Mansfield Town vs Burton Albion Predictions
League One · England
Mansfield Town
Full Time
0 - 0
AI predicted 2 - 1
Burton Albion
Win Probability (1X2)
Best Value Pick
Over/Under 2.5: Over 2.5
@ 5.6(+27% edge)
Match Result
6/10Stalemate at One Call: Mansfield and Burton Share the Spoils in Goalless Draw
Mansfield Town and Burton Albion played out a tense 0-0 draw at the One Call Stadium, with both sides creating chances but ultimately lacking the clinical edge to break the deadlock. Mansfield dominated possession with 57% and registered 12 shots, of which 4 were on target, but found Bradley Collins in resolute form between the Burton posts. Burton, meanwhile, managed just a single shot on target from their 11 attempts, struggling to penetrate Mansfield’s well-organized back three. The match was marked by midfield battles and a flurry of fouls—24 in total—as both teams pressed for an opening. Despite tactical tweaks and substitutions, neither side could find the breakthrough, leaving both managers to rue missed opportunities in a match that was high on intensity but low on end product.
💪 AI Prediction Report
DECENT HITPredicted
2 - 1
Actual
0 - 0
💰 Bet Results1/2 hit
Key Moments
23' — Yellow Card
Mansfield’s Louis Reed cautioned for a tactical foul, setting the tone for a combative midfield battle.
41' — Yellow Card
Adedeji Oshilaja (Mansfield) booked after a late challenge, reflecting Mansfield’s aggressive approach.
56' — Save
Bradley Collins (Burton) makes a crucial stop from Victor Adeboyejo’s close-range effort.
68' — Yellow Card
Jack Armer (Burton) shown a yellow for halting a Mansfield counter-attack.
77' — Yellow Card
Elliott Hewitt (Mansfield) picks up the home side’s third booking as tempers flare.
Mansfield Town
Mansfield Town controlled the tempo for large stretches, enjoying the lion’s share of possession and dictating play from midfield. Their 3-4-2-1 setup allowed for fluid transitions and width, with Lucas Akins and Stephen McLaughlin providing energy on the flanks. However, despite their attacking intent and 12 shots, the Stags were unable to convert pressure into goals, often finding Burton’s defense difficult to break down. Defensively, Mansfield were solid, restricting Burton to just one shot on target. The back three, marshaled by Adedeji Oshilaja, were disciplined, but the lack of a cutting edge up front ultimately cost them the three points.
Key Players
Strengths
Weaknesses
Burton Albion
Burton Albion set up in a 3-4-1-2 formation, focusing on defensive solidity and looking to hit Mansfield on the break. While they matched Mansfield in terms of shots (11), only one tested Harry Lewis in the home goal, highlighting their struggles in the final third. The midfield, anchored by Kgagelo Chauke and Dylan Williams, worked tirelessly to disrupt Mansfield’s rhythm. Bradley Collins was a standout performer, making key saves to keep Burton in the contest. However, the Brewers’ attacking trio of Charlie Webster, Jake Beesley, and Tyrese Shade found opportunities hard to come by against a disciplined Mansfield defense.
Key Players
Strengths
Weaknesses
Tactical Analysis
Mansfield’s 3-4-2-1 formation allowed them to dominate possession and stretch the play, with their wing-backs pushing high and midfielders rotating to create overloads. However, Burton’s compact 3-4-1-2 shape effectively clogged central areas and forced Mansfield wide, where crosses were often dealt with by the away defense. Both sides pressed energetically, leading to a high foul count and several bookings, which disrupted the flow of the game. Neither manager made significant tactical shifts, relying on their initial setups to grind out a result. Set pieces offered some promise, but both defenses were well-drilled, and clear chances were at a premium throughout.
Turning Point
Bradley Collins’ save from Victor Adeboyejo early in the second half preserved parity and denied Mansfield the momentum they needed.
Man of the Match
Bradley Collins
His crucial saves, especially from Adeboyejo, ensured Burton left with a hard-earned point.
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Expected goals · model says 1.45
Expected goals · model says 0.95
Over 2.5 Goals
43%
BTTS: Yes
47%
Likely Scores
1-0 · 1-1 · 2-0
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Powered by the same Poisson scoreline model behind the prediction. For fun and exploration — not betting advice.
Mansfield Town vs Burton Albion Prediction Confidence at a Glance
How strongly the model leans on each market.
