Çorum FK vs Sivasspor Predictions
1. Lig · Turkey
Çorum FK
AI Predicted Score
1 - 0
Sivasspor
Win Probability (1X2)
Best Value Pick
Match Result: Draw
@ 3.8(+4% edge)
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Expected goals · model says 1.15
Expected goals · model says 0.55
Over 2.5 Goals
24%
BTTS: Yes
29%
Likely Scores
1-0 · 0-0 · 2-0
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Powered by the same Poisson scoreline model behind the prediction. For fun and exploration — not betting advice.
Çorum FK vs Sivasspor Prediction Confidence at a Glance
How strongly the model leans on each market.
Who do you think wins: Çorum FK vs Sivasspor?
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Where the Model Sees Value: Çorum FK vs Sivasspor(2)
Selections where the model's probability beats the bookmaker's implied probability. Expected value is computed from real consensus odds, not opinion.
Match Result: Draw@ 3.8
Both teams have drawn several recent matches, and Çorum FK's home games have seen a high draw rate. The model's probability for a draw (30%) is slightly higher than the implied probability from odds, offering a marginal value edge.
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Over/Under 2.5: Under 2.5@ 1.2
Both teams have low over 2.5 rates (Çorum FK 48.6%, Sivasspor 37.1%), and recent form points to low-scoring matches. While the value is not strong, the under is very likely.
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The Case For This Çorum FK vs Sivasspor Prediction
This is a clash between two sides with solid defensive records and a tendency for low-scoring games. Çorum FK are strong at home, with only two home losses all season and a tight defense (12 conceded in 17 home games). Sivasspor have improved away but still struggle to create chances, averaging just 1.2 goals scored and 1.2 shots on target per game in their last five. Recent form for both sides is mixed, with draws and narrow wins common. Expect a tactical, cagey match with few clear-cut chances, especially in the first half.
Key Factors at a Glance
Attack
- →Sivasspor's away attack is weak: 1.2 goals and 1.2 shots on target per game in last 5.
- →Both teams' recent matches are low-scoring; under 2.5 goals hit in 4 of last 5 for each.
Defence
- →Çorum FK's home record: 11W 4D 2L, only 12 goals conceded in 17 home matches.
Injuries & Team News
- →No