Horsham vs Dagenham & Redbridge Predictions

Horsham
AI Predicted Score
1 - 2

Dagenham & Redbridge
Win Probability (1X2)
Best Value Pick
Match Result: Dagenham & Redbridge Win
Horsham vs Dagenham & Redbridge: Match Preview
Dagenham & Redbridge arrive at the Fusion Aviation Community Stadium as the National League South's form side, riding a four-match winning streak that has seen them concede just once and climb to the summit. Horsham, unbeaten in four and sitting just behind in second, have found momentum of their own after a pair of opening draws, most recently edging Braintree away and shutting out Hampton & Richmond at home. With both sides yet to taste defeat, this is an early litmus test for their promotion credentials.
The tactical matchup is shaped by Dagenham's watertight defence and Horsham's measured approach at home. The visitors have kept three clean sheets in four, including both away fixtures, and have spread their seven goals evenly across halves. Horsham's attack, meanwhile, has been inconsistent—failing to score in two of their last five, but showing signs of improvement with goals in each of their last two. Both teams have seen the majority of their goals arrive after the break, and neither has conceded at home so far this season, suggesting a cagey opening before the contest opens up.
Given Dagenham's current momentum and away form, the model expects them to edge a low-scoring encounter. Horsham's defensive discipline at home should keep them competitive, but Dagenham's ability to find late goals and maintain clean sheets on their travels gives them the edge in a contest likely to be decided by fine margins.
How Horsham and Dagenham & Redbridge Are Arriving
Form, fitness and who's likely to start.
Horsham vs Dagenham & Redbridge Goalscorer Form
Goals scored in last 5 matches across all competitions. Rate = goals ÷ 5 games.
Scoring consistently
Occasional threat
Occasional threat
Regular contributor
Regular contributor
Regular contributor
Occasional threat
Occasional threat
Dagenham & Redbridge are the division's form side, stringing together four consecutive wins and conceding just once in that span. Horsham are unbeaten themselves, with two wins and two draws, but their attack has been less consistent, failing to score in two of their last five. Both teams have built their starts on defensive solidity, but Dagenham's sharper edge in both boxes has set them apart early on.
Horsham vs Dagenham & Redbridge — Last 4 Matches
Strengths
- +50% clean sheet rate this season
Strengths
- +4/5 wins in last 5 — excellent form
- +Defensively solid — 0.6 conceded/game
- +3 clean sheets in last 5 matches
- +75% clean sheet rate this season
Horsham vs Dagenham & Redbridge Prediction Confidence at a Glance
How strongly the model leans on each market.
Stats Worth Knowing
The numbers behind Horsham vs Dagenham & Redbridge that most previews miss.
- 1Dagenham & Redbridge have won four straight league matches, conceding just once and keeping three clean sheets.
- 2Horsham's last two home games have both finished under 2.5 goals, with just two goals scored and none conceded.
- 3Both previous head-to-head meetings saw both teams score, but neither side managed more than two goals in a game.
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Expected goals · model says 0.95
Expected goals · model says 1.25
Over 2.5 Goals
38%
BTTS: Yes
44%
Likely Scores
0-1 · 1-1 · 0-0
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Powered by the same Poisson scoreline model behind the prediction. For fun and exploration — not betting advice.
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The Case For This Horsham vs Dagenham & Redbridge Prediction
Momentum is the defining theme as the league's top two meet: Dagenham & Redbridge have set the early pace with four straight wins, conceding just once, while Horsham are unbeaten but have drawn two of their opening four. The visitors' defensive solidity and knack for late goals have underpinned their perfect start, whereas Horsham's recent uptick has been fuelled by a pair of narrow victories after a cagey opening fortnight. The clash of Dagenham's relentless form against Horsham's home resilience sets up a high-stakes early-season test.
Key Factors at a Glance
Defence
- →Dagenham & Redbridge are on a four-match winning streak, conceding only one goal in that run.
- →Horsham have kept back-to-back clean sheets at home but have only scored twice in two home outings.
Match Context
- →Both sides have seen under 2.5 goals in 75% of their league matches this season.
