Hansa Rostock vs SSV Ulm 1846 Predictions
3. Liga · Germany
Hansa Rostock
Full Time
5 - 1
AI predicted 3 - 1
SSV Ulm 1846
Win Probability (1X2)
Best Value Pick
BTTS: Yes
@ 3.65(+27% edge)
Match Result
8.5/10Rampant Rostock Crush Ulm with Five-Star Performance at Ostseestadion
Hansa Rostock delivered a scintillating attacking display to overwhelm SSV Ulm 1846, running out 5-1 winners in front of a jubilant home crowd at the Ostseestadion. The hosts seized control early, netting twice before the interval and never looking back, despite a brief Ulm resurgence just after halftime. Ulm’s defensive resolve crumbled under relentless pressure, as Rostock added three more goals in the second half to seal a statement victory. The match was a showcase of clinical finishing and cohesive team play from Rostock, who exploited Ulm’s defensive vulnerabilities, particularly in the closing stages. Ulm, meanwhile, struggled to contain the hosts and saw their discipline falter with four yellow cards, unable to stem the tide despite briefly threatening after the restart.
🔥 AI Prediction Report
CERTIFIED WPredicted
3 - 1
Actual
5 - 1
💰 Bet Results2/2 hit
Key Moments
26' — Goal
Rostock open the scoring, setting the tone for their dominant display.
40' — Goal
Rostock double their lead before halftime, putting Ulm under severe pressure.
47' — Goal
Ulm pull one back early in the second half, hinting at a possible fightback.
51' — Goal
Rostock restore their two-goal cushion just minutes later, extinguishing Ulm’s hopes.
89' — Goal
Rostock add a fourth, capping a dominant performance.
90' — Goal
Rostock strike again in stoppage time to complete the rout.
Various' — Yellow Cards
Ulm collect four yellow cards, reflecting their mounting frustration.
Hansa Rostock
Rostock were in irresistible form, dictating the tempo and carving open Ulm’s backline with regularity. Their 4-1-4-1 formation provided balance and attacking width, allowing midfielders to support lone striker Emil Holten, who led the line with aplomb. The hosts struck twice before halftime, setting the tone for a dominant afternoon. Even after conceding early in the second half, Rostock responded emphatically, scoring three more times to underline their superiority. The team’s collective energy and pressing forced errors from Ulm, while the midfield trio orchestrated attacks with precision. Defensively, Rostock remained largely untroubled, with only a brief lapse after the interval marring an otherwise commanding display.
Key Players
Strengths
Weaknesses
SSV Ulm 1846
Ulm endured a torrid afternoon, unable to match Rostock’s intensity or creativity. Their 5-2-3 setup was intended to provide defensive solidity, but the backline was breached repeatedly as Rostock exploited spaces between the defenders. Ulm’s momentary lifeline came just after the break when they pulled a goal back, but hopes of a comeback were swiftly extinguished by Rostock’s ruthless response. The visitors’ frustrations boiled over with four yellow cards, indicative of their struggle to keep pace. Ulm’s midfield was overrun, and their attacking trio saw little service, leaving them isolated and ineffective for much of the contest.
Key Players
Strengths
Weaknesses
Tactical Analysis
Rostock’s 4-1-4-1 formation offered both defensive stability and attacking fluidity, with a holding midfielder shielding the back four and allowing the advanced midfielders to press high and support the attack. The wide midfielders stretched Ulm’s five-man defense, creating overloads and pulling defenders out of position. Rostock’s pressing game forced Ulm into errors and prevented them from building attacks through midfield. Ulm’s 5-2-3 formation was undermined by a lack of cohesion between the lines. Their wing-backs struggled to contain Rostock’s wide play, and the midfield pairing was outnumbered and overrun. Tactical adjustments were insufficient to stem the flow of Rostock’s attacks, and Ulm’s discipline suffered as they chased shadows for much of the match.
Turning Point
Rostock’s third goal in the 51st minute, coming just after Ulm had pulled one back, decisively killed any momentum the visitors had built and paved the way for the hosts’ emphatic finish.
Man of the Match
Emil Holten
Led the line with energy and intelligence, consistently troubling Ulm’s defense and playing a central role in Rostock’s attacking dominance.
🎮 Prediction Playground
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Expected goals · model says 2.40
Expected goals · model says 1.05
Over 2.5 Goals
67%
BTTS: Yes
59%
Likely Scores
2-1 · 2-0 · 1-1
Play this match once with the probabilities above — every run is different.
Powered by the same Poisson scoreline model behind the prediction. For fun and exploration — not betting advice.
Hansa Rostock vs SSV Ulm 1846 Prediction Confidence at a Glance
How strongly the model leans on each market.
Who do you think wins: Hansa Rostock vs SSV Ulm 1846?
