NEC Nijmegen vs Feyenoord Predictions
Eredivisie · Netherlands
NEC Nijmegen
AI Predicted Score
1 - 2
Feyenoord
Win Probability (1X2)
Best Value Pick
Match Result: Feyenoord Win
NEC Nijmegen vs Feyenoord: Match Preview
Feyenoord arrive at Goffertstadion with real momentum, unbeaten in their last five matches and having taken seven points from their opening three Eredivisie fixtures. Their attack is humming, with 2.4 goals per game across the last five, and a 5-2 away win at Cambuur last time out underlining their threat on the road. NEC, meanwhile, are reeling from consecutive defeats to Bodo/Glimt in Europe and have lost four of their last five in all competitions, including a home defeat to Telstar to open the league campaign.
The tactical contrast is stark: NEC have generated 17.2 shots and 5.2 on target per game over their last five, but defensive lapses have cost them dearly, conceding 1.8 per match and keeping just one clean sheet. Feyenoord's attack, led by Ueda and Zechiel, has been clinical—scoring early and often, with eight first-half goals in their last five outings. Set-piece numbers favour NEC (5.2 corners per game), but Feyenoord's ability to strike quickly and efficiently has overwhelmed more settled defences than NEC's.
Expect Feyenoord to dictate the tempo, especially in transition, exploiting NEC's vulnerability to quick attacks and lapses after half-time. While NEC's underlying attacking numbers suggest they could trouble the visitors, Feyenoord's form and sharper finishing should see them edge a high-tempo match, with the most likely scenario a 2-1 away win.
How NEC Nijmegen and Feyenoord Are Arriving
Form, fitness and who's likely to start.
NEC Nijmegen vs Feyenoord Goalscorer Form
Goals scored in last 5 matches across all competitions. Rate = goals ÷ 5 games. XI badge shows player is in the expected starting lineup.
NEC Nijmegenlast 5 matchesRegular contributor
Occasional threat
Occasional threat
Occasional threat
Occasional threat
Feyenoordlast 5 matchesScoring consistently
Scoring consistently
Regular contributor
Regular contributor
Occasional threat
Feyenoord are riding a wave of momentum, unbeaten in five and with two away wins already this season, scoring six in those matches. NEC, in contrast, are on a two-game losing streak and have suffered four defeats in their last five across all competitions, conceding nine goals in that period. The form lines point sharply towards the visitors, whose attack is outpacing NEC's recent output and defensive resilience.
NEC Nijmegen vs Feyenoord — Last 3 Matches
Strengths
- +Over 2.5 goals in 100% of games this season
- +High-volume attack — 17 shots/game
Concerns
- −Inconsistent — 3+ losses in last 5
Strengths
- +4/5 wins in last 5 — excellent form
- +Prolific attack — 2.4 goals/game (last 5)
- +Both teams scoring in most recent games
- +Over 2.5 goals in 66.67% of games this season
NEC Nijmegen vs Feyenoord Prediction Confidence at a Glance
How strongly the model leans on each market.
Stats Worth Knowing
The numbers behind NEC Nijmegen vs Feyenoord that most previews miss.
- 1Feyenoord have scored in the first half in four of their last five matches, netting eight first-half goals in that span.
- 2Six of the last ten H2H meetings have finished level, with three 1-1 draws at Goffertstadion since 2022.
- 3NEC are averaging 17.2 shots per game over their last five, but have only converted 1.2 goals per match, highlighting recent inefficiency.
🎮 Prediction Playground
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Expected goals · model says 1.20
Expected goals · model says 1.95
Over 2.5 Goals
61%
BTTS: Yes
60%
Likely Scores
1-1 · 1-2 · 0-1
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Powered by the same Poisson scoreline model behind the prediction. For fun and exploration — not betting advice.
Who do you think wins: NEC Nijmegen vs Feyenoord?
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The Case For This NEC Nijmegen vs Feyenoord Prediction
Momentum is with Feyenoord, who arrive unbeaten in the league and riding a five-match run without defeat across all competitions. NEC, by contrast, are searching for stability after back-to-back heavy losses in Europe and a patchy start domestically. The visitors' attacking rhythm and NEC's defensive struggles set the tone for a contest likely decided by which side imposes its form streak.
Key Factors at a Glance
Attack
- →Feyenoord's five-match unbeaten run (WDWWW) with 12 goals scored.
Defence
- →NEC have lost four of their last five, conceding 9 goals in that stretch.
