Levadiakos vs Olympiakos Piraeus Predictions
Super League 1 · Greece
Levadiakos
Full Time
0 - 1
AI predicted 0 - 2
Olympiakos Piraeus
Win Probability (1X2)
Best Value Pick
BTTS: No
Match Result
7.1/10Last-Gasp Yaremchuk Strike Seals Dramatic Win for Olympiakos in Levadeia
Olympiakos Piraeus snatched a dramatic 1-0 victory over Levadiakos at the Levadia Municipal Stadium, with Roman Yaremchuk delivering the decisive blow in the 90th minute. The visitors dominated proceedings from the outset, enjoying a commanding 71% share of possession and registering 18 shots to Levadiakos' 8, but found themselves frustrated by a resolute home defence and some inspired goalkeeping from N. Eliasi. Levadiakos, set up in a compact 4-2-3-1, soaked up relentless pressure and threatened sporadically on the counter, but ultimately lacked the cutting edge to trouble S. Ortega. As the match appeared destined for a stalemate, Yaremchuk finally broke the deadlock at the death, capitalizing on Olympiakos' sustained pressure to secure all three points and maintain their strong start to the Super League 1 campaign.
🔥 AI Prediction Report
CERTIFIED WPredicted
0 - 2
Actual
0 - 1
💰 Bet Results2/2 hit
Key Moments
90' — Goal
R. Yaremchuk scores the winner for Olympiakos after sustained pressure.
54' — Yellow Card
Levadiakos' G. Nikas booked for a tactical foul.
72' — Yellow Card
Olympiakos' R. Freuler shown yellow for dissent.
80' — Yellow Card
Levadiakos' I. Kosti cautioned for a late challenge.
Levadiakos
Levadiakos delivered a disciplined defensive display, frustrating Olympiakos for much of the contest despite conceding the lion's share of possession and territory. Their 4-2-3-1 shape kept spaces tight in midfield and at the back, with centre-backs G. Kornezos and I. Tsivelekidis standing out for their resilience. N. Eliasi in goal made several crucial interventions to keep the hosts in the game. However, Levadiakos struggled to transition effectively into attack, managing just 4 shots on target from 8 attempts and rarely threatening Ortega's goal. Their efforts ultimately unraveled in the dying moments, as fatigue and relentless pressure told.
Key Players
Strengths
Weaknesses
Olympiakos Piraeus
Olympiakos Piraeus controlled the match from start to finish, dictating tempo with 71% possession and pinning Levadiakos deep for long stretches. Their attacking quartet, led by K. Fortounis and Jota Silva, probed persistently, but a combination of wasteful finishing (just 3 shots on target from 18 attempts) and inspired goalkeeping kept them at bay. Despite their profligacy, Olympiakos' patience paid off in the final minute, with Roman Yaremchuk finally finding the breakthrough to reward their dominance. Defensively, they were rarely troubled, with P. Retsos and David Carmo marshalling the backline effectively.
Key Players
Strengths
Weaknesses
Tactical Analysis
Both sides lined up in a 4-2-3-1 formation, but Olympiakos' superior technical quality and pressing enabled them to dominate possession and dictate the game's rhythm. Their full-backs pushed high, stretching Levadiakos and allowing midfielders like Fortounis and Chiquinho to find pockets of space. Levadiakos, by contrast, sat deep and compact, focusing on denying space between the lines and looking for rare opportunities to counter. Olympiakos' use of width and overlapping runs forced Levadiakos to defend in numbers, but the hosts' discipline and organization kept them in contention until the very end. Substitutions late on injected fresh legs for both sides, but it was Olympiakos' relentless pressure and tactical patience that finally broke the deadlock.
Turning Point
Yaremchuk's 90th-minute goal, capitalizing on Olympiakos' sustained late pressure, decided the contest.
Man of the Match
R. Yaremchuk
Delivered the decisive goal in the 90th minute after a tireless attacking display.
Levadiakos vs Olympiakos Piraeus: Match Preview
Levadiakos enter this clash in desperate need of a spark, having opened their Super League campaign with three straight defeats, eight goals conceded, and not a single goal scored. Their last five competitive matches show a bleak run of form (LLLWL), with only a cup win over Asteras Tripolis providing brief respite. The pressure is mounting on a side that sits bottom of the table and looks short on ideas in the final third.
