Krylia Sovetov vs CSKA Moscow Predictions

Premier LeaguePremier League · Russia
high confidence
Krylia Sovetov

Krylia Sovetov

Full Time

1 - 1

AI predicted 0 - 2

CSKA Moscow

CSKA Moscow

🗓️ Saturday, 18 Apr 2026 at 15:30 GMT+4 (venue time) · 11:30 UTC (your time)📍 Samara Arena, Samara

Win Probability (1X2)

Krylia Sovetov 13%Draw 27%CSKA Moscow 60%

Best Value Pick

Match Result: Draw

@ 3.84(+1% edge)

Match Result

6.5/10

Late Drama as Krylia Sovetov and CSKA Moscow Share the Spoils in Samara

Krylia Sovetov and CSKA Moscow played out a tense 1-1 draw at the Samara Arena, with both sides trading second-half goals in a match defined by tactical discipline and missed opportunities. The hosts took the lead in the 65th minute, but CSKA responded just ten minutes later, ensuring the points were split in this closely contested Premier League fixture. Despite CSKA Moscow dominating possession with 58%, they failed to register a single shot on target, while Krylia Sovetov, more direct in their approach, managed 13 shots but only troubled the visiting goalkeeper twice. Both teams saw multiple players go into the referee’s book, reflecting the combative nature of the encounter. Ultimately, neither side could find a late winner, leaving the match finely balanced until the final whistle.

😅 AI Prediction Report

CLOSE BUT NO CIGAR

Predicted

0 - 2

⚡

Actual

1 - 1

❌Result
❌BTTS
✅O/U 2.5
❌Score

💰 Bet Results0/2 hit

1x2 — away@ 1.83
❌
over_under_1_5 — over
❌
correct_score — 0-2
❓

Key Moments

65' — Goal

Krylia Sovetov break the deadlock with a well-worked move, taking a 1-0 lead.

75' — Goal

CSKA Moscow respond with an equalizer, punishing Krylia for a defensive lapse.

Multiple' — Yellow Cards

A flurry of bookings on both sides reflects the match's intensity and physicality.

Krylia Sovetov

Krylia Sovetov

6.5/10

Krylia Sovetov set up in a 4-4-2 formation and looked to exploit the flanks, winning an impressive 11 corners and showing attacking intent throughout. Their breakthrough came in the 65th minute, a reward for persistent pressure, but they struggled to convert dominance in set pieces into clear-cut chances, with only two shots on target from 13 attempts. Defensively, they were solid, limiting CSKA to no shots on target, but a lapse allowed the visitors to equalize. Discipline was an issue, with four players picking up yellow cards, which at times disrupted their rhythm. Despite their attacking intent and energetic midfield play, a lack of clinical finishing ultimately cost them the win.

Key Players

Ivan Oleynikov: Involved in the forward line, instrumental in Krylia's attacking moves.
Sergey Pesyakov: Commanded his area well, organizing the defense and keeping CSKA at bay.

Strengths

Effective use of set pieces (11 corners)Disciplined defensive structureEnergetic wide play

Weaknesses

Poor shot conversion (2 on target from 13)Disciplinary issues (4 yellow cards)Allowed equalizer after taking lead
CSKA Moscow

CSKA Moscow

6/10

CSKA Moscow controlled the tempo for large stretches with 58% possession, deploying a 4-2-3-1 formation that emphasized midfield control. However, their attacking play lacked penetration, as they failed to register a single shot on target from six attempts. Their equalizer in the 75th minute came against the run of play, showcasing their ability to capitalize on moments rather than sustained pressure. Defensively, CSKA were organized and limited Krylia to few clear chances, but their own lack of attacking threat was evident. Three players received yellow cards as they struggled to contain Krylia’s wide play, and despite their dominance in possession, they rarely looked likely to snatch all three points.

Key Players

Ivan Oblyakov: Anchored the midfield, dictating play and recycling possession.
Luciano Gondou: Led the line, involved in the equalizer and pressing from the front.

Strengths

Midfield control and possession (58%)Disciplined defensive shapeCapitalized on limited attacking moments

Weaknesses

No shots on targetStruggled to break down Krylia's defenseSusceptible to set pieces

Tactical Analysis

Krylia Sovetov’s 4-4-2 setup focused on width and set-piece opportunities, as evidenced by their 11 corners. Their midfield worked tirelessly to disrupt CSKA’s rhythm, but a lack of a clinical edge in front of goal limited their effectiveness. CSKA Moscow’s 4-2-3-1 formation prioritized ball retention and control in midfield, but their forward line struggled to find space or create meaningful chances, resulting in zero shots on target. Both teams made tactical adjustments through substitutions, but neither side found the formula to tip the balance decisively. The match was characterized by disciplined defending, physical battles in midfield, and a cautious approach after the equalizer, with set pieces providing the main attacking threat for the hosts.

Turning Point

CSKA Moscow’s equalizer in the 75th minute, which shifted momentum and ensured the match ended level.

Man of the Match

Ivan Oblyakov

Controlled the midfield for CSKA, dictating play and ensuring his side stayed in the contest despite limited attacking output.

🎮 Prediction Playground

Think the model has it wrong? Nudge each team's expected goals and watch every probability react — then simulate the match and see what happens.

Krylia Sovetov0.55

Expected goals · model says 0.55

CSKA Moscow1.45

Expected goals · model says 1.45

Win Probability
Krylia Sovetov 14% Draw 27% CSKA Moscow 59%

Over 2.5 Goals

32%

BTTS: Yes

32%

Likely Scores

0-1 · 0-2 · 0-0

Play this match once with the probabilities above — every run is different.

Powered by the same Poisson scoreline model behind the prediction. For fun and exploration — not betting advice.

