Orgryte IS vs Hammarby FF Predictions
Allsvenskan · Sweden
Orgryte IS
AI Predicted Score
1 - 3
Hammarby FF
Win Probability (1X2)
Best Value Pick
Match Result: Hammarby FF Win
Orgryte IS vs Hammarby FF: Match Preview
Orgryte IS approach this fixture desperate for points but short on momentum, having taken just four from their last five matches and sitting 15th in the table. Their current run—DLLWL—reflects a side struggling for consistency and defensive solidity, with only one win since July and a worrying average of two goals conceded per game in their last five. Hammarby FF, meanwhile, are surging: three consecutive league wins, four clean sheets in five, and a recent 3-0 cup victory have propelled them to second place, just six points off the summit.
The matchup is defined by contrasting strengths and weaknesses. Orgryte’s attack has flickered with 1.6 goals per game lately, but their defence is porous, conceding 41 in 18 league matches and keeping just one clean sheet in the last five. Hammarby’s attack is firing on all cylinders—2.4 goals, 14.8 shots, and nearly 8 corners per game recently—while their defence has been stingy, conceding only 0.2 per match in the same stretch. The first half could set the tone, as Hammarby have scored seven first-half goals in their last five, often taking control early.
Given these form lines, the model expects Hammarby’s momentum to carry them to a comfortable win. Orgryte’s defensive frailties look ill-equipped to cope with the visitors’ pace and variety, and the most likely scenario is Hammarby establishing a lead before half-time and seeing the match out with authority.
How Orgryte IS and Hammarby FF Are Arriving
Form, fitness and who's likely to start.
Orgryte IS vs Hammarby FF Goalscorer Form
Goals scored in last 5 matches across all competitions. Rate = goals ÷ 5 games. XI badge shows player is in the expected starting lineup.
Orgryte ISlast 5 matchesIn exceptional form
Occasional threat
Occasional threat
Occasional threat
Occasional threat
Hammarby FFlast 5 matchesScoring consistently
Regular contributor
Occasional threat
Occasional threat
Occasional threat
Occasional threat
Orgryte’s recent form is faltering, with just one win in their last five and a run of DLLWL, conceding ten goals in that span. In stark contrast, Hammarby are surging with three consecutive league victories and four clean sheets in their last five, averaging 2.4 goals per game. The momentum is firmly with the visitors.
Orgryte IS vs Hammarby FF — Last 10 Matches
Concerns
- −Inconsistent — 3+ losses in last 5
- −Leaky defence — 2.0 conceded/game
Strengths
- +4/5 wins in last 5 — excellent form
- +Prolific attack — 2.4 goals/game (last 5)
- +Defensively solid — 0.2 conceded/game
- +4 clean sheets in last 5 matches
Orgryte IS vs Hammarby FF Prediction Confidence at a Glance
How strongly the model leans on each market.
Stats Worth Knowing
The numbers behind Orgryte IS vs Hammarby FF that most previews miss.
- 1Hammarby have not conceded a single league goal in their last three matches, all wins.
- 2Orgryte’s last five have seen both teams score only three times, but they’ve conceded multiple goals in four of those games.
- 3Hammarby have scored seven of their last twelve league goals in the first half, signalling a trend for fast starts.
🎮 Prediction Playground
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Expected goals · model says 0.85
Expected goals · model says 2.50
Over 2.5 Goals
65%
BTTS: Yes
53%
Likely Scores
0-2 · 1-2 · 0-3
Play this match once with the probabilities above — every run is different.
Powered by the same Poisson scoreline model behind the prediction. For fun and exploration — not betting advice.
Who do you think wins: Orgryte IS vs Hammarby FF?
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The Case For This Orgryte IS vs Hammarby FF Prediction
Momentum could scarcely be more divergent: Orgryte limp into this clash with just one win in their last five, while Hammarby are riding a wave of three straight league victories, conceding only once in that span. The gulf in recent form is stark, and it’s reflected in the underlying numbers—Orgryte’s defence has been breached 10 times in their last five, while Hammarby’s has been nearly watertight. The tactical battle looks lopsided on paper. Orgryte’s attack, averaging 1.6 goals and 13 shots per game recently, faces a Hammarby defence that has kept four clean sheets in five and allowed just 0.2 goals per match in that run. At the other end, Hammarby’s relentless attack (2.4 goals, 14.8 shots, and nearly 8 corners per match in the last five) will test an Orgryte back line that has managed only one clean sheet in the same period. The first half could be decisive, as Hammarby have scored seven of their last 12 goals before the break. Given these trajectories, the model expects Hammarby’s momentum and firepower to overwhelm Orgryte’s fragile defence. With a recent 8-1 head-to-head demolition and a clear edge in both form and quality, Hammarby are strong favourites to take all three points, likely doing most of their damage early.
