Haras El Hodood vs Petrojet Predictions

Premier LeaguePremier League · Egypt
high confidence
Haras El Hodood

Haras El Hodood

Full Time

0 - 3

AI predicted 0 - 2

Petrojet

Petrojet

🗓️ Saturday, 23 May 2026 at 20:00 EEST (venue time) · 17:00 UTC (your time)📍 Harras El Hodood Stadium, Alexandria

Win Probability (1X2)

Haras El Hodood 15%Draw 39%Petrojet 46%

Best Value Pick

BTTS: No

@ 1.9(+12% edge)

Match Result

7/10

Clinical Petrojet Punish Haras El Hodood with Emphatic 3-0 Away Win

Petrojet delivered a statement performance at the Harras El Hodood Stadium, sweeping aside Haras El Hodood 3-0 in a commanding Premier League display. The visitors struck early, with goals in the 7th and 16th minutes, stunning the home crowd and seizing control of the contest. Haras El Hodood tried to respond, but Petrojet's organization and ruthlessness in attack proved decisive, with a third goal midway through the second half sealing the result. Despite edging possession with 52% and earning 10 corners, Haras El Hodood struggled to convert their opportunities, managing only three shots on target from 11 attempts. Petrojet, meanwhile, were far more efficient, firing 5 of their 14 shots on target and capitalizing on key moments to secure a comprehensive victory.

🔥 AI Prediction Report

CERTIFIED W

Predicted

0 - 2

⚡

Actual

0 - 3

✅Result
✅BTTS
❌O/U 2.5
❌Score

💰 Bet Results2/2 hit

1x2 — away@ 2.8
✅
btts — no@ 1.9
✅

Key Moments

7' — Goal

Petrojet open the scoring, capitalizing on a defensive lapse to take an early lead.

16' — Goal

Petrojet double their advantage, stunning the home side with a swift attacking move.

56' — Goal

Petrojet put the game beyond doubt with a third goal, effectively sealing the win.

65' — Yellow Card

Haras El Hodood receive a yellow card as frustration grows in the second half.

73' — Yellow Card

Petrojet pick up a yellow card, but maintain composure to see out the match.

Haras El Hodood

Haras El Hodood

4.5/10

Haras El Hodood started brightly but were rocked by two early Petrojet goals, and never truly recovered. Despite seeing more of the ball and creating numerous set-piece opportunities with 10 corners, the hosts lacked a cutting edge in the final third and struggled to break down a disciplined Petrojet defense. Their three shots on target rarely troubled the opposition goalkeeper, and defensive lapses proved costly throughout the match.

Key Players

M. Bayoumi: Worked tirelessly in midfield to regain control and distribute, but lacked support in attack.
M. Abdelghani: Tried to marshal the backline but was left exposed during Petrojet's early onslaught.

Strengths

Won the midfield possession battle (52%)Created multiple set-piece opportunities (10 corners)

Weaknesses

Defensive vulnerability to early attacksIneffective finishing (3 shots on target from 11 attempts)Struggled to respond after conceding
Petrojet

Petrojet

8.5/10

Petrojet produced a clinical and disciplined away performance, striking twice inside the opening 16 minutes to seize control. Their 4-2-3-1 formation allowed them to transition quickly and exploit gaps in the Haras El Hodood defense. Defensively, they limited the hosts to few clear chances, and their efficiency in front of goal—scoring three times from five shots on target—was the difference. Petrojet managed the game expertly after their third goal, maintaining composure and seeing out a convincing win.

Key Players

G. Chukwudi: Led the line expertly, involved in key attacking moves and contributed to the team's early goals.
M. Ibrahim: Controlled the midfield tempo and provided the link between defense and attack.

Strengths

Clinical finishing (3 goals from 5 shots on target)Disciplined defensive structureFast, effective transitions

Weaknesses

Conceded more possession (48%)Allowed 10 corners, though defended them well

Tactical Analysis

Haras El Hodood lined up in a 4-3-3, seeking to control possession and use their width, as evidenced by their 10 corners. However, their high line and initial defensive disorganization left them vulnerable to Petrojet's incisive counter-attacks. Petrojet's 4-2-3-1 formation allowed for quick transitions, with the double pivot shielding the defense and the attacking trio supporting the lone striker effectively. After establishing a two-goal lead, Petrojet dropped deeper, focusing on compactness and breaking up play in midfield, while still threatening on the break. Substitutions from both sides aimed to inject energy and address tactical shortcomings, but the early deficit left Haras El Hodood chasing the game. Petrojet's ability to absorb pressure and exploit space behind the home defense was a key tactical advantage.

