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Lorient vs Auxerre Predictions
All AI-powered predictions and betting tips for Lorient vs Auxerre fixtures. 1 prediction available.
Most Recent Prediction
Predicted Score
2 - 0
Match Odds (1X2)
Home: 62.0%
Draw: 27.0%
Away: 11.0%
Both Teams to Score
No
81.0% confidence
💰 Recommended Bets(2)
over_under_2_5 — over@ 4.8
EV: 13.2%
Model probability for over 2.5 goals (34%) is significantly higher than the implied probability from the odds (21%), offering a positive expected value. Lorient's home attack and Auxerre's defensive frailty suggest some chance of a higher scoreline despite both teams' under trends.
1x2 — home@ 1.48
EV: -6.0%
Lorient are strong at home (6W/4D/1L), Auxerre are weak away (1W/3D/7L, 7 GF/18 GA), and recent form favours Lorient. However, the odds are short and value is marginal.
Match Analysis
Lorient host Auxerre in a clash between a solid mid-table side and a struggling relegation battler. Lorient's home form is one of the best in Ligue 1, with only one home defeat all season and a strong recent run (DWLWW). Auxerre, by contrast, have scored just 7 goals in 11 away matches and failed to score in four of their last five overall. Lorient's attack has been effective at home (2.0 goals/game), while Auxerre's away defence is leaky (1.64 conceded/game). The likely scenario is a controlled Lorient win, with a clean sheet probable given Auxerre's blunt attack. Most indicators point to a low-scoring game, but the price on over 2.5 goals is attractive for small stakes.
Key Factors
- →Lorient's home record: 6W/4D/1L, 22 GF/16 GA
- →Auxerre's away record: 1W/3D/7L, 7 GF/18 GA
- →Auxerre failed to score in 4 of last 5 matches
- →Lorient average 2.0 goals/game at home