Kahraba Ismailia vs El Mokawloon Predictions
Premier League · Egypt
Kahraba Ismailia
Full Time
2 - 2
AI predicted 1 - 1
El Mokawloon
Win Probability (1X2)
Best Value Pick
Over/Under: Under 2.5
Match Result
7.5/10Late Drama as Kahraba Ismailia Salvage Draw Against 10-Man El Mokawloon
Kahraba Ismailia and El Mokawloon played out a pulsating 2-2 draw at Ismailia Stadium, with the hosts snatching a point at the death against a visiting side reduced to ten men. El Mokawloon twice took the lead, first striking early and then restoring their advantage before halftime, but Kahraba Ismailia’s persistence paid off with a dramatic equalizer in the 90th minute. The hosts dominated possession with 62% and registered 13 shots, but struggled to break down a resolute El Mokawloon defense until late on. El Mokawloon, despite seeing less of the ball and being hampered by a red card, were clinical on the counter and nearly held out for all three points. Ultimately, both sides were forced to settle for a share of the spoils after a fiercely contested encounter.
😅 AI Prediction Report
CLOSE BUT NO CIGARPredicted
1 - 1
Actual
2 - 2
💰 Bet Results1/3 hit
Key Moments
9' — Goal
El Mokawloon open the scoring, capitalizing on a quick attack.
19' — Goal
A. Sulieman levels for Kahraba Ismailia after sustained pressure.
36' — Goal
El Mokawloon retake the lead, punishing a defensive lapse.
Second Half' — Red Card
El Mokawloon reduced to ten men, forced to defend deep.
90' — Goal
O. El Said scores a dramatic late equalizer for the hosts.
Kahraba Ismailia
Kahraba Ismailia controlled the tempo for much of the match, enjoying the lion's share of possession and piling on pressure with 13 shots and 7 corners. However, their finishing left much to be desired, as they managed just 2 shots on target. The hosts showed resilience to come from behind twice, including a last-gasp equalizer that rewarded their perseverance. Their midfield trio orchestrated play well, but the final ball was often lacking, and defensive lapses allowed El Mokawloon to strike on the break. The late goal salvaged a point, but questions will be asked about their inability to capitalize earlier against ten men.
Key Players
Strengths
Weaknesses
El Mokawloon
El Mokawloon executed their game plan effectively for large portions of the match, striking early and then retaking the lead before halftime. Despite only 38% possession, they were efficient in attack with 3 shots on target from 12 attempts. Their defensive organization was tested, especially after being reduced to ten men, but they held firm until the final moments. Discipline proved costly, with four yellow cards and a red ultimately leaving them exposed late on. Nevertheless, their ability to absorb pressure and strike on the counter was impressive, and they were unfortunate not to leave with all three points.
Key Players
Strengths
Weaknesses
Tactical Analysis
Kahraba Ismailia lined up in a 4-3-3, seeking to control midfield and stretch play with their front three. Their dominance in possession (62%) and high number of corners reflected their territorial advantage, but their attack often lacked incisiveness in the final third. The midfield trio worked hard to recycle possession, but the team struggled to break down El Mokawloon’s compact defensive shape, especially after the visitors went down to ten men. El Mokawloon’s 4-2-3-1 shifted into a more defensive 4-4-1 after the red card, focusing on absorbing pressure and launching quick counters. Their discipline at the back was commendable until fatigue set in late, allowing Kahraba Ismailia to capitalize. Set pieces were a key outlet for the hosts, but El Mokawloon’s organization limited their effectiveness.
Turning Point
The red card to El Mokawloon in the second half, which invited relentless pressure and ultimately led to Kahraba Ismailia’s late equalizer.
Man of the Match
O. El Said
Delivered under pressure with a 90th-minute equalizer, capping a tireless attacking display.
🎮 Prediction Playground
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Expected goals · model says 0.85
Expected goals · model says 0.65
Over 2.5 Goals
19%
BTTS: Yes
27%
Likely Scores
0-0 · 1-0 · 0-1
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Powered by the same Poisson scoreline model behind the prediction. For fun and exploration — not betting advice.
Kahraba Ismailia vs El Mokawloon Prediction Confidence at a Glance
How strongly the model leans on each market.
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Where the Model Sees Value: Kahraba Ismailia vs El Mokawloon(3)
Selections where the model's probability beats the bookmaker's implied probability. Expected value is computed from real consensus odds, not opinion.
Double Chance: Kahraba Ismailia or Draw
Kahraba Ismailia have positive momentum (WDWLW), a strong H2H record, and El Mokawloon have not won away in the last 4. Model probability for 1X is 0.79, suggesting solid value if odds are above 1.27.