Who do you think wins: Mansfield Town vs Burton Albion?
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Where the Model Sees Value: Mansfield Town vs Burton Albion(2)
Selections where the model's probability beats the bookmaker's implied probability. Expected value is computed from real consensus odds, not opinion.
Over/Under 2.5: Over 2.5@ 5.6
Model probability for over 2.5 goals (0.45) is much higher than the implied probability from odds (0.18), suggesting a strong value edge despite a moderate likelihood. Both teams have high over 2.5% season rates (Mansfield 46%, Burton 55%) and recent H2H meetings have seen goals.
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Match Result: Draw@ 3.45
Draw probability (0.32) is slightly higher than implied by market (0.29). Both teams have high draw counts (Mansfield 13, Burton 10) and recent form is inconsistent, increasing draw likelihood.
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More League One Predictions
The Case For This Mansfield Town vs Burton Albion Prediction
Mansfield Town come into this fixture in slightly better form, unbeaten in their last four league games and showing attacking improvement at home. Burton Albion have been inconsistent, alternating wins and losses, and struggle defensively away from home (29 conceded in 20 away games). Both teams are mid-table and not under immediate relegation pressure, but with the season winding down, motivation may be mixed. Recent head-to-heads have been high-scoring and competitive, with draws and both teams scoring common. Expect a cagey first half, but the game could open up after the break, with Mansfield's home attack likely edging out Burton's leaky away defence.
Key Factors at a Glance
Attack
- →Mansfield have scored 1.8 goals per game in their last 5 and are unbeaten in 4.
Defence
- →Burton have lost 3 of their last 5 and conceded 1.38 per game away this season.
Injuries & Team News
- →No major injuries reported for either side.
Match Context
- →Both teams have high season over 2.5 goal rates (Mansfield 46%, Burton 55%).
- →Recent H2H meetings: 3 of last 4 ended BTTS and 2+ goals.
- →Mansfield's home record (8W, 6D, 6L) is stronger than Burton's away (4W, 7D, 9L).
🚩 Mansfield Town vs Burton Albion Corners Prediction
low confidenceOur corners model projects roughly 4.2 corners for Mansfield Town and 5.2 for Burton Albion, for an expected total of 9.4. That makes the model lean Under 9.5 corners (53%). Over 8.5: 60% · Over 10.5: 34%.
How Mansfield Town and Burton Albion Are Arriving
Form, fitness and who's likely to start.
Mansfield Town vs Burton Albion Goalscorer Form
Goals scored in last 5 matches across all competitions. Rate = goals ÷ 5 games. XI badge shows player is in the expected starting lineup.
Mansfield Townlast 5 matchesNo scorer data yet — available after predictions are regenerated.
Burton Albionlast 5 matchesNo scorer data yet — available after predictions are regenerated.
Scorer data populates once predictions are regenerated with the updated pipeline.
Mansfield Town vs Burton Albion — Last 10 Matches
Strengths
- +Defensively solid — 0.6 conceded/game
- +3 clean sheets in last 5 matches
Strengths
- +Defensively solid — 0.6 conceded/game
What History Says: Mansfield Town vs Burton Albion
Mansfield Town vs Burton Albion Head-to-Head History
Last 10 meetings between these sides
1
Mansfield Town wins
4
Draws
5
Burton Albion wins
Things to Watch: Mansfield Town vs Burton Albion
- ⚠️Burton's recent match stats are incomplete, reducing confidence in away attack/defence estimates.
- ⚠️Both teams are mid-table with limited motivation, which can lead to unpredictable performances.
- ⚠️H2H history slightly favors Burton, but squad turnover and current form may outweigh this.
This analysis is for informational purposes only and does not constitute financial advice. Betting involves risk — always gamble responsibly.
How This Prediction Was Made
The numbers on this page come from a structured statistical pack for Mansfield Town vs Burton Albion: recent results and scoring data for both sides, home/away splits, the head-to-head record, current league standings, known injuries and live bookmaker odds, all sourced from the API-Football data feed.
An AI model analyses that pack and produces the probabilities, predicted score and written analysis shown above. Nothing is edited by hand, and no information outside the data pack is used.
Last updated: 1 April 2026 (refreshed automatically as new team data arrives). Every prediction is scored against the real result once the match finishes — see the verified track record or read the full methodology. Football is inherently uncertain: treat this page as analysis, not advice.