- →Feyenoord have won both away games this season, scoring 6 and conceding just 2.
Where the Model Sees Value: NEC Nijmegen vs Feyenoord(3)
Selections where the model's probability beats the bookmaker's implied probability. Expected value is computed from real consensus odds, not opinion.
Match Result: Feyenoord Win
Feyenoord are unbeaten in their last five (WDWWW) and have scored 8 in their last three league matches, while NEC have lost four of their last five in all competitions and are on a two-game losing streak. The away side's momentum and attacking output (2.4 goals per game last five) make them strong favourites, especially as NEC have conceded at least twice in four of their last five.
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Over/Under 2.5: Over 2.5
Both teams have seen over 2.5 goals in 100% (NEC) and 66.7% (Feyenoord) of their league matches so far, and the last five for each side average a combined 3.6 goals per game. NEC's defensive frailty and Feyenoord's sharp attack point to another open contest.
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BTTS: Yes
NEC have scored in four of their last five at home in all competitions, and Feyenoord have only one clean sheet in their last five. With both sides averaging over a goal per game and BTTS landing in 3 of NEC's and 4 of Feyenoord's last 5, both teams finding the net is likely.
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More Eredivisie Predictions
🚩 NEC Nijmegen vs Feyenoord Corners Prediction
medium confidenceOur corners model projects roughly 7 corners for NEC Nijmegen and 5.6 for Feyenoord, for an expected total of 12.6. That makes the model lean Over 9.5 corners (81%). Over 8.5: 88% · Over 10.5: 71%.
What History Says: NEC Nijmegen vs Feyenoord
The head-to-head record is remarkably tight, with six draws in the last ten meetings and three consecutive 1-1 results at Goffertstadion. Feyenoord have only one win in their last five away to NEC, but both teams have found the net in five of the last six Eredivisie clashes. Margins have been consistently narrow, suggesting NEC often raise their level for this fixture.
NEC Nijmegen vs Feyenoord Head-to-Head History
Last 10 meetings between these sides
1
NEC Nijmegen wins
6
Draws
3
Feyenoord wins
Things to Watch: NEC Nijmegen vs Feyenoord
- ⚠️No bookmaker odds available, so value edges cannot be calculated.
- ⚠️Early season data means small sample sizes for league form.
- ⚠️NEC's underlying shot numbers remain high despite poor results, suggesting some potential for regression.
This analysis is for informational purposes only and does not constitute financial advice. Betting involves risk — always gamble responsibly.
Final Verdict
NEC Nijmegen 1–2 FeyenoordFeyenoord's unbeaten streak and clinical attack tip the balance here, with a 2-1 away win the most likely outcome. The single strongest data point is Feyenoord's 2.4 goals per game over their last five, paired with NEC's run of four defeats in five. The main risk is NEC's high shot volume finally translating into goals, especially if Feyenoord's defence switches off late.
NEC Nijmegen vs Feyenoord: Common Questions
Who will win NEC Nijmegen vs Feyenoord?
Feyenoord are favoured, with a 53% probability of victory based on their five-match unbeaten run and 2.4 goals per game in recent outings. NEC's recent form is poor, with four defeats in their last five and 1.8 goals conceded per match.
Will both teams score in NEC vs Feyenoord?
Both teams to score is rated at 58% probability. NEC have scored in four of their last five at home, while Feyenoord have only one clean sheet in their last five, and BTTS has landed in 7 of the last 10 H2H meetings.
Can NEC Nijmegen turn their form around against Feyenoord?
NEC's underlying attacking numbers are promising (17.2 shots per game last five), but their conversion rate has been poor and they've lost four of five. While a turnaround is possible, the model gives them just a 19% chance of victory against Feyenoord's current momentum.
How This Prediction Was Made
The numbers on this page come from a structured statistical pack for NEC Nijmegen vs Feyenoord: recent results and scoring data for both sides, home/away splits, the head-to-head record, current league standings, known injuries and live bookmaker odds, all sourced from the API-Football data feed.
This fixture was routed to The Form Guide, the momentum specialist — weights the last five matches above everything. An AI model running that profile analyses the pack and produces the probabilities, predicted score and written analysis shown above. Nothing is edited by hand, and no information outside the data pack is used.
Last updated: 29 August 2026 (refreshed automatically as new team data arrives). Every prediction is scored against the real result once the match finishes — see the verified track record or read the full methodology. Football is inherently uncertain: treat this page as analysis, not advice.