Ivory Coast vs Norway Predictions
World Cup · World
Ivory Coast
Full Time
1 - 2
AI predicted 1 - 2
Norway
Win Probability (1X2)
Best Value Pick
BTTS: Yes
@ 1.75(+9% edge)
Match Result
7.8/10Late Haaland Strike Sends Norway Past Ivory Coast in World Cup Thriller
Norway edged Ivory Coast 2-1 at the AT&T Stadium in Dallas, securing a vital World Cup victory thanks to a late goal from Erling Haaland. The match saw Norway take the lead in the first half, only for Ivory Coast to claw back an equalizer in the second, before Haaland's decisive intervention in the closing minutes. Both teams played with intensity, but Norway's composure in key moments ultimately proved the difference. The opening exchanges were evenly contested, with Norway enjoying a slight edge in possession (54%) but Ivory Coast threatening with their dynamism out wide and a remarkable 12 corners. After Alexander Sørloth opened the scoring in the 39th minute, Ivory Coast responded through Ange-Yoan Bonny in the 74th, setting up a tense finale. However, Haaland's 86th-minute winner dashed Ivorian hopes and sealed all three points for the Scandinavians.
🔮 AI Prediction Report
PSYCHIC MODEPredicted
1 - 2
Actual
1 - 2
💰 Bet Results2/2 hit
Key Moments
39' — Goal
Alexander Sørloth puts Norway ahead with a well-taken finish.
74' — Goal
Ange-Yoan Bonny levels for Ivory Coast after sustained pressure.
86' — Goal
Erling Haaland restores Norway's lead with a decisive late strike.
57' — Yellow Card
Norway's only booking, reflecting their generally disciplined play.
Ivory Coast
Ivory Coast showed plenty of attacking intent, registering 12 shots and forcing 12 corners, but struggled to convert their opportunities into goals. Their 4-1-4-1 setup provided width and energy in midfield, with Franck Kessié and Nicolas Pépé orchestrating much of the play. Despite falling behind, they displayed resilience to equalize, but lapses at the back cost them dearly late on. Defensively, the Elephants held Norway to just nine shots, matching them for shots on target (4), but were ultimately undone by clinical finishing. The lack of bookings reflected a disciplined approach, though perhaps a touch more aggression might have helped disrupt Norway's rhythm in the latter stages.
Key Players
Strengths
Weaknesses
Norway
Norway executed their 4-3-3 formation with discipline, controlling possession (54%) and showing patience in their build-up play. Martin Ødegaard dictated the tempo from midfield, while the front three, led by Erling Haaland and Alexander Sørloth, provided a constant threat. Norway's ability to capitalize on key moments—scoring just before halftime and again late—proved decisive. Defensively, Norway limited Ivory Coast to just four shots on target, despite conceding a high number of corners. Their only booking reflected a generally composed approach, and their tactical substitutions helped them regain control after Ivory Coast's equalizer.
Key Players
Strengths
Weaknesses
Tactical Analysis
Ivory Coast lined up in a 4-1-4-1, seeking to overload the midfield and exploit width through Pépé and Konan, as evidenced by their 12 corners and frequent forays down the flanks. Their single holding midfielder, Sangaré, shielded the defense but left gaps when Norway transitioned quickly. Norway's 4-3-3 provided balance, with Ødegaard orchestrating from deep and the front three stretching the Ivorian defense. After conceding the equalizer, Norway made tactical tweaks—likely reinforcing midfield and shifting focus to quick transitions—which paid dividends with Haaland's late winner. Set pieces were a concern for Norway, but their organization in open play and clinical edge up front proved decisive.
Turning Point
Erling Haaland's 86th-minute goal, which came just as Ivory Coast were pushing for a winner, swung the momentum and sealed the result for Norway.
Man of the Match
Erling Haaland
Delivered the decisive goal in the closing minutes and led the line with authority throughout.
🎮 Prediction Playground
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Expected goals · model says 1.35
Expected goals · model says 1.70
Over 2.5 Goals
59%
BTTS: Yes
61%
Likely Scores
1-1 · 1-2 · 0-1
Play this match once with the probabilities above — every run is different.
Powered by the same Poisson scoreline model behind the prediction. For fun and exploration — not betting advice.
Ivory Coast vs Norway Prediction Confidence at a Glance
How strongly the model leans on each market.
Who do you think wins: Ivory Coast vs Norway?
Cast your vote, then see how it stacks up against the model.
Where the Model Sees Value: Ivory Coast vs Norway(2)
Selections where the model's probability beats the bookmaker's implied probability. Expected value is computed from real consensus odds, not opinion.
BTTS: Yes@ 1.75
Both teams have scored in all of Norway's last 5 matches and 2 of Ivory Coast's last 5, with Norway averaging 2.4 goals scored and 1.8 conceded per game. Defensive vulnerabilities and strong attacks on both sides make BTTS a value play.