Olympiakos, meanwhile, are trending in the opposite direction. Unbeaten in their last five across all competitions (WDWWW), they have found a balance between defensive solidity—three clean sheets in that span—and a steadily improving attack, averaging two goals per match. Their away form has been particularly robust, picking up four points from two league trips and dispatching Larisa 4-0 in the cup. The tactical matchup is lopsided: Levadiakos average just 0.8 shots on target per game in their last five, while Olympiakos' defence has conceded only 0.6 goals per game and their attack is generating over 11 shots per match.
Given these trajectories, the model expects Olympiakos to dictate the tempo and territory from the outset. Levadiakos' struggles in front of goal and Olympiakos' recent defensive discipline suggest the visitors are well placed to keep another clean sheet. Unless Levadiakos can conjure a set-piece breakthrough or Olympiakos are unusually wasteful, the form lines point to a controlled away win.
How Levadiakos and Olympiakos Piraeus Are Arriving
Form, fitness and who's likely to start.
Levadiakos vs Olympiakos Piraeus Goalscorer Form
Goals scored in last 5 matches across all competitions. Rate = goals ÷ 5 games. XI badge shows player is in the expected starting lineup.
Levadiakoslast 5 matchesNo scorer data yet — available after predictions are regenerated.
Olympiakos Piraeuslast 5 matchesScoring consistently
Occasional threat
Occasional threat
Occasional threat
Occasional threat
Levadiakos are mired in a three-match losing streak to open the league, conceding eight and yet to score, with their only recent win coming in the cup. Olympiakos, in contrast, are unbeaten in five (WDWWW), have kept three clean sheets, and are averaging two goals per game in all competitions. The trajectories could hardly be more divergent, with Olympiakos surging and Levadiakos struggling for any momentum.
Levadiakos vs Olympiakos Piraeus — Last 5 Matches
Concerns
- −4/5 losses in last 5 — poor form
- −Struggling to score — 0.0 goals/game
Strengths
- +Solid recent form — 3+ wins in last 5
- +60% clean sheet rate this season
- +High-volume attack — 16 shots/game
Levadiakos vs Olympiakos Piraeus Prediction Confidence at a Glance
How strongly the model leans on each market.
Stats Worth Knowing
The numbers behind Levadiakos vs Olympiakos Piraeus that most previews miss.
- 1Levadiakos have failed to score in four of their last five matches, including all three league games this season.
- 2Olympiakos have kept three clean sheets in their last five and have not conceded more than one goal in any of those matches.
- 3The last four meetings in Levadia have produced three Olympiakos wins to nil, with Levadiakos scoring just twice in ten H2H encounters.
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Expected goals · model says 0.45
Expected goals · model says 1.90
Over 2.5 Goals
42%
BTTS: Yes
31%
Likely Scores
0-1 · 0-2 · 0-3
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Powered by the same Poisson scoreline model behind the prediction. For fun and exploration — not betting advice.
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The Case For This Levadiakos vs Olympiakos Piraeus Prediction
Levadiakos limp into this fixture rooted to the foot of the table, having lost all three league games without scoring and conceding eight in the process. Olympiakos, by contrast, are riding a wave of early-season momentum, unbeaten in their last five across all competitions and showing increasing attacking fluency. The tactical contrast could hardly be starker: Levadiakos have averaged just 0.8 shots on target per game over their last five, while Olympiakos' defence has conceded only 0.6 goals per match in that span. Olympiakos' attack is firing, with 2 goals per game and a spread of scorers, and their set-piece threat is underlined by an average of nearly six corners per match. Levadiakos' discipline is a concern, with 1.6 yellows and 0.4 reds per game recently, suggesting frustration is mounting. Given the form trajectories, the model expects Olympiakos to control proceedings, likely breaking through before half-time and rarely looking troubled at the back. Levadiakos' lack of attacking punch and Olympiakos' recent defensive solidity point to a clean sheet for the visitors, with the most plausible threat to this scenario being a set-piece lapse or moment of individual error.
Key Factors at a Glance
Defence
- →Levadiakos have lost three straight league games without scoring, conceding eight goals.
- →Olympiakos are unbeaten in their last five matches and have kept three clean sheets in that span.
- →Levadiakos average just 0.8 shots on target per game in their last five, while Olympiakos average 2 goals scored and only 0.6 conceded.
Where the Model Sees Value: Levadiakos vs Olympiakos Piraeus(2)
Selections where the model's probability beats the bookmaker's implied probability. Expected value is computed from real consensus odds, not opinion.
