Masr vs Pharco Predictions
Premier League · Egypt
Masr
Full Time
1 - 0
AI predicted 1 - 0
Pharco
Win Probability (1X2)
Best Value Pick
BTTS: No
@ 1.6(+12% edge)
Match Result
6.5/10Masr Edge Pharco in Tight Cairo Contest
Masr claimed a narrow 1-0 victory over Pharco at the Cairo International Stadium, thanks to a decisive second-half strike. The hosts enjoyed the lion's share of possession (55%) and were the more enterprising side throughout, registering 11 shots to Pharco's 5 and forcing visiting goalkeeper Mohamed Saeed Shika into several saves. Despite their dominance, Masr had to remain vigilant against a Pharco side that defended resolutely and looked to threaten on the break. The only goal of the match arrived in the 53rd minute, breaking the deadlock after a cagey first half. Masr's midfield controlled proceedings, while their backline limited Pharco to just a single shot on target. With no bookings or red cards, the contest was played in a competitive but fair spirit, and although Pharco pushed for an equalizer late on, Masr held firm to secure all three points.
🔮 AI Prediction Report
PSYCHIC MODEPredicted
1 - 0
Actual
1 - 0
💰 Bet Results1/2 hit
Key Moments
53' — Goal
Sulahmana Mamadu Bah scores for Masr, breaking the deadlock after sustained pressure.
Masr
Masr delivered a composed and controlled performance, dictating the tempo with 55% possession and keeping Pharco largely at bay. Their attacking intent was clear, as they produced 11 shots (4 on target) and won 7 corners, reflecting their territorial advantage. The decisive moment came early in the second half, and from there, Masr managed the game well, minimizing risks and maintaining defensive discipline. The midfield trio of Mahmoud Saber, Ahmed Atef, and Ziad Tarek provided a solid platform, while the defense—anchored by Abdallah Bakri and Ali Gamal—rarely looked troubled. Masr's ability to maintain focus and composure, especially after taking the lead, was crucial to their victory.
Key Players
Strengths
Weaknesses
Pharco
Pharco approached the match with a cautious game plan, sitting deeper and looking to frustrate Masr while seeking opportunities on the break. Their defensive structure was generally sound, limiting Masr to four shots on target despite conceding 11 attempts overall. However, Pharco struggled to assert themselves in possession (45%) and found it difficult to create meaningful chances, managing just one shot on target. Despite a late push, Pharco's attacking duo of Aliou Ndiay and Karim El Tayeb were largely isolated, and the midfield found it tough to gain a foothold against Masr's pressing. The lack of attacking threat ultimately cost them a share of the spoils.
Key Players
Strengths
Weaknesses
Tactical Analysis
Both teams set up with a focus on defensive solidity, as reflected in the low number of shots on target and the absence of bookings. Masr's formation allowed them to control the midfield, with three central players supporting both defense and attack. Their use of width and set pieces was evident, as they won 7 corners and frequently probed Pharco's flanks. Pharco, meanwhile, appeared to opt for a compact back five when out of possession, relying on quick transitions to their front two. However, their inability to string together passes in midfield limited their attacking options. Substitutions for both sides were geared more towards maintaining energy levels than altering tactical shape, with neither team making drastic changes to their structure.
Turning Point
Sulahmana Mamadu Bah's goal in the 53rd minute gave Masr the lead and forced Pharco to chase the game, shifting the momentum decisively.
Man of the Match
Sulahmana Mamadu Bah
Provided the match-winning goal and was a constant threat in attack.
🎮 Prediction Playground
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Expected goals · model says 1.00
Expected goals · model says 0.55
Over 2.5 Goals
20%
BTTS: Yes
27%
Likely Scores
0-0 · 1-0 · 0-1
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Powered by the same Poisson scoreline model behind the prediction. For fun and exploration — not betting advice.
Masr vs Pharco Prediction Confidence at a Glance
How strongly the model leans on each market.
Who do you think wins: Masr vs Pharco?
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Where the Model Sees Value: Masr vs Pharco(2)
Selections where the model's probability beats the bookmaker's implied probability. Expected value is computed from real consensus odds, not opinion.