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Over/Under 2.5: Over 2.5@ 1.91
Norway's matches have gone over 2.5 goals in 100% of group games, and their attack (2.67 goals/game) faces an Ivory Coast side with attacking threats but a less prolific offense. The model gives a 60% chance of over 2.5 goals, above the implied odds.
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More World Cup Predictions
The Case For This Ivory Coast vs Norway Prediction
This World Cup clash features an Ivory Coast side with a strong defensive record but modest attack, up against a Norway team whose games have been high-scoring and open. Norway's offensive firepower, led by prolific scorers, has been offset by defensive frailties, while Ivory Coast have been more balanced but less explosive. Both teams are level on points and will be motivated, suggesting an open contest with goals likely at both ends.
Key Factors at a Glance
Defence
- →Norway's last 5 matches: 2.4 goals scored, 1.8 conceded per game, 0 clean sheets
- →Ivory Coast: 1.6 goals scored, 0.6 conceded per game, 3 clean sheets in last 5
Injuries & Team News
- →No significant injuries reported for either side
Match Context
- →Norway 100% over 2.5 goals in group, Ivory Coast only 33%
- →Both teams have scored in all of Norway's last 5, and neither side has failed to score in their last 5
🚩 Ivory Coast vs Norway Corners Prediction
medium confidenceOur corners model projects roughly 6.4 corners for Ivory Coast and 5.7 for Norway, for an expected total of 12.1. That makes the model lean Over 9.5 corners (76%). Over 8.5: 85% · Over 10.5: 66%.
How Ivory Coast and Norway Are Arriving
Form, fitness and who's likely to start.
Ivory Coast vs Norway Goalscorer Form
Goals scored in last 5 matches across all competitions. Rate = goals ÷ 5 games. XI badge shows player is in the expected starting lineup.
Ivory Coastlast 5 matchesRegular contributor
Regular contributor
Occasional threat
Occasional threat
Occasional threat
Norwaylast 5 matchesIn exceptional form
Occasional threat
Occasional threat
Occasional threat
Occasional threat
Occasional threat
Ivory Coast enter this match on a strong run, winning four of their last five, including a notable win over France and a recent 2-0 victory over Curaçao. Their defense has been impressive, with three clean sheets in the last five. Norway have also won four of their last five, but their matches have been much higher scoring, with a 4-1 win over Iraq and a 3-2 win over Senegal, though they recently suffered a heavy 4-1 defeat to France.
Ivory Coast vs Norway — Last 4 Matches
Strengths
- +Solid recent form — 3+ wins in last 5
- +3 clean sheets in last 5 matches
- +50% clean sheet rate this season
Strengths
- +Solid recent form — 3+ wins in last 5
- +Prolific attack — 2.2 goals/game (last 5)
- +Both teams scoring in most recent games
- +Over 2.5 goals in 100% of games this season
Concerns
- −No clean sheets in last 5 matches
What History Says: Ivory Coast vs Norway
There is no head-to-head record between Ivory Coast and Norway, so there are no historical patterns to inform expectations for this matchup.
Ivory Coast vs Norway Head-to-Head History
Last 1 meeting between these sides
0
Ivory Coast wins
0
Draws
1
Norway wins
Where the Model Disagrees with the Odds: Ivory Coast vs Norway
The strongest value appears on 'both teams to score' (yes), where the model's probability is notably higher than the implied odds. Over 2.5 goals is also a value play given Norway's high-scoring trend. The draw market offers only marginal value, while the market is slightly overestimating Norway's win probability compared to the model.
Odds from Bet365. Positive edge = our model gives a higher probability than the odds imply. EV = expected value per £1 staked.
1X2
Over/Under 2.5
Both Teams Score
Best Value Markets Found by the Model
EV per £1 staked. Positive EV means this bet has mathematical edge over the long run. Past model accuracy is tracked on our predictions tracker.
Edge and EV are derived from model probabilities only and do not constitute financial advice. Odds fluctuate — always verify current prices with your bookmaker.
Things to Watch: Ivory Coast vs Norway
- ⚠️No head-to-head data available; increases uncertainty about matchup dynamics
- ⚠️Neutral venue may reduce home/away effects
- ⚠️Ivory Coast's lower attacking output could limit goal potential if they control tempo
- ⚠️Recent friendlies may not perfectly reflect competitive match intensity
This analysis is for informational purposes only and does not constitute financial advice. Betting involves risk — always gamble responsibly.
How This Prediction Was Made
The numbers on this page come from a structured statistical pack for Ivory Coast vs Norway: recent results and scoring data for both sides, home/away splits, the head-to-head record, current league standings, known injuries and live bookmaker odds, all sourced from the API-Football data feed.
An AI model analyses that pack and produces the probabilities, predicted score and written analysis shown above. Nothing is edited by hand, and no information outside the data pack is used.
Last updated: 30 June 2026 (refreshed automatically as new team data arrives). Every prediction is scored against the real result once the match finishes — see the verified track record or read the full methodology. Football is inherently uncertain: treat this page as analysis, not advice.