals · model says 1.45
Over 2.5 Goals
39%
BTTS: Yes
42%
Likely Scores
0-1 · 1-1 · 0-2
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Powered by the same Poisson scoreline model behind the prediction. For fun and exploration — not betting advice.
Gent vs Union St. Gilloise Prediction Confidence at a Glance
How strongly the model leans on each market.
Who do you think wins: Gent vs Union St. Gilloise?
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Where the Model Sees Value: Gent vs Union St. Gilloise(3)
Selections where the model's probability beats the bookmaker's implied probability. Expected value is computed from real consensus odds, not opinion.
Match Result: Union St. Gilloise Win
Union St. Gilloise have a vastly superior season record, are in better recent form, and have dominated the H2H series. Gent have struggled to score and win recently, while Union SG's attack and defense metrics are strong both home and away.
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BTTS: No
Gent have failed to score in 4 of their last 5, and Union SG have kept clean sheets in nearly half their games this season. Recent H2H meetings also trend toward at least one side failing to score.
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Over/Under 2.5: Under 2.5
Both teams' recent matches and season stats show a tendency for lower scoring games, especially Gent, who have seen just 1 goal in their last 5 combined. Union SG's away games also trend under.
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More Jupiler Pro League Predictions
The Case For This Gent vs Union St. Gilloise Prediction
Union St. Gilloise travel to Gent as clear favorites, boasting the league's best defensive record and a dominant H2H history. Gent are struggling for goals and wins, while Union SG continue to grind out results and have the momentum at this crucial stage. Expect a controlled away performance with Gent likely to find chances hard to come by.
Key Factors at a Glance
Recent Form
- →Gent have scored only once in their last 5 matches and failed to score in 4 of them.
- →Union SG are unbeaten in the last 10 H2H (5W, 5D), including 3 straight away wins at Gent.
Defence
- →Union St. Gilloise have lost just 3 of 37 league matches and have the best defensive record (0.57 conceded/game).
Match Context
- →Gent's home record is only moderate (8W/5D/6L), while Union SG are strong away (7W/8D/3L).
- →Recent matches for both sides trend under 2.5 goals, especially Gent.
🚩 Gent vs Union St. Gilloise Corners Prediction
low confidenceOur corners model projects roughly 5 corners for Gent and 5 for Union St. Gilloise, for an expected total of 10. That makes the model lean Over 9.5 corners (54%). Over 8.5: 67% · Over 10.5: 42%.
How Gent and Union St. Gilloise Are Arriving
Form, fitness and who's likely to start.
Gent vs Union St. Gilloise Goalscorer Form
Goals scored in last 5 matches across all competitions. Rate = goals ÷ 5 games. XI badge shows player is in the expected starting lineup.
Gentlast 5 matchesOccasional threat
Union St. Gilloiselast 5 matchesNo scorer data yet — available after predictions are regenerated.
Gent come into this fixture on a five-game winless run (DLLDD), scoring just once and failing to score in four of those matches, highlighting major attacking struggles. In contrast, Union St. Gilloise have won 3 of their last 5 (WLWDW), including a convincing 3-0 win last time out, and remain top of the league with excellent momentum.
Gent vs Union St. Gilloise — Last 10 Matches
Concerns
- −Struggling to score — 0.4 goals/game
Strengths
- +Defensively solid — 0.0 conceded/game
- +48.72% clean sheet rate this season
Concerns
- −Struggling to score — 0.0 goals/game
What History Says: Gent vs Union St. Gilloise
Union St. Gilloise have dominated the recent head-to-head, winning 5 and drawing 5 of the last 10 encounters. Gent have not beaten Union SG in this period, and Union have won the last three away games at Gent. Recent matches have also trended low scoring, with three of the last four finishing 1-1 or 0-0.
Gent vs Union St. Gilloise Head-to-Head History
Last 10 meetings between these sides
0
Gent wins
5
Draws
5
Union St. Gilloise wins
Where the Model Disagrees with the Odds: Gent vs Union St. Gilloise
With no bookmaker odds available, it's not possible to identify specific value edges for this fixture. However, the model suggests Union St. Gilloise are stronger favorites than a typical away side, and the under 2.5 goals and BTTS 'no' markets would likely offer value if priced as close contests.
Odds from Bet365. Positive edge = our model gives a higher probability than the odds imply. EV = expected value per £1 staked.
1X2
Over/Under 2.5
Both Teams Score
Best Value Markets Found by the Model
EV per £1 staked. Positive EV means this bet has mathematical edge over the long run. Past model accuracy is tracked on our predictions tracker.
Edge and EV are derived from model probabilities only and do not constitute financial advice. Odds fluctuate — always verify current prices with your bookmaker.
Things to Watch: Gent vs Union St. Gilloise
- ⚠️No bookmaker odds available, so value and EV cannot be calculated.
- ⚠️Gent's low recent goal output could regress positively, but trend is very poor.
- ⚠️Lineups are not available; late injuries or rotations could impact predictions.
- ⚠️Union SG's away draws are relatively frequent, so the draw is a notable risk.
This analysis is for informational purposes only and does not constitute financial advice. Betting involves risk — always gamble responsibly.
How This Prediction Was Made
The numbers on this page come from a structured statistical pack for Gent vs Union St. Gilloise: recent results and scoring data for both sides, home/away splits, the head-to-head record, current league standings, known injuries and live bookmaker odds, all sourced from the API-Football data feed.
An AI model analyses that pack and produces the probabilities, predicted score and written analysis shown above. Nothing is edited by hand, and no information outside the data pack is used.
Last updated: 14 May 2026 (refreshed automatically as new team data arrives). Every prediction is scored against the real result once the match finishes — see the verified track record or read the full methodology. Football is inherently uncertain: treat this page as analysis, not advice.