BTTS: No@ 1.6
Both teams have low recent attacking output and Pharco have failed to score in 3 of their last 5. Masr are defensively solid at home and H2H trends are low scoring.
Read more ↓
Match Result: Draw@ 2.92
Both teams have drawn a high proportion of matches this season, Masr have struggled to break down weaker teams at home, and Pharco play defensively away.
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More Premier League Predictions
The Case For This Masr vs Pharco Prediction
This match features mid-table Masr hosting relegation-threatened Pharco in a fixture that recent data suggests will be tight and low scoring. Masr have a clear historical edge in H2H, but their recent form is patchy and their attack has not been prolific at home. Pharco are struggling for goals and points, especially away, but often keep games close. Expect a cagey contest with few clear chances, where a single goal could decide it.
Key Factors at a Glance
Recent Form
- →Masr have won 4 of 5 H2H meetings, Pharco have never beaten them.
Attack
- →Pharco average just 0.46 goals scored per game this season, lowest in the league.
Defence
- →Masr's last 5: 1W, 1D, 3L, but strong home defensive record (0.67 goals conceded per home game).
- →Pharco have failed to score in 3 of their last 5 and have no clean sheets in that span.
Injuries & Team News
- →No major injuries for either side.
Match Context
- →Both teams have a high % of matches under 2.5 goals (Masr 65%, Pharco 88%).
🚩 Masr vs Pharco Corners Prediction
low confidenceOur corners model projects roughly 5 corners for Masr and 4.7 for Pharco, for an expected total of 9.7. That makes the model lean Under 9.5 corners (50%). Over 8.5: 63% · Over 10.5: 38%.
How Masr and Pharco Are Arriving
Form, fitness and who's likely to start.
Masr vs Pharco Goalscorer Form
Goals scored in last 5 matches across all competitions. Rate = goals ÷ 5 games. XI badge shows player is in the expected starting lineup.
Masrlast 5 matchesNo scorer data yet — available after predictions are regenerated.
Pharcolast 5 matchesNo scorer data yet — available after predictions are regenerated.
Scorer data populates once predictions are regenerated with the updated pipeline.
Masr vs Pharco — Last 10 Matches
Strengths
- +Both teams scoring in most recent games
Concerns
- −Inconsistent — 3+ losses in last 5
Concerns
- −4/5 losses in last 5 — poor form
- −Struggling to score — 0.4 goals/game
- −No clean sheets in last 5 matches
What History Says: Masr vs Pharco
Masr vs Pharco Head-to-Head History
Last 6 meetings between these sides
5
Masr wins
1
Draws
0
Pharco wins
Where the Model Disagrees with the Odds: Masr vs Pharco
Odds from 10Bet. Positive edge = our model gives a higher probability than the odds imply. EV = expected value per £1 staked.
1X2
Over/Under 2.5
Both Teams Score
Best Value Markets Found by the Model
EV per £1 staked. Positive EV means this bet has mathematical edge over the long run. Past model accuracy is tracked on our predictions tracker.
Edge and EV are derived from model probabilities only and do not constitute financial advice. Odds fluctuate — always verify current prices with your bookmaker.
Things to Watch: Masr vs Pharco
- ⚠️Masr's attack is inconsistent and sometimes struggles to break down defensive teams.
- ⚠️Pharco's away data sample is small and some recent match stats are incomplete.
- ⚠️Low total goals increases draw probability and variance.
- ⚠️Market odds are relatively efficient, limiting large value opportunities.
This analysis is for informational purposes only and does not constitute financial advice. Betting involves risk — always gamble responsibly.
How This Prediction Was Made
The numbers on this page come from a structured statistical pack for Masr vs Pharco: recent results and scoring data for both sides, home/away splits, the head-to-head record, current league standings, known injuries and live bookmaker odds, all sourced from the API-Football data feed.
An AI model analyses that pack and produces the probabilities, predicted score and written analysis shown above. Nothing is edited by hand, and no information outside the data pack is used.
Last updated: 27 April 2026 (refreshed automatically as new team data arrives). Every prediction is scored against the real result once the match finishes — see the verified track record or read the full methodology. Football is inherently uncertain: treat this page as analysis, not advice.