NEOM vs Al-Fayha Predictions
Pro League · Saudi-Arabia
NEOM
Full Time
1 - 0
AI predicted 1 - 2
Al-Fayha
Win Probability (1X2)
Best Value Pick
BTTS: Yes
@ 4(+27% edge)
Match Result
7.2/10Lacazette Strike Lifts NEOM Over Al-Fayha in Tight Pro League Clash
NEOM edged out Al-Fayha 1-0 at King Khalid Sport City Stadium thanks to a decisive second-half goal from Alexandre Lacazette. In a match that saw both sides create chances, it was the home team’s composure in front of goal that ultimately made the difference. NEOM enjoyed the lion’s share of possession (57%) and fired 15 shots, five of which tested Orlando Mosquera in the Al-Fayha goal. Al-Fayha were far from passive, registering 17 shots and pushing hard for an equalizer, but they lacked the clinical edge needed to break down a disciplined NEOM backline. Both teams were shown two yellow cards apiece in a contest that was competitive but rarely boiled over. Ultimately, Lacazette’s 74th-minute finish proved the difference in a closely fought encounter.
💀 AI Prediction Report
DOWN BADPredicted
1 - 2
Actual
1 - 0
💰 Bet Results0/2 hit
Key Moments
74' — Goal
Alexandre Lacazette finds the net to give NEOM a crucial 1-0 lead.
56' — Yellow Card
Abdoulaye Doucouré (NEOM) goes into the book for a tactical foul.
61' — Yellow Card
Chris Smalling (Al-Fayha) cautioned for dissent.
80' — Substitution
NEOM introduce fresh legs to shore up the midfield and protect the lead.
85' — Corner
Al-Fayha win a late corner but fail to capitalize as NEOM clear their lines.
NEOM
NEOM controlled large spells of the game, dictating play with 57% possession and looking the more composed side in midfield. Their 4-4-2 setup allowed for balanced attacking play, with Saïd Benrahma and Abdoulaye Doucouré providing drive and creativity. While they created several chances, it was Alexandre Lacazette who produced the decisive moment, finishing coolly in the 74th minute. Defensively, NEOM held firm against Al-Fayha’s late pressure, with Luís Maximiano making key interventions.
Key Players
Strengths
Weaknesses
Al-Fayha
Al-Fayha fought valiantly, creating 17 shots and matching NEOM’s intensity throughout. Their 4-4-2 formation provided structure, and the midfield pairing of Alfa Semedo and Rakan Kaabi worked tirelessly to disrupt NEOM’s rhythm. Despite winning more corners (6) and pressing late for an equalizer, Al-Fayha lacked composure in the final third. Defensively, Chris Smalling marshaled the backline well, but the visitors were ultimately undone by a single lapse.
Key Players
Strengths
Weaknesses
Tactical Analysis
Both sides lined up in a 4-4-2 formation, leading to a midfield battle that saw NEOM enjoy greater control and passing fluency. The home side’s wingers, particularly Benrahma, provided width and stretched Al-Fayha’s defense, while Lacazette and Rodríguez worked in tandem up front. NEOM’s full-backs supported attacks but remained disciplined defensively. Al-Fayha focused on quick transitions and set pieces, seeking to exploit NEOM on the break and from corners, but were largely kept at bay by Hegazy and Zeze in central defense. Late substitutions by NEOM tightened their midfield, allowing them to see out the result.
Turning Point
Lacazette’s 74th-minute goal, which broke the deadlock and forced Al-Fayha to chase the game.
Man of the Match
Alexandre Lacazette
Scored the decisive goal and led the line with intelligence and composure.
🎮 Prediction Playground
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Expected goals · model says 1.30
Expected goals · model says 1.45
Over 2.5 Goals
52%
BTTS: Yes
56%
Likely Scores
1-1 · 0-1 · 1-2
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Powered by the same Poisson scoreline model behind the prediction. For fun and exploration — not betting advice.
NEOM vs Al-Fayha Prediction Confidence at a Glance
How strongly the model leans on each market.
