Havelse vs FC Schweinfurt 05 Predictions
3. Liga · Germany
Havelse
Full Time
3 - 2
AI predicted 2 - 1
FC Schweinfurt 05
Win Probability (1X2)
Best Value Pick
Over/Under 2.5: Over 2.5
@ 3(+35% edge)
Match Result
8.2/10Havelse Edge Schweinfurt 3-2 in Five-Goal Thriller Despite Red Card Drama
In a pulsating encounter at the Eilenriedestadion, Havelse triumphed 3-2 over FC Schweinfurt 05 in a match brimming with attacking intent and dramatic momentum swings. Both sides, deploying matching 3-5-2 formations, traded blows in a frenetic first half, with Schweinfurt twice taking the lead only for Havelse to respond with resilience and attacking flair. Despite being reduced to ten men late on, Havelse showed remarkable composure to secure all three points, netting the decisive goal in the 81st minute. The contest was marked by five goals, four yellow cards, and a red card, encapsulating the intensity and unpredictability of 3. Liga football.
🔥 AI Prediction Report
CERTIFIED WPredicted
2 - 1
Actual
3 - 2
💰 Bet Results2/2 hit
Key Moments
28' — Goal
Nico Grimbs puts Schweinfurt ahead with a composed finish.
30' — Goal
Marko Ilic quickly equalizes for Havelse, swinging momentum back.
36' — Goal
Kristian Böhnlein restores Schweinfurt's lead with a well-taken goal.
54' — Goal
Lorenzo Paldino levels the match at 2-2, igniting Havelse's comeback.
81' — Goal
Nassim Boujellab scores the winner for Havelse, despite their numerical disadvantage.
late' — Red Card
Havelse reduced to ten men, but hold on for victory.
Havelse
Havelse displayed impressive attacking verve and mental fortitude, coming from behind twice before sealing victory with a late goal. Their midfield was industrious, and the front line capitalized on key opportunities. Even after going down to ten men, they maintained their structure and saw out the result with determination.
Key Players
Strengths
Weaknesses
FC Schweinfurt 05
Schweinfurt started brightly, twice taking the lead in the opening 36 minutes, but struggled to maintain control as Havelse grew into the game. Their midfield pressed well early on, but defensive frailties were exposed as the match wore on, and they failed to capitalize on their numerical advantage after Havelse’s red card.
Key Players
Strengths
Weaknesses
Tactical Analysis
Both teams lined up in a mirrored 3-5-2, leading to a congested midfield but allowing for dynamic wing play and quick transitions. Schweinfurt’s early pressing and use of their wing-backs paid dividends with two first-half goals, but Havelse adapted well, increasing their midfield intensity and exploiting spaces between Schweinfurt’s defensive lines. The match saw tactical discipline from Havelse after the red card, as they dropped deeper and relied on quick counters, while Schweinfurt struggled to break down a compact ten-man unit. Substitutions and formation tweaks were less impactful than the shifts in momentum created by the goals and cards, with both teams sticking largely to their initial setups. Set pieces were not decisive, but open play transitions defined the contest.
Turning Point
Nassim Boujellab’s 81st-minute goal, scored after Havelse had been reduced to ten men, proved decisive and broke Schweinfurt’s resolve.
Man of the Match
Nassim Boujellab
Delivered a tireless midfield performance and netted the crucial winner under immense pressure.
🎮 Prediction Playground
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Expected goals · model says 2.05
Expected goals · model says 1.35
Over 2.5 Goals
66%
BTTS: Yes
65%
Likely Scores
2-1 · 1-1 · 2-0
Play this match once with the probabilities above — every run is different.
Powered by the same Poisson scoreline model behind the prediction. For fun and exploration — not betting advice.
Havelse vs FC Schweinfurt 05 Prediction Confidence at a Glance
How strongly the model leans on each market.
Who do you think wins: Havelse vs FC Schweinfurt 05?
Cast your vote, then see how it stacks up against the model.
Where the Model Sees Value: Havelse vs FC Schweinfurt 05(2)
Selections where the model's probability beats the bookmaker's implied probability. Expected value is computed from real consensus odds, not opinion.
BTTS: Yes@ 3.4
Both teams have high BTTS rates in recent matches (Havelse 3/5, Schweinfurt 4/5), both concede heavily, and model probability (60%) is far above the implied odds (29%).