Turning Point

Petrojet's second goal in the 16th minute, which gave them a commanding lead and forced Haras El Hodood to chase the game from early on.

Man of the Match

G. Chukwudi

Instrumental in Petrojet's attacking play, leading the line with intelligence and contributing to the team's early goals that set the tone for the victory.

🎮 Prediction Playground

Think the model has it wrong? Nudge each team's expected goals and watch every probability react — then simulate the match and see what happens.

Haras El Hodood0.80

Expected goals · model says 0.80

Petrojet1.35

Expected goals · model says 1.35

Win Probability
Haras El Hodood 22% Draw 28% Petrojet 50%

Over 2.5 Goals

36%

BTTS: Yes

41%

Likely Scores

0-1 · 1-1 · 0-0

Play this match once with the probabilities above — every run is different.

Powered by the same Poisson scoreline model behind the prediction. For fun and exploration — not betting advice.

Haras El Hodood vs Petrojet Prediction Confidence at a Glance

How strongly the model leans on each market.

Match Result (1X2)
15%
39%
46%
Haras El Hodood 15%Draw 39%Petrojet 46%
Both Teams to Score
35%
65%
Yes 35%No 65%
Over/Under 2.5 Goals
41%
59%
Over 2.5 41%Under 2.5 59%
Corners (Over/Under 9.5)
55%
45%
Over 9.5 55%Under 9.5 45%

Who do you think wins: Haras El Hodood vs Petrojet?

Cast your vote, then see how it stacks up against the model.

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The Case For This Haras El Hodood vs Petrojet Prediction

Petrojet travel to Haras El Hodood as clear favorites, with the hosts struggling for goals and form. Petrojet's recent attacking output and away resilience contrast sharply with Haras El Hodood's lack of threat, especially at home. The fixture is likely to be low-scoring, with Petrojet expected to control proceedings and take advantage of Haras El Hodood's defensive frailties.

Key Factors at a Glance

Recent Form

  • →Petrojet have won 4 of the last 10 H2H, including the last two meetings.

Attack

  • →Haras El Hodood have scored just 0.4 goals per game in their last 5 and failed to score in 3 of those matches.
  • →Petrojet average 1.6 goals per game in their last 5 and have lost only once in that span.

Defence

  • →Both teams have low clean sheet percentages, but Haras El Hodood's attack is particularly blunt.

Match Context

  • →Haras El Hodood have the second-worst home record in the league.

🚩 Haras El Hodood vs Petrojet Corners Prediction

low confidence
10.1expected total corners
Over 55%
Under 45%
Over 9.5Under 9.5

Our corners model projects roughly 6.3 corners for Haras El Hodood and 3.8 for Petrojet, for an expected total of 10.1. That makes the model lean Over 9.5 corners (55%). Over 8.5: 68% · Over 10.5: 43%.

More corners tips:Over 9.5 →Under 9.5 →

How Haras El Hodood and Petrojet Are Arriving

Form, fitness and who's likely to start.

Haras El Hodood vs Petrojet Goalscorer Form

Goals scored in last 5 matches across all competitions. Rate = goals ÷ 5 games. XI badge shows player is in the expected starting lineup.

Haras El HodoodHaras El Hodoodlast 5 matches
I. Abou-Salimasub/out
1 goal in 5
20%

Occasional threat

PetrojetPetrojetlast 5 matches
B. MoussaXI
1 goal in 5
20%

Occasional threat

I. AbdallahXI
1 goal in 5
20%

Occasional threat

M. IbrahimXI
1 goal in 5
20%

Occasional threat

R. Ahmedsub/out
1 goal in 5
20%

Occasional threat

A. HamedXI
1 goal in 5
20%

Occasional threat

Haras El Hodood are winless in their last five, with a form string of DLDDL and just two goals scored. Petrojet, meanwhile, have lost only once in five, winning twice and drawing twice, and are coming off a morale-boosting 3-2 away win. The momentum is clearly with the visitors.