BTTS: No
Levadiakos have failed to score in four of their last five matches and are yet to find the net in three league games this season, while Olympiakos have kept three clean sheets in their last five across all competitions.
Read more ↓
Match Result: Olympiakos Piraeus Win
Olympiakos arrive unbeaten in their last five (WDWWW), averaging 2 goals per game in that spell, while Levadiakos are on a three-match losing streak with zero goals scored and eight conceded in the league.
Read more ↓
More Super League 1 Predictions
🚩 Levadiakos vs Olympiakos Piraeus Corners Prediction
medium confidenceOur corners model projects roughly 5.3 corners for Levadiakos and 6.6 for Olympiakos Piraeus, for an expected total of 11.9. That makes the model lean Over 9.5 corners (75%). Over 8.5: 84% · Over 10.5: 65%.
What History Says: Levadiakos vs Olympiakos Piraeus
Olympiakos have dominated this fixture, winning seven of the last ten meetings and keeping Levadiakos scoreless in both of the last two visits to Levadia. The most recent encounter here finished 0-0, but Olympiakos have generally controlled the matchup, conceding just twice in the last ten games.
Levadiakos vs Olympiakos Piraeus Head-to-Head History
Last 10 meetings between these sides
1
Levadiakos wins
2
Draws
7
Olympiakos Piraeus wins
Where the Model Disagrees with the Odds: Levadiakos vs Olympiakos Piraeus
With no bookmaker odds available at the time of analysis, it's not possible to formally identify value edges. However, the model's strong lean towards Olympiakos and a low BTTS probability suggests that if market odds for 'Olympiakos to win to nil' or 'BTTS: No' are generous, those would likely represent value based on the current form data.
Odds from Bet365. Positive edge = our model gives a higher probability than the odds imply. EV = expected value per £1 staked.
1X2
Over/Under 2.5
Both Teams Score
Best Value Markets Found by the Model
EV per £1 staked. Positive EV means this bet has mathematical edge over the long run. Past model accuracy is tracked on our predictions tracker.
Edge and EV are derived from model probabilities only and do not constitute financial advice. Odds fluctuate — always verify current prices with your bookmaker.
Things to Watch: Levadiakos vs Olympiakos Piraeus
- ⚠️No bookmaker odds available at time of analysis, so value edges cannot be calculated.
- ⚠️Early-season sample sizes are small; both teams may not have settled into their true levels yet.
- ⚠️Levadiakos' only recent win came in the cup against lower opposition, offering little evidence of league-level improvement.
This analysis is for informational purposes only and does not constitute financial advice. Betting involves risk — always gamble responsibly.
Final Verdict
Levadiakos 0–2 Olympiakos PiraeusOlympiakos' superior momentum and Levadiakos' blunt attack make a 2-0 away win the most likely outcome, with the strongest data point being Levadiakos' four-game goalless streak in the league. The main risk is an early Olympiakos lapse or a set-piece goal against the run of play, but the gulf in recent form is difficult to ignore.
Levadiakos vs Olympiakos Piraeus: Common Questions
Who will win Levadiakos vs Olympiakos Piraeus?
Olympiakos are strong favourites with a 73% model probability to win, driven by their five-match unbeaten run and Levadiakos' three straight league defeats without scoring.
Will both teams score in Levadiakos vs Olympiakos?
The model gives just a 15% chance of both teams scoring, as Levadiakos have failed to find the net in four of their last five and Olympiakos have kept three clean sheets in that period.
Can Levadiakos end their losing streak against Olympiakos?
It's unlikely based on current momentum: Levadiakos have lost three straight league games without scoring, while Olympiakos are unbeaten in their last five and have dominated recent head-to-heads.
How This Prediction Was Made
The numbers on this page come from a structured statistical pack for Levadiakos vs Olympiakos Piraeus: recent results and scoring data for both sides, home/away splits, the head-to-head record, current league standings, known injuries and live bookmaker odds, all sourced from the API-Football data feed.
This fixture was routed to The Form Guide, the momentum specialist — weights the last five matches above everything. An AI model running that profile analyses the pack and produces the probabilities, predicted score and written analysis shown above. Nothing is edited by hand, and no information outside the data pack is used.
Last updated: 12 September 2026 (refreshed automatically as new team data arrives). Every prediction is scored against the real result once the match finishes — see the verified track record or read the full methodology. Football is inherently uncertain: treat this page as analysis, not advice.