GOR Mahia vs Police Predictions
FKF Premier League · Kenya
GOR Mahia
AI Predicted Score
1 - 1
Police
Win Probability (1X2)
Best Value Pick
Over/Under 2.5: Under 2.5
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Expected goals · model says 0.85
Expected goals · model says 0.70
Over 2.5 Goals
20%
BTTS: Yes
29%
Likely Scores
0-0 · 1-0 · 0-1
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Powered by the same Poisson scoreline model behind the prediction. For fun and exploration — not betting advice.
GOR Mahia vs Police Prediction Confidence at a Glance
How strongly the model leans on each market.
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Where the Model Sees Value: GOR Mahia vs Police(3)
Selections where the model's probability beats the bookmaker's implied probability. Expected value is computed from real consensus odds, not opinion.
Match Result: Draw
Both teams have drawn 3 of their last 6 head-to-heads and have similar defensive solidity and recent form. Neither side is prolific in attack, and both are among the best defensive units in the league, increasing the likelihood of a low-scoring stalemate.
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Over/Under 2.5: Under 2.5
GOR Mahia (38.7%) and Police (19.4%) both have low season over 2.5 goal percentages, and their last 5 averages are under 2 goals per match. The head-to-head history also strongly trends under 2.5 goals.
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BTTS: No
Both teams have kept 3 clean sheets in their last 5, and BTTS has only landed once in GOR Mahia's last 5. Defensive strength and low attacking averages suggest BTTS:No has value.
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More FKF Premier League Predictions
The Case For This GOR Mahia vs Police Prediction
This is a top-three clash between the league leaders GOR Mahia and third-placed Police, both of whom have built their seasons on defensive solidity. GOR Mahia have the best defensive record in the league, while Police are just behind in clean sheet percentage. Recent form is steady for both, with neither side prolific in attack. The head-to-head record is very balanced, with a high incidence of draws and low-scoring encounters, suggesting another tight, tactical battle is likely.
Key Factors at a Glance
Recent Form
- →Recent form is similar: GOR Mahia (DWWDL), Police (DWWDW)
Attack
- →Head-to-heads feature 4 draws in last 6 meetings, mostly low scoring
Defence
- →Both teams have strong defensive records: GOR Mahia (0.65 conceded/game), Police (0.61 conceded/game)
Injuries & Team News
- →No significant injuries reported for either side
Match Context
- →Low over 2.5 goal percentages for both sides
How GOR Mahia and Police Are Arriving
Form, fitness and who's likely to start.
GOR Mahia vs Police Goalscorer Form
Goals scored in last 5 matches across all competitions. Rate = goals ÷ 5 games.
GOR Mahialast 5 matchesOccasional threat
Occasional threat
Policelast 5 matchesOccasional threat
Occasional threat
Occasional threat
GOR Mahia come into this match with a DWWDL form string, showing defensive strength but some recent attacking struggles, with only 3 goals in their last 5. Police are on a DWWDW run, slightly more prolific in attack (1.4 goals/game last 5) and equally solid at the back, conceding just 0.4 per game. Both teams have been tough to beat, but neither is blowing opponents away.
GOR Mahia vs Police — Last 10 Matches
Strengths
- +Defensively solid — 0.4 conceded/game
- +3 clean sheets in last 5 matches
- +48.39% clean sheet rate this season
Concerns
- −Struggling to score — 0.6 goals/game
Strengths
- +Solid recent form — 3+ wins in last 5
- +Defensively solid — 0.4 conceded/game
- +3 clean sheets in last 5 matches
- +51.61% clean sheet rate this season
What History Says: GOR Mahia vs Police
Head-to-head history is extremely balanced, with 4 draws in the last 6 meetings and only one match featuring more than 2 goals. Both teams have managed away wins, but the prevailing trend is for tight, low-scoring games, often ending level.
GOR Mahia vs Police Head-to-Head History
Last 9 meetings between these sides
3
GOR Mahia wins
4
Draws
2
Police wins
Things to Watch: GOR Mahia vs Police
- ⚠️No odds data available, so value edges cannot be precisely quantified
- ⚠️Lack of shots, corners, and card data reduces confidence in set piece and discipline markets
- ⚠️Both teams have already played each other in this fixture, so some data may reflect the actual result
This analysis is for informational purposes only and does not constitute financial advice. Betting involves risk — always gamble responsibly.
How This Prediction Was Made
The numbers on this page come from a structured statistical pack for GOR Mahia vs Police: recent results and scoring data for both sides, home/away splits, the head-to-head record, current league standings, known injuries and live bookmaker odds, all sourced from the API-Football data feed.
An AI model analyses that pack and produces the probabilities, predicted score and written analysis shown above. Nothing is edited by hand, and no information outside the data pack is used.
Last updated: 10 May 2026 (refreshed automatically as new team data arrives). Every prediction is scored against the real result once the match finishes — see the verified track record or read the full methodology. Football is inherently uncertain: treat this page as analysis, not advice.