Where the Model Sees Value: Horsham vs Dagenham & Redbridge(2)
Selections where the model's probability beats the bookmaker's implied probability. Expected value is computed from real consensus odds, not opinion.
Match Result: Dagenham & Redbridge Win
Dagenham & Redbridge arrive on a four-match winning streak, have conceded just once in four league games, and boast a perfect away record (2-0-0, 3 scored, 0 conceded). Horsham have momentum themselves, but their attack has failed to score in two of the last five and their home scoring rate (1.0 per game) lags behind Dagenham's defensive record.
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Over/Under 2.5: Under 2.5
Both teams have seen under 2.5 goals in 75% of their league matches so far, and Dagenham & Redbridge have kept three clean sheets in their last four. Horsham have only scored twice at home in two games, while their defence has yet to be breached at the Fusion Aviation Community Stadium.
Read more ↓
More National League - South Predictions
What History Says: Horsham vs Dagenham & Redbridge
The recent head-to-head record is limited but competitive: Horsham won away 2-1 last October, while the most recent meeting finished 1-1 at Horsham's ground. Both matches saw both teams score, but neither side has managed more than two goals in these encounters, suggesting a closely contested fixture.
Horsham vs Dagenham & Redbridge Head-to-Head History
Last 2 meetings between these sides
1
Horsham wins
1
Draws
0
Dagenham & Redbridge wins
Things to Watch: Horsham vs Dagenham & Redbridge
- ⚠️No bookmaker odds available, so value calculations are indicative only.
- ⚠️Very early in the season: small sample sizes increase volatility and reduce predictive confidence.
- ⚠️No injury or lineup data at time of prediction; late changes could affect both sides' strengths.
This analysis is for informational purposes only and does not constitute financial advice. Betting involves risk — always gamble responsibly.
Final Verdict
Horsham 1–2 Dagenham & RedbridgeDagenham & Redbridge's four-match winning streak and defensive record—just one goal conceded—make them slight favourites to edge Horsham, despite the hosts' unbeaten start and home resilience. The strongest data point is Dagenham's perfect away record (two wins, zero conceded), which tips the balance in their favour. However, with both teams showing a tendency for low-scoring, tightly contested matches, a draw or narrow Horsham win remains plausible if Dagenham's attack stalls or Horsham's defence holds firm.
Horsham vs Dagenham & Redbridge: Common Questions
Who will win Horsham vs Dagenham & Redbridge?
The model gives Dagenham & Redbridge a 42% chance of victory, with Horsham at 26% and a draw at 32%. Dagenham's four-match winning run and three clean sheets in four tip the balance slightly in their favour.
Will Dagenham & Redbridge's winning streak continue?
Dagenham & Redbridge have won all four league matches so far, conceding just once. The model rates their chances of avoiding defeat (double chance X2) at 74%, reflecting both their momentum and Horsham's solid but less explosive form.
Is under 2.5 goals likely in Horsham vs Dagenham & Redbridge?
Yes, under 2.5 goals is rated at 62% probability. Both teams have seen under 2.5 in 75% of their league games, and both defences have been among the league's most reliable in the opening weeks.
How This Prediction Was Made
The numbers on this page come from a structured statistical pack for Horsham vs Dagenham & Redbridge: recent results and scoring data for both sides, home/away splits, the head-to-head record, current league standings, known injuries and live bookmaker odds, all sourced from the API-Football data feed.
This fixture was routed to The Form Guide, the momentum specialist — weights the last five matches above everything. An AI model running that profile analyses the pack and produces the probabilities, predicted score and written analysis shown above. Nothing is edited by hand, and no information outside the data pack is used.
Last updated: 29 August 2026 (refreshed automatically as new team data arrives). Every prediction is scored against the real result once the match finishes — see the verified track record or read the full methodology. Football is inherently uncertain: treat this page as analysis, not advice.
More Horsham vs Dagenham & Redbridge Resources
Horsham Predictions
All Horsham fixtures & tips
Dagenham & Redbridge Predictions
All Dagenham & Redbridge fixtures & tips
Horsham vs Dagenham & Redbridge Stats
Full H2H record & season stats
National League - South Predictions
All fixtures for this competition
Model Accuracy
Track record & verified results