Murang'a SEAL vs GOR Mahia Predictions
FKF Premier League · Kenya
Murang'a SEAL
AI Predicted Score
0 - 1
GOR Mahia
Win Probability (1X2)
Best Value Pick
BTTS: No
@ 1.8(+16% edge)
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Expected goals · model says 0.65
Expected goals · model says 1.10
Over 2.5 Goals
26%
BTTS: Yes
32%
Likely Scores
0-1 · 0-0 · 1-1
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Powered by the same Poisson scoreline model behind the prediction. For fun and exploration — not betting advice.
Murang'a SEAL vs GOR Mahia Prediction Confidence at a Glance
How strongly the model leans on each market.
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Where the Model Sees Value: Murang'a SEAL vs GOR Mahia(2)
Selections where the model's probability beats the bookmaker's implied probability. Expected value is computed from real consensus odds, not opinion.
BTTS: No@ 1.8
Both teams have low BTTS rates in recent matches, with GOR Mahia keeping 3 clean sheets in their last 5 and Murang'a SEAL failing to score in 1 of their last 5. Both sides average under 1.5 goals conceded per game, and the H2H history also includes multiple low-scoring or one-sided matches.
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Match Result: Draw@ 3.2
The draw probability is high (39%) due to GOR Mahia's tendency to draw away and the H2H record showing 4 draws in 6 meetings. Murang'a SEAL have also drawn several home matches this season.
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The Case For This Murang'a SEAL vs GOR Mahia Prediction
GOR Mahia travel to Murang'a SEAL as league leaders and clear favorites, but their recent matches have been tight, low-scoring affairs. Murang'a SEAL have struggled for form, losing 4 of their last 5, but did manage a clean sheet win last time out. The H2H record is draw-heavy and suggests a close contest, likely decided by a single goal or ending in a stalemate.
Key Factors at a Glance
Defence
- →GOR Mahia's away record is league-best (10W, 4D, 1L, only 8 conceded in 15).
- →Murang'a SEAL have lost 4 of their last 5 and conceded heavily (12 goals in 5 games).
- →Recent GOR Mahia matches average just 1 goal per game in last 5 (0.6 scored, 0.4 conceded).
Injuries & Team News
- →No significant injuries reported for either side.
Match Context
- →4 of last 6 H2H meetings have ended in draws; only 2 of 6 saw over 2.5 goals.
How Murang'a SEAL and GOR Mahia Are Arriving
Form, fitness and who's likely to start.
Murang'a SEAL vs GOR Mahia Goalscorer Form
Goals scored in last 5 matches across all competitions. Rate = goals ÷ 5 games.
Murang'a SEALlast 5 matchesOccasional threat
GOR Mahialast 5 matchesNo scorer data yet — available after predictions are regenerated.
Murang'a SEAL come into this match on the back of a much-needed win, but their prior four games were all losses, conceding an average of 2.4 goals per match. GOR Mahia, meanwhile, are unbeaten in four (2W, 2D) and boast the league's best defense, conceding just 20 in 31 games, but have scored only 3 goals in their last 5, suggesting a dip in attacking output.
Murang'a SEAL vs GOR Mahia — Last 10 Matches
Concerns
- −4/5 losses in last 5 — poor form
- −Leaky defence — 2.4 conceded/game
Strengths
- +Defensively solid — 0.4 conceded/game
- +3 clean sheets in last 5 matches
- +48.39% clean sheet rate this season
Concerns
- −Struggling to score — 0.6 goals/game
What History Says: Murang'a SEAL vs GOR Mahia
The head-to-head record is notably even, with 4 of 6 matches ending in draws and only 2 games seeing a winner by more than 1 goal. Both teams have struggled to break each other down, with multiple 0-0 and 2-2 results, reinforcing expectations of a tight, low-scoring contest.
Murang'a SEAL vs GOR Mahia Head-to-Head History
Last 6 meetings between these sides
0
Murang'a SEAL wins
4
Draws
2
GOR Mahia wins
Things to Watch: Murang'a SEAL vs GOR Mahia
- ⚠️No bookmaker odds available for most markets; value estimates use modelled odds.
- ⚠️No shots, possession, or set piece data available for recent matches.
- ⚠️Low confidence in corners and cards estimates due to missing stats.
- ⚠️Potential for rotation or motivation changes late in season not reflected in data.
This analysis is for informational purposes only and does not constitute financial advice. Betting involves risk — always gamble responsibly.
How This Prediction Was Made
The numbers on this page come from a structured statistical pack for Murang'a SEAL vs GOR Mahia: recent results and scoring data for both sides, home/away splits, the head-to-head record, current league standings, known injuries and live bookmaker odds, all sourced from the API-Football data feed.
An AI model analyses that pack and produces the probabilities, predicted score and written analysis shown above. Nothing is edited by hand, and no information outside the data pack is used.
Last updated: 12 May 2026 (refreshed automatically as new team data arrives). Every prediction is scored against the real result once the match finishes — see the verified track record or read the full methodology. Football is inherently uncertain: treat this page as analysis, not advice.