Who do you think wins: NEOM vs Al-Fayha?
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Where the Model Sees Value: NEOM vs Al-Fayha(2)
Selections where the model's probability beats the bookmaker's implied probability. Expected value is computed from real consensus odds, not opinion.
BTTS: Yes@ 4
Both teams have scored in 3 of their last 5 matches, and both average over 1 goal scored per game this season. The model probability (0.52) is much higher than the implied odds (0.25), offering strong value.
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Match Result: Draw@ 3.2
The teams are level on points and drew their only previous meeting. Both have similar season records and inconsistent home/away form, making the draw a value play.
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More Pro League Predictions
The Case For This NEOM vs Al-Fayha Prediction
This is a mid-table clash between NEOM and Al-Fayha, who are level on points and separated only by goal difference. Both sides have shown inconsistent form, but Al-Fayha arrive in better recent shape (WWLDW) and with a stronger attack in the last five games. NEOM have struggled at home, winning just 4 of 13, while Al-Fayha's away record is poor defensively but they have scored more goals on the road. The last meeting ended 1-1, and both teams have a tendency to concede. Expect a competitive match with both sides likely to score, but Al-Fayha's recent momentum and attacking edge could see them shade a narrow win.
Key Factors at a Glance
Recent Form
- →Recent form favours Al-Fayha (WWLDW vs DLLDW).
Attack
- →Al-Fayha have scored 2.2 goals per game in their last 5, NEOM just 1.0.
- →First H2H finished 1-1, suggesting a close contest.
Defence
- →NEOM's home record is weak (4W 2D 7L, 15:21 GF:GA), while Al-Fayha concede heavily away (27 in 13).
- →Both teams have low clean sheet rates (NEOM 19%, Al-Fayha 27%).
🚩 NEOM vs Al-Fayha Corners Prediction
medium confidenceOur corners model projects roughly 5 corners for NEOM and 6.2 for Al-Fayha, for an expected total of 11.2. That makes the model lean Over 9.5 corners (68%). Over 8.5: 79% · Over 10.5: 56%.
How NEOM and Al-Fayha Are Arriving
Form, fitness and who's likely to start.
NEOM vs Al-Fayha Goalscorer Form
Goals scored in last 5 matches across all competitions. Rate = goals ÷ 5 games. XI badge shows player is in the expected starting lineup.
NEOMlast 5 matchesNo scorer data yet — available after predictions are regenerated.
Al-Fayhalast 5 matchesNo scorer data yet — available after predictions are regenerated.
Scorer data populates once predictions are regenerated with the updated pipeline.
NEOM vs Al-Fayha — Last 10 Matches
Strengths
- +High-volume attack — 18 shots/game
What History Says: NEOM vs Al-Fayha
NEOM vs Al-Fayha Head-to-Head History
Last 2 meetings between these sides
1
NEOM wins
1
Draws
0
Al-Fayha wins
Things to Watch: NEOM vs Al-Fayha
- ⚠️Limited shots, possession, and set piece data for Al-Fayha in recent matches.
- ⚠️Only one historical H2H between these teams.
- ⚠️Both teams are mid-table with little at stake, which may affect motivation.
- ⚠️No major injury news, but lineups not confirmed.
This analysis is for informational purposes only and does not constitute financial advice. Betting involves risk — always gamble responsibly.
How This Prediction Was Made
The numbers on this page come from a structured statistical pack for NEOM vs Al-Fayha: recent results and scoring data for both sides, home/away splits, the head-to-head record, current league standings, known injuries and live bookmaker odds, all sourced from the API-Football data feed.
An AI model analyses that pack and produces the probabilities, predicted score and written analysis shown above. Nothing is edited by hand, and no information outside the data pack is used.
Last updated: 30 March 2026 (refreshed automatically as new team data arrives). Every prediction is scored against the real result once the match finishes — see the verified track record or read the full methodology. Football is inherently uncertain: treat this page as analysis, not advice.