NorthEast United vs Mohammedan Predictions
Indian Super League · India
NorthEast United
AI Predicted Score
2 - 0
Mohammedan
Win Probability (1X2)
Best Value Pick
Match Result: NorthEast United Win
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Expected goals · model says 1.80
Expected goals · model says 0.90
Over 2.5 Goals
51%
BTTS: Yes
50%
Likely Scores
1-0 · 1-1 · 2-0
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Powered by the same Poisson scoreline model behind the prediction. For fun and exploration — not betting advice.
NorthEast United vs Mohammedan Prediction Confidence at a Glance
How strongly the model leans on each market.
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Where the Model Sees Value: NorthEast United vs Mohammedan(3)
Selections where the model's probability beats the bookmaker's implied probability. Expected value is computed from real consensus odds, not opinion.
Match Result: NorthEast United Win
NorthEast United are in better recent form (WWLLD), have a strong home scoring record, and face a Mohammedan side with the league's worst away defense (22 conceded in 9 away).
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BTTS: No
Mohammedan have failed to score in 2 of their last 5 and average just 0.64 goals per game this season, while NorthEast United's defense has improved recently.
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Over/Under 2.5: Over 2.5
Both teams have over 50% of matches going over 2.5 goals this season, and NorthEast United have scored 7 in their last 2 home games.
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The Case For This NorthEast United vs Mohammedan Prediction
NorthEast United come into this fixture on the back of two high-scoring home wins, showing renewed attacking threat and momentum. Mohammedan, still winless in the league and with the worst defensive record, face a daunting trip to Guwahati. The hosts' superior form, home scoring rate, and dominant H2H suggest they are strong favorites, while the visitors' lack of attacking punch points toward a likely home clean sheet.
Key Factors at a Glance
Recent Form
- →H2H: NorthEast United unbeaten (2W, 1D), including a 6-0 win in 2025
Attack
- →NorthEast United's last 2 home games: 7 goals scored, both wins
- →NorthEast United average 1.6 goals scored per game in last 5
Defence
- →Mohammedan: 0 wins, 26 goals conceded in 11 matches (2.36 per game)
- →Mohammedan average just 0.8 goals scored and 1.4 conceded in last 5, but season defensive numbers are much worse
Injuries & Team News
- →No significant injuries reported for either side
🚩 NorthEast United vs Mohammedan Corners Prediction
medium confidenceOur corners model projects roughly 5.3 corners for NorthEast United and 5.3 for Mohammedan, for an expected total of 10.5. That makes the model lean Over 9.5 corners (61%). Over 8.5: 72% · Over 10.5: 48%.
How NorthEast United and Mohammedan Are Arriving
Form, fitness and who's likely to start.
NorthEast United vs Mohammedan Goalscorer Form
Goals scored in last 5 matches across all competitions. Rate = goals ÷ 5 games. XI badge shows player is in the expected starting lineup.
NorthEast Unitedlast 5 matchesRegular contributor
Occasional threat
Occasional threat
Occasional threat
Occasional threat
Occasional threat
Mohammedanlast 5 matchesOccasional threat
Occasional threat
Occasional threat
NorthEast United have hit form at the right time, winning their last two matches at home with a combined 7 goals scored, after a prior run of losses. Mohammedan remain winless this season, with three draws and eight defeats, and have shown little sign of improvement, especially away from home where they have conceded heavily.
NorthEast United vs Mohammedan — Last 10 Matches
Concerns
- −No clean sheets in last 5 matches
What History Says: NorthEast United vs Mohammedan
The head-to-head record is heavily in NorthEast United's favor, with two wins and a draw from three meetings, and a remarkable 6-0 victory in their last home encounter. Mohammedan have yet to score against NorthEast United in any competition.
NorthEast United vs Mohammedan Head-to-Head History
Last 3 meetings between these sides
2
NorthEast United wins
1
Draws
0
Mohammedan wins
Things to Watch: NorthEast United vs Mohammedan
- ⚠️No bookmaker odds provided, so value edge calculations are unavailable
- ⚠️Mohammedan's recent away draws suggest some defensive improvement
- ⚠️NorthEast United's defense remains inconsistent (season clean sheet %: 0%)
- ⚠️Fixture status is 'postponed' at time of data; match timing may change
This analysis is for informational purposes only and does not constitute financial advice. Betting involves risk — always gamble responsibly.
How This Prediction Was Made
The numbers on this page come from a structured statistical pack for NorthEast United vs Mohammedan: recent results and scoring data for both sides, home/away splits, the head-to-head record, current league standings, known injuries and live bookmaker odds, all sourced from the API-Football data feed.
An AI model analyses that pack and produces the probabilities, predicted score and written analysis shown above. Nothing is edited by hand, and no information outside the data pack is used.
Last updated: 12 May 2026 (refreshed automatically as new team data arrives). Every prediction is scored against the real result once the match finishes — see the verified track record or read the full methodology. Football is inherently uncertain: treat this page as analysis, not advice.