Çorum FK vs Keçiörengücü Predictions
1. Lig · Turkey
Çorum FK
AI Predicted Score
2 - 1
Keçiörengücü
Win Probability (1X2)
Best Value Pick
Match Result: Draw
@ 3.6(+1% edge)
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Expected goals · model says 1.75
Expected goals · model says 1.10
Over 2.5 Goals
54%
BTTS: Yes
55%
Likely Scores
1-1 · 1-0 · 2-1
Play this match once with the probabilities above — every run is different.
Powered by the same Poisson scoreline model behind the prediction. For fun and exploration — not betting advice.
Çorum FK vs Keçiörengücü Prediction Confidence at a Glance
How strongly the model leans on each market.
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Where the Model Sees Value: Çorum FK vs Keçiörengücü(3)
Selections where the model's probability beats the bookmaker's implied probability. Expected value is computed from real consensus odds, not opinion.
Match Result: Draw@ 3.6
The draw probability is slightly undervalued by the market. Both teams have a high recent draw rate (Çorum FK 3/5, Keçiörengücü 1/5 but several close games), and the home side has drawn 5 times at home this season. H2H also includes a draw. Value is marginal but present.
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Double Chance: Çorum FK or Draw
Çorum FK are strong at home (12W 5D 2L), have a dominant H2H record (6 wins in last 8), and Keçiörengücü's away form is only average. Double chance covers the most likely outcomes.
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Over/Under 2.5: Over 2.5@ 1.7
Both teams have strong over 2.5 season rates (Çorum FK 50%, Keçiörengücü 60.5%) and recent matches have seen goals. However, market odds are about fair, so only small value.
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More 1. Lig Predictions
The Case For This Çorum FK vs Keçiörengücü Prediction
Çorum FK host Keçiörengücü in a clash between playoff contenders. The home side are in solid form, unbeaten in 5, and boast a strong home record. Keçiörengücü have been inconsistent away but come off two consecutive wins. H2H history is heavily in Çorum FK's favor, especially at home. Expect a competitive match with both sides likely to score, but Çorum FK's home strength and attacking output should give them the edge.
Key Factors at a Glance
Recent Form
- →Çorum FK unbeaten in last 5, strong home record (12W 5D 2L)
- →Keçiörengücü have won 2 in a row but away record is mixed (7W 5D 7L)
- →H2H: Çorum FK have won 6 of last 8 meetings
Attack
- →Both teams average over 1.5 goals scored per game; Keçiörengücü highest in league for goals scored
Defence
- →Both teams with similar clean sheet rates and defensive records
Injuries & Team News
- →No significant injuries reported for either side
🚩 Çorum FK vs Keçiörengücü Corners Prediction
medium confidenceOur corners model projects roughly 6.3 corners for Çorum FK and 4 for Keçiörengücü, for an expected total of 10.3. That makes the model lean Over 9.5 corners (58%). Over 8.5: 70% · Over 10.5: 46%.
How Çorum FK and Keçiörengücü Are Arriving
Form, fitness and who's likely to start.
Çorum FK vs Keçiörengücü Goalscorer Form
Goals scored in last 5 matches across all competitions. Rate = goals ÷ 5 games. XI badge shows player is in the expected starting lineup.
Çorum FKlast 5 matchesNo scorer data yet — available after predictions are regenerated.
Keçiörengücülast 5 matchesNo scorer data yet — available after predictions are regenerated.
Scorer data populates once predictions are regenerated with the updated pipeline.
Çorum FK vs Keçiörengücü — Last 10 Matches
Strengths
- +Prolific attack — 2.0 goals/game (last 5)
- +Both teams scoring in most recent games
Strengths
- +Solid recent form — 3+ wins in last 5
- +Defensively solid — 0.6 conceded/game
- +High-volume attack — 15 shots/game
What History Says: Çorum FK vs Keçiörengücü
Çorum FK vs Keçiörengücü Head-to-Head History
Last 8 meetings between these sides
6
Çorum FK wins
1
Draws
1
Keçiörengücü wins
Where the Model Disagrees with the Odds: Çorum FK vs Keçiörengücü
Odds from Bet365. Positive edge = our model gives a higher probability than the odds imply. EV = expected value per £1 staked.
1X2
Over/Under 2.5
Both Teams Score
Best Value Markets Found by the Model
EV per £1 staked. Positive EV means this bet has mathematical edge over the long run. Past model accuracy is tracked on our predictions tracker.
Edge and EV are derived from model probabilities only and do not constitute financial advice. Odds fluctuate — always verify current prices with your bookmaker.
Things to Watch: Çorum FK vs Keçiörengücü
- ⚠️No BTTS odds provided; btts probability estimated from stats
- ⚠️Some missing match stats for recent away games (shots, cards)
- ⚠️Keçiörengücü's away form is volatile; high ceiling but also risk
- ⚠️Market odds for main outcomes are close to model probabilities, so value is limited
This analysis is for informational purposes only and does not constitute financial advice. Betting involves risk — always gamble responsibly.
How This Prediction Was Made
The numbers on this page come from a structured statistical pack for Çorum FK vs Keçiörengücü: recent results and scoring data for both sides, home/away splits, the head-to-head record, current league standings, known injuries and live bookmaker odds, all sourced from the API-Football data feed.
An AI model analyses that pack and produces the probabilities, predicted score and written analysis shown above. Nothing is edited by hand, and no information outside the data pack is used.
Last updated: 5 May 2026 (refreshed automatically as new team data arrives). Every prediction is scored against the real result once the match finishes — see the verified track record or read the full methodology. Football is inherently uncertain: treat this page as analysis, not advice.