Haras El Hodood vs Petrojet — Last 10 Matches

Haras El HodoodHaras El HodoodLast 10 results
L0-3
W2-0
D0-0
L1-2
D0-0
D1-1
L0-1
D2-2
L1-2
D0-0
Lvs Petrojet0-3
W@ Kahraba Ismailia2-0
Dvs El Mokawloon0-0
Lvs Masr1-2
Dvs El Geish0-0
D@ El Gouna FC1-1
Lvs Wadi Degla0-1
Dvs Al Ittihad2-2
L@ Pharco1-2
Dvs Future FC0-0

Strengths

  • +3 clean sheets in last 5 matches

Concerns

  • −Struggling to score — 0.6 goals/game
PetrojetPetrojetLast 10 results
W3-0
D1-1
W3-2
D2-2
W2-1
L0-1
D1-1
W1-0
L0-2
W2-1
W@ Haras El Hodood3-0
Dvs Future FC1-1
W@ National Bank of Egypt3-2
Dvs Wadi Degla2-2
W@ Al Ittihad2-1
Lvs Ismaily SC0-1
D@ Ghazl El Mehalla1-1
Wvs Pharco1-0
L@ El Geish0-2
Wvs Masr2-1

Strengths

  • +Solid recent form — 3+ wins in last 5
  • +Prolific attack — 2.2 goals/game (last 5)
  • +Both teams scoring in most recent games

What History Says: Haras El Hodood vs Petrojet

Petrojet have dominated the recent head-to-head, winning both meetings this season and regularly scoring multiple goals. Draws are not uncommon, but Haras El Hodood's last home win over Petrojet was several years ago, highlighting the visitors' historical edge.

Haras El Hodood vs Petrojet Head-to-Head History

Last 10 meetings between these sides

2

Haras El Hodood wins

4

Draws

4

Petrojet wins

20%40% draws40%
23 May 26Haras El Hodood vs Petrojet0-3
23 Nov 25Petrojet vs Haras El Hodood3-1
11 Mar 25Haras El Hodood vs Petrojet1-2
21 Feb 25Petrojet vs Haras El Hodood2-2
12 Feb 24Petrojet vs Haras El Hodood1-1
10 Jan 24Petrojet vs Haras El Hodood4-0

Where the Model Disagrees with the Odds: Haras El Hodood vs Petrojet

The model finds value backing Petrojet to win, with a probability edge over the market's implied odds. There is also a clear model preference for 'BTTS: No', given Haras El Hodood's attacking struggles and the likelihood of a low-scoring match. These selections offer the best expected value based on the available data.

Odds from Bet365. Positive edge = our model gives a higher probability than the odds imply. EV = expected value per £1 staked.

1X2

SelectionOddsModel %Edge
Haras El Hodood Win1.6715.0%-44.9%
Drawvalue2.9039.0%+4.5%
Petrojet Win2.1046.0%-1.6%

Over/Under 2.5

SelectionOddsModel %Edge
Over 2.5value5.5041.0%+22.8%
Under 2.51.1459.0%-28.7%

Both Teams Score

SelectionOddsModel %Edge
Yesvalue5.5035.0%+16.8%
No1.1465.0%-22.7%

Best Value Markets Found by the Model

1X2: Draw @ 2.90EV +0.131
Over/Under 2.5: Over 2.5 @ 5.50EV +1.255
Both Teams Score: Yes @ 5.50EV +0.925

EV per £1 staked. Positive EV means this bet has mathematical edge over the long run. Past model accuracy is tracked on our predictions tracker.

Edge and EV are derived from model probabilities only and do not constitute financial advice. Odds fluctuate — always verify current prices with your bookmaker.

Things to Watch: Haras El Hodood vs Petrojet

  • ⚠️No bookmaker odds data provided—model value edges use estimated odds.
  • ⚠️Some match stats and lineups are missing for recent games, increasing uncertainty.
  • ⚠️Egyptian Premier League can be low-scoring and unpredictable, especially late in the season.

This analysis is for informational purposes only and does not constitute financial advice. Betting involves risk — always gamble responsibly.

How This Prediction Was Made

The numbers on this page come from a structured statistical pack for Haras El Hodood vs Petrojet: recent results and scoring data for both sides, home/away splits, the head-to-head record, current league standings, known injuries and live bookmaker odds, all sourced from the API-Football data feed.

An AI model analyses that pack and produces the probabilities, predicted score and written analysis shown above. Nothing is edited by hand, and no information outside the data pack is used.

Last updated: 17 May 2026 (refreshed automatically as new team data arrives). Every prediction is scored against the real result once the match finishes — see the verified track record or read the full methodology. Football is inherently uncertain: treat this page as analysis, not advice.

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