Newcastle vs Everton Prediction
Premier League · England
Newcastle
Everton
📍 St. James' Park, Newcastle
🗓️ Saturday, 28 Feb 2026 at 15:00
Prediction Summary
Predicted Score
2 - 1
Match Odds (1X2)
Home: 39.0%
Draw: 33.0%
Away: 28.0%
Both Teams to Score
Yes
61.0% confidence
💰 Recommended Bets(2)
btts — yes@ 4
EV: 144.0%
Both teams have scored in 4+ of their last 5 matches, Newcastle's last 5 have all seen BTTS, and both attacks are outperforming their defences recently. The odds for BTTS yes are much higher than model probability, creating strong value.
1x2 — draw@ 3.7
EV: 22.0%
Both teams are evenly matched in the table and recent form, with Newcastle inconsistent at home and Everton solid away. The draw probability is higher than the implied odds, offering moderate value.
Match Analysis
This is a mid-table clash between two sides with similar records and recent form. Newcastle have shown attacking intent, averaging 2.8 goals scored in their last 5, but are defensively vulnerable, conceding in every recent game. Everton are more balanced but less prolific, and have a strong away record. Both teams tend to be involved in games with goals, and recent head-to-heads have also seen BTTS and high scores. Expect a competitive match with both sides likely to score, but neither dominating.
Key Factors
- →Newcastle's last 5 matches: 2.8 goals scored, 1.6 conceded per game, 5/5 BTTS.
- →Everton's last 5: 1.2 goals scored, 1 conceded per game, 4/5 BTTS.
- →Newcastle strong at home (7W, 2D, 4L), Everton solid away (6W, 3D, 4L).
- →Head-to-heads show goals and BTTS trends.
- →No significant injuries for either side.
- →Newcastle's matches high in cards recently; Everton also above average on bookings.
Risk Notes
- ⚠️Some missing match stats (shots, possession) for certain recent games.
- ⚠️Lineups not confirmed; late injuries or rotations could affect outcome.
- ⚠️Model leans on derived stats and historical trends due to limited recent home/away splits in last 5.
This analysis is for informational purposes only and does not constitute financial advice. Betting involves risk — always gamble responsibly.