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Where the Model Sees Value: Hansa Rostock vs SSV Ulm 1846(2)
Selections where the model's probability beats the bookmaker's implied probability. Expected value is computed from real consensus odds, not opinion.
BTTS: Yes@ 3.65
Both teams have a high BTTS rate in recent matches (Hansa 3/5, Ulm 4/5), and Ulm have scored in all of their last 5. The price is significantly above model probability.
Read more ↓
Match Result: Hansa Rostock Win@ 1.22
Hansa Rostock are strong at home, Ulm are poor away and in the relegation zone. However, the odds are very short and offer limited value.
More 3. Liga Predictions
The Case For This Hansa Rostock vs SSV Ulm 1846 Prediction
Hansa Rostock, pushing for promotion, host a struggling SSV Ulm 1846 side that sits just above the relegation zone. Rostock have been free-scoring at home and boast a strong recent form, while Ulm have been leaky defensively, especially away. The hosts are clear favorites, but Ulm have shown they can score even in defeat, suggesting goals at both ends are likely. Expect Rostock to control the match, create more chances, and ultimately secure the win, but Ulm's attack could trouble the home defense.
Key Factors at a Glance
Recent Form
- →Head-to-head: Rostock won 5-0 away in the reverse fixture
Defence
- →Hansa Rostock's home attack (1.81 goals/game) vs Ulm's away defense (2.07 conceded/game)
- →Ulm have scored in all of their last 5 matches, but conceded in all but one
Injuries & Team News
- →No significant injuries reported
Match Context
- →Rostock have only failed to score once in their last 5
- →Both teams have high over 2.5 and BTTS rates
🚩 Hansa Rostock vs SSV Ulm 1846 Corners Prediction
low confidenceOur corners model projects roughly 5.3 corners for Hansa Rostock and 6 for SSV Ulm 1846, for an expected total of 11.3. That makes the model lean Over 9.5 corners (69%). Over 8.5: 79% · Over 10.5: 57%.
How Hansa Rostock and SSV Ulm 1846 Are Arriving
Form, fitness and who's likely to start.
Hansa Rostock vs SSV Ulm 1846 Goalscorer Form
Goals scored in last 5 matches across all competitions. Rate = goals ÷ 5 games. XI badge shows player is in the expected starting lineup.
Hansa Rostocklast 5 matchesNo scorer data yet — available after predictions are regenerated.
SSV Ulm 1846last 5 matchesNo scorer data yet — available after predictions are regenerated.
Scorer data populates once predictions are regenerated with the updated pipeline.
Hansa Rostock vs SSV Ulm 1846 — Last 10 Matches
Strengths
- +4/5 wins in last 5 — excellent form
- +Prolific attack — 3.0 goals/game (last 5)
- +Both teams scoring in most recent games
Strengths
- +Both teams scoring in most recent games
- +Over 2.5 goals in 66.67% of games this season
Concerns
- −Leaky defence — 2.0 conceded/game
What History Says: Hansa Rostock vs SSV Ulm 1846
Hansa Rostock vs SSV Ulm 1846 Head-to-Head History
Last 2 meetings between these sides
2
Hansa Rostock wins
0
Draws
0
SSV Ulm 1846 wins
Where the Model Disagrees with the Odds: Hansa Rostock vs SSV Ulm 1846
Odds from 10Bet. Positive edge = our model gives a higher probability than the odds imply. EV = expected value per £1 staked.
1X2
Over/Under 2.5
Both Teams Score
Best Value Markets Found by the Model
EV per £1 staked. Positive EV means this bet has mathematical edge over the long run. Past model accuracy is tracked on our predictions tracker.
Edge and EV are derived from model probabilities only and do not constitute financial advice. Odds fluctuate — always verify current prices with your bookmaker.
Things to Watch: Hansa Rostock vs SSV Ulm 1846
- ⚠️Only one recent H2H; limited sample size
- ⚠️Some missing match stats (shots, possession) for certain recent games
- ⚠️Bookmaker odds for some markets (e.g., O/U 2.5) not provided; value analysis limited to available odds
This analysis is for informational purposes only and does not constitute financial advice. Betting involves risk — always gamble responsibly.
How This Prediction Was Made
The numbers on this page come from a structured statistical pack for Hansa Rostock vs SSV Ulm 1846: recent results and scoring data for both sides, home/away splits, the head-to-head record, current league standings, known injuries and live bookmaker odds, all sourced from the API-Football data feed.
An AI model analyses that pack and produces the probabilities, predicted score and written analysis shown above. Nothing is edited by hand, and no information outside the data pack is used.
Last updated: 7 April 2026 (refreshed automatically as new team data arrives). Every prediction is scored against the real result once the match finishes — see the verified track record or read the full methodology. Football is inherently uncertain: treat this page as analysis, not advice.