Key Factors at a Glance
Attack
- →Hammarby’s attack is averaging 2.4 goals and 14.8 shots per game over the last five.
Defence
- →Hammarby are on a three-match league winning streak, conceding just one goal in their last five.
- →Orgryte have conceded 10 goals in their last five matches and have only one win in that stretch.
Where the Model Sees Value: Orgryte IS vs Hammarby FF(3)
Selections where the model's probability beats the bookmaker's implied probability. Expected value is computed from real consensus odds, not opinion.
Match Result: Hammarby FF Win
Hammarby arrive on a three-match winning streak in the league, conceding just once in their last five and averaging 2.4 goals scored, while Orgryte have failed to win any of their last three and have conceded an average of 2 per game in that span.
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Over/Under 2.5: Over 2.5
Both sides have seen over 2.5 goals in 55.56% of their matches this season, and Orgryte's leaky defence (41 conceded in 18) faces a Hammarby attack averaging 2.4 goals in their last five.
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BTTS: No
Hammarby have kept four clean sheets in their last five league matches and have not seen both teams score in any of those games, while Orgryte have failed to score in one of their last five and have struggled for attacking consistency.
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More Allsvenskan Predictions
🚩 Orgryte IS vs Hammarby FF Corners Prediction
high confidenceOur corners model projects roughly 4.2 corners for Orgryte IS and 7.7 for Hammarby FF, for an expected total of 11.9. That makes the model lean Over 9.5 corners (75%). Over 8.5: 84% · Over 10.5: 64%.
What History Says: Orgryte IS vs Hammarby FF
The only recent meeting between these sides ended in a resounding 8-1 win for Hammarby, highlighting the gulf in quality. While that scoreline is an outlier, it reinforces Hammarby’s dominance in this matchup and underlines the scale of Orgryte’s challenge.
Orgryte IS vs Hammarby FF Head-to-Head History
Last 1 meeting between these sides
0
Orgryte IS wins
0
Draws
1
Hammarby FF wins
Things to Watch: Orgryte IS vs Hammarby FF
- ⚠️No bookmaker odds available, so value edges cannot be calculated.
- ⚠️Only one recent head-to-head, which was a heavy Hammarby win; small sample size for H2H.
- ⚠️Orgryte have shown occasional attacking threat (1.6 goals per last five), so a goal for the hosts cannot be ruled out.
This analysis is for informational purposes only and does not constitute financial advice. Betting involves risk — always gamble responsibly.
Final Verdict
Orgryte IS 1–3 Hammarby FFThe model projects a 3-1 away win for Hammarby, with the visitors’ three-match winning streak and dominant defensive numbers the clearest indicator. The most plausible way this goes wrong is if Orgryte’s attack, which has shown flashes at home, capitalises on an early chance and disrupts Hammarby’s rhythm.
Orgryte IS vs Hammarby FF: Common Questions
Who will win Orgryte IS vs Hammarby FF?
Hammarby FF are strong favourites, with a 73% probability of victory based on their three-match winning streak, four clean sheets in five, and a recent 8-1 demolition of Orgryte in the reverse fixture.
Will both teams score in Orgryte IS vs Hammarby FF?
Both teams to score is rated at 48%, with Hammarby keeping four clean sheets in their last five and Orgryte failing to score in one of their last five. The model slightly favours 'No' for BTTS.
Can Hammarby FF continue their winning run?
Hammarby’s momentum is compelling: three straight league wins, 2.4 goals scored and just 0.2 conceded per game in their last five. The model gives them a 73% chance of extending their winning streak.
How This Prediction Was Made
The numbers on this page come from a structured statistical pack for Orgryte IS vs Hammarby FF: recent results and scoring data for both sides, home/away splits, the head-to-head record, current league standings, known injuries and live bookmaker odds, all sourced from the API-Football data feed.
This fixture was routed to The Form Guide, the momentum specialist — weights the last five matches above everything. An AI model running that profile analyses the pack and produces the probabilities, predicted score and written analysis shown above. Nothing is edited by hand, and no information outside the data pack is used.
Last updated: 30 August 2026 (refreshed automatically as new team data arrives). Every prediction is scored against the real result once the match finishes — see the verified track record or read the full methodology. Football is inherently uncertain: treat this page as analysis, not advice.