Ümraniyespor vs Vanspor FK Predictions
1. Lig · Turkey
Ümraniyespor
AI Predicted Score
1 - 1
Vanspor FK
Win Probability (1X2)
Best Value Pick
Match Result: Draw
@ 3.25(+7% edge)
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Expected goals · model says 0.80
Expected goals · model says 0.75
Over 2.5 Goals
20%
BTTS: Yes
29%
Likely Scores
0-0 · 1-0 · 0-1
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Powered by the same Poisson scoreline model behind the prediction. For fun and exploration — not betting advice.
Ümraniyespor vs Vanspor FK Prediction Confidence at a Glance
How strongly the model leans on each market.
Who do you think wins: Ümraniyespor vs Vanspor FK?
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Where the Model Sees Value: Ümraniyespor vs Vanspor FK(2)
Selections where the model's probability beats the bookmaker's implied probability. Expected value is computed from real consensus odds, not opinion.
Match Result: Draw@ 3.25
Both teams have inconsistent form, with similar home/away records and low recent scoring. The draw probability (0.38) exceeds the implied probability from odds (0.31), offering value. H2H is limited but recent meetings have been close.
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Over/Under 2.5: Under 2.5@ 1.2
Both teams average under 1.3 goals scored and conceded per game, with only 40% (home) and 48.6% (away) over 2.5 this season. Last 5 matches also show low scoring. Odds are short but the model probability is still high.
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More 1. Lig Predictions
The Case For This Ümraniyespor vs Vanspor FK Prediction
This is a mid-table clash between two sides with similar season trajectories and recent form. Ümraniyespor have a slightly better home record, while Vanspor FK have shown some attacking potential but are inconsistent away. Both teams have struggled for goals recently, and their defensive stats are nearly identical. The head-to-head record slightly favors Ümraniyespor, but the low-scoring trend and high draw probability suggest a tight, cagey contest with few clear chances.
Key Factors at a Glance
Recent Form
- →Ümraniyespor's home form (8W, 4D, 5L) and Vanspor FK's away form (4W, 6D, 7L) are closely matched.
Attack
- →Last 5 matches: Both sides have failed to score in 3 of 5, and both average under 1 goal scored per game in this stretch.
Defence
- →Both teams have scored and conceded at similar rates over the season.
Injuries & Team News
- →No significant injuries reported for either side.
Match Context
- →Head-to-head: All three previous meetings were won by Ümraniyespor, but margins were always a single goal.
- →Low BTTS and over 2.5 rates in recent matches for both teams.
🚩 Ümraniyespor vs Vanspor FK Corners Prediction
low confidenceOur corners model projects roughly 5 corners for Ümraniyespor and 4.8 for Vanspor FK, for an expected total of 9.8. That makes the model lean Over 9.5 corners (52%). Over 8.5: 64% · Over 10.5: 39%.
How Ümraniyespor and Vanspor FK Are Arriving
Form, fitness and who's likely to start.
Ümraniyespor vs Vanspor FK Goalscorer Form
Goals scored in last 5 matches across all competitions. Rate = goals ÷ 5 games. XI badge shows player is in the expected starting lineup.
Ümraniyesporlast 5 matchesNo scorer data yet — available after predictions are regenerated.
Vanspor FKlast 5 matchesNo scorer data yet — available after predictions are regenerated.
Scorer data populates once predictions are regenerated with the updated pipeline.
Ümraniyespor vs Vanspor FK — Last 10 Matches
Concerns
- −Inconsistent — 3+ losses in last 5
What History Says: Ümraniyespor vs Vanspor FK
Ümraniyespor vs Vanspor FK Head-to-Head History
Last 3 meetings between these sides
3
Ümraniyespor wins
0
Draws
0
Vanspor FK wins
Where the Model Disagrees with the Odds: Ümraniyespor vs Vanspor FK
Odds from William Hill. Positive edge = our model gives a higher probability than the odds imply. EV = expected value per £1 staked.
1X2
Over/Under 2.5
Both Teams Score
Best Value Markets Found by the Model
EV per £1 staked. Positive EV means this bet has mathematical edge over the long run. Past model accuracy is tracked on our predictions tracker.
Edge and EV are derived from model probabilities only and do not constitute financial advice. Odds fluctuate — always verify current prices with your bookmaker.
Things to Watch: Ümraniyespor vs Vanspor FK
- ⚠️Sample size for head-to-head is very small and may not reflect current squad strengths.
- ⚠️Recent form for both teams is inconsistent; both have a tendency to draw or narrowly lose.
- ⚠️Some missing data for away team match stats in last 5 games.
- ⚠️Market odds are tight and offer limited value in most markets.
This analysis is for informational purposes only and does not constitute financial advice. Betting involves risk — always gamble responsibly.
How This Prediction Was Made
The numbers on this page come from a structured statistical pack for Ümraniyespor vs Vanspor FK: recent results and scoring data for both sides, home/away splits, the head-to-head record, current league standings, known injuries and live bookmaker odds, all sourced from the API-Football data feed.
An AI model analyses that pack and produces the probabilities, predicted score and written analysis shown above. Nothing is edited by hand, and no information outside the data pack is used.
Last updated: 14 April 2026 (refreshed automatically as new team data arrives). Every prediction is scored against the real result once the match finishes — see the verified track record or read the full methodology. Football is inherently uncertain: treat this page as analysis, not advice.