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Over/Under: Under 2.5
Both teams average under 1 goal scored per game in the last 5, and El Mokawloon have a 20% over 2.5 rate on the season. Model probability for under 2.5 is 0.73.
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Correct Score: 1–1
Draws are common for both sides recently (El Mokawloon: 4/5 last matches drawn), and the most likely correct score by model is 1-1 (26%).
More Premier League Predictions
The Case For This Kahraba Ismailia vs El Mokawloon Prediction
This is a clash between two sides near the bottom of the table, both with limited attacking output but recent defensive improvement. Kahraba Ismailia come in with better recent form and a strong head-to-head record, while El Mokawloon have become draw specialists and are hard to break down. Expect a low-scoring, tense affair with little to separate the teams.
Key Factors at a Glance
Recent Form
- →Kahraba Ismailia's recent form (WDWLW) and positive H2H record
Attack
- →Both teams struggle to score: last 5 avg goals scored per game are 1.2 (home) and 0.6 (away)
Defence
- →El Mokawloon have drawn 4 of their last 5 and average just 0.6 goals scored, 0.4 conceded in that span
Injuries & Team News
- →No significant injuries for either side
Match Context
- →Season over 2.5 goal % is low for El Mokawloon (20%) and moderate for Kahraba Ismailia (53.33%), but recent trends favor unders
🚩 Kahraba Ismailia vs El Mokawloon Corners Prediction
medium confidenceOur corners model projects roughly 6.2 corners for Kahraba Ismailia and 4.6 for El Mokawloon, for an expected total of 10.8. That makes the model lean Over 9.5 corners (64%). Over 8.5: 75% · Over 10.5: 52%.
How Kahraba Ismailia and El Mokawloon Are Arriving
Form, fitness and who's likely to start.
Kahraba Ismailia vs El Mokawloon Goalscorer Form
Goals scored in last 5 matches across all competitions. Rate = goals ÷ 5 games. XI badge shows player is in the expected starting lineup.
Kahraba Ismailialast 5 matchesOccasional threat
Occasional threat
Occasional threat
El Mokawloonlast 5 matchesOccasional threat
Occasional threat
Kahraba Ismailia have found some late-season momentum, winning 3 of their last 5 and losing just once, including a recent away win at El Gouna FC. El Mokawloon have become draw specialists, with 4 draws and 1 win in their last 5, and have conceded just 2 goals in that span, but their attack remains blunt.
Kahraba Ismailia vs El Mokawloon — Last 10 Matches
What History Says: Kahraba Ismailia vs El Mokawloon
The recent head-to-head history is dominated by Kahraba Ismailia, who have won both away meetings 1-0 and drawn the only home fixture 1-1. These matches have consistently been low-scoring and closely contested.
Kahraba Ismailia vs El Mokawloon Head-to-Head History
Last 4 meetings between these sides
2
Kahraba Ismailia wins
2
Draws
0
El Mokawloon wins
Where the Model Disagrees with the Odds: Kahraba Ismailia vs El Mokawloon
Without bookmaker odds, model value edges cannot be calculated. However, the model strongly favors under 2.5 goals and double chance 1X, given the teams' defensive records and draw tendencies. If market odds for these are above 1.35 and 1.27 respectively, they would represent value.
Odds from Bet365. Positive edge = our model gives a higher probability than the odds imply. EV = expected value per £1 staked.
1X2
Over/Under 2.5
Both Teams Score
Best Value Markets Found by the Model
EV per £1 staked. Positive EV means this bet has mathematical edge over the long run. Past model accuracy is tracked on our predictions tracker.
Edge and EV are derived from model probabilities only and do not constitute financial advice. Odds fluctuate — always verify current prices with your bookmaker.
Things to Watch: Kahraba Ismailia vs El Mokawloon
- ⚠️No bookmaker odds available; value edges cannot be quantified
- ⚠️Some recent matches lack full stat coverage, reducing confidence in shot/corner projections
- ⚠️Both teams' home/away splits are unusual (Kahraba Ismailia much better away), which adds volatility
This analysis is for informational purposes only and does not constitute financial advice. Betting involves risk — always gamble responsibly.
How This Prediction Was Made
The numbers on this page come from a structured statistical pack for Kahraba Ismailia vs El Mokawloon: recent results and scoring data for both sides, home/away splits, the head-to-head record, current league standings, known injuries and live bookmaker odds, all sourced from the API-Football data feed.
An AI model analyses that pack and produces the probabilities, predicted score and written analysis shown above. Nothing is edited by hand, and no information outside the data pack is used.
Last updated: 17 May 2026 (refreshed automatically as new team data arrives). Every prediction is scored against the real result once the match finishes — see the verified track record or read the full methodology. Football is inherently uncertain: treat this page as analysis, not advice.