Krylia Sovetov vs CSKA Moscow Prediction Confidence at a Glance

How strongly the model leans on each market.

Match Result (1X2)
27%
60%
Krylia Sovetov 13%Draw 27%CSKA Moscow 60%
Both Teams to Score
25%
75%
Yes 25%No 75%
Over/Under 2.5 Goals
32%
68%
Over 2.5 32%Under 2.5 68%
Corners (Over/Under 9.5)
69%
31%
Over 9.5 69%Under 9.5 31%

Who do you think wins: Krylia Sovetov vs CSKA Moscow?

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The Case For This Krylia Sovetov vs CSKA Moscow Prediction

CSKA Moscow travel to Krylia Sovetov as clear favorites, backed by superior league position, recent form, and a dominant head-to-head record. Krylia Sovetov have only one win in their last ten matches against CSKA and have struggled defensively, conceding nearly two goals per game. CSKA's attack has been productive, averaging 2 goals per game in their last five matches. Expect CSKA to control the match, with the home side likely to struggle to break down a disciplined visiting defense.

Key Factors at a Glance

Recent Form

  • →CSKA Moscow have won 7 of the last 10 H2H meetings.

Attack

  • →CSKA average 1.5 goals per game this season, 2.0 in last five.

Defence

  • →Krylia Sovetov have the league's second-worst defensive record (44 conceded in 24).
  • →Krylia Sovetov have failed to score in 2 of last 5, and kept only 1 clean sheet.

Injuries & Team News

  • →No significant injuries for either side.

Match Context

  • →CSKA's away record is average, but Krylia's home record is not strong enough to offset the gap.

🚩 Krylia Sovetov vs CSKA Moscow Corners Prediction

medium confidence
11.3expected total corners
Over 69%
Under 31%
Over 9.5Under 9.5

Our corners model projects roughly 6.7 corners for Krylia Sovetov and 4.6 for CSKA Moscow, for an expected total of 11.3. That makes the model lean Over 9.5 corners (69%). Over 8.5: 79% · Over 10.5: 57%.

More corners tips:Over 9.5 →Under 9.5 →

How Krylia Sovetov and CSKA Moscow Are Arriving

Form, fitness and who's likely to start.

Krylia Sovetov vs CSKA Moscow Goalscorer Form

Goals scored in last 5 matches across all competitions. Rate = goals ÷ 5 games. XI badge shows player is in the expected starting lineup.

Krylia SovetovKrylia Sovetovlast 5 matches

No scorer data yet — available after predictions are regenerated.

CSKA MoscowCSKA Moscowlast 5 matches

No scorer data yet — available after predictions are regenerated.

Scorer data populates once predictions are regenerated with the updated pipeline.

Krylia Sovetov vs CSKA Moscow — Last 10 Matches

Krylia SovetovKrylia SovetovLast 10 results
W2-0
L1-2
D1-1
D2-2
L1-2
D0-0
L0-3
W2-0
L0-4
L0-2
Wvs Lokomotiv2-0
L@ FC Sochi1-2
Dvs CSKA Moscow1-1
Dvs Akhmat2-2
L@ Zenit1-2
Dvs Rubin0-0
L@ Nizhny Novgorod0-3
Wvs Dinamo Makhachkala2-0
L@ Dynamo0-4
L@ Baltika0-2

Strengths

  • +Both teams scoring in most recent games

Concerns

  • −Leaky defence — 2.0 conceded/game
CSKA MoscowCSKA MoscowLast 10 results
D0-0
D1-1
D1-1
L0-1
W2-1
W3-1
L0-1
L1-4
L0-1
L2-3
D@ Rubin0-0
Dvs FC Rostov1-1
D@ Krylia Sovetov1-1
Lvs FC Sochi0-1
W@ Akron2-1
Wvs Dinamo Makhachkala3-1
L@ Baltika0-1
Lvs Dynamo1-4
L@ Akhmat0-1
L@ FC Krasnodar2-3

What History Says: Krylia Sovetov vs CSKA Moscow

Krylia Sovetov vs CSKA Moscow Head-to-Head History

Last 10 meetings between these sides

0

Krylia Sovetov wins

4

Draws

6

CSKA Moscow wins

0%40% draws60%
18 Apr 26Krylia Sovetov vs CSKA Moscow1-1
7 Apr 26Krylia Sovetov vs CSKA Moscow2-5
25 Oct 25CSKA Moscow vs Krylia Sovetov1-0
20 Apr 25CSKA Moscow vs Krylia Sovetov1-1
22 Feb 25Krylia Sovetov vs CSKA Moscow2-4
10 Nov 24Krylia Sovetov vs CSKA Moscow1-2

Things to Watch: Krylia Sovetov vs CSKA Moscow

  • ⚠️Some recent match stats missing (shots, possession) for Krylia Sovetov.
  • ⚠️CSKA's away form is not dominant (4W 2D 6L), but much better than Krylia's home/overall form.
  • ⚠️Low-scoring match possible if CSKA are inefficient or Krylia defend deep.
  • ⚠️No odds available for some secondary markets (over 1.5, correct score).

This analysis is for informational purposes only and does not constitute financial advice. Betting involves risk — always gamble responsibly.

How This Prediction Was Made

The numbers on this page come from a structured statistical pack for Krylia Sovetov vs CSKA Moscow: recent results and scoring data for both sides, home/away splits, the head-to-head record, current league standings, known injuries and live bookmaker odds, all sourced from the API-Football data feed.

An AI model analyses that pack and produces the probabilities, predicted score and written analysis shown above. Nothing is edited by hand, and no information outside the data pack is used.

Last updated: 13 April 2026 (refreshed automatically as new team data arrives). Every prediction is scored against the real result once the match finishes — see the verified track record or read the full methodology. Football is inherently uncertain: treat this page as analysis, not advice.

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