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Over/Under 2.5: Over 2.5@ 3
Both teams have over 2.5 goals in over two-thirds of their matches this season, and model probability (68%) is well above the implied odds (33%).
Read more ↓
More 3. Liga Predictions
The Case For This Havelse vs FC Schweinfurt 05 Prediction
This is a clash between two struggling sides with porous defenses but some attacking spark, especially from Havelse at home. Both teams have been involved in high-scoring, open games recently, with little to separate them defensively. Expect a match with chances at both ends and a strong likelihood of multiple goals.
Key Factors at a Glance
Defence
- →Both teams average over 2 goals conceded per game.
- →Neither side keeps clean sheets (Havelse 8%, Schweinfurt 5%).
Match Context
- →Havelse have won both previous H2H meetings, both with 3-2 scorelines.
- →Schweinfurt have the league's worst away record (1W, 2D, 16L, 14:50 GF:GA).
- →BTTS has landed in 7 of the last 10 combined matches for these teams.
How Havelse and FC Schweinfurt 05 Are Arriving
Form, fitness and who's likely to start.
Havelse vs FC Schweinfurt 05 Goalscorer Form
Goals scored in last 5 matches across all competitions. Rate = goals ÷ 5 games. XI badge shows player is in the expected starting lineup.
Havelselast 5 matchesRegular contributor
Occasional threat
FC Schweinfurt 05last 5 matchesOccasional threat
Occasional threat
Havelse come into this fixture with three wins from their last five, including two home victories, showing some late-season resilience despite a leaky defense. Schweinfurt, meanwhile, are winless in five (LDDDD), struggling to convert draws into wins and consistently conceding on the road.
Havelse vs FC Schweinfurt 05 — Last 10 Matches
Strengths
- +Both teams scoring in most recent games
- +Over 2.5 goals in 71.05% of games this season
Concerns
- −Inconsistent — 3+ losses in last 5
- −Leaky defence — 3.2 conceded/game
- −No clean sheets in last 5 matches
Strengths
- +Both teams scoring in most recent games
- +Over 2.5 goals in 68.42% of games this season
Concerns
- −Leaky defence — 2.0 conceded/game
What History Says: Havelse vs FC Schweinfurt 05
The head-to-head record is brief but telling: both matches have ended 3-2 to the home side, suggesting a pattern of open, attacking games when these teams meet. Havelse have the psychological edge, having won both encounters.
Havelse vs FC Schweinfurt 05 Head-to-Head History
Last 2 meetings between these sides
2
Havelse wins
0
Draws
0
FC Schweinfurt 05 wins
Where the Model Disagrees with the Odds: Havelse vs FC Schweinfurt 05
The model sees significant value in both 'BTTS: Yes' and 'Over 2.5 Goals' markets, as the probabilities are much higher than the bookmaker's implied odds. The draw also offers a very marginal edge, but the strongest value is in expecting goals and both teams to score.
Odds from Bet365. Positive edge = our model gives a higher probability than the odds imply. EV = expected value per £1 staked.
1X2
Over/Under 2.5
Both Teams Score
Best Value Markets Found by the Model
EV per £1 staked. Positive EV means this bet has mathematical edge over the long run. Past model accuracy is tracked on our predictions tracker.
Edge and EV are derived from model probabilities only and do not constitute financial advice. Odds fluctuate — always verify current prices with your bookmaker.
Things to Watch: Havelse vs FC Schweinfurt 05
- ⚠️Shots and possession data are incomplete for most recent matches.
- ⚠️Small H2H sample size (only 2 matches).
- ⚠️Both teams have little to play for in table, so motivation could be variable.
This analysis is for informational purposes only and does not constitute financial advice. Betting involves risk — always gamble responsibly.
How This Prediction Was Made
The numbers on this page come from a structured statistical pack for Havelse vs FC Schweinfurt 05: recent results and scoring data for both sides, home/away splits, the head-to-head record, current league standings, known injuries and live bookmaker odds, all sourced from the API-Football data feed.
An AI model analyses that pack and produces the probabilities, predicted score and written analysis shown above. Nothing is edited by hand, and no information outside the data pack is used.
Last updated: 10 May 2026 (refreshed automatically as new team data arrives). Every prediction is scored against the real result once the match finishes — see the verified track record or read the full methodology. Football is inherently uncertain: treat this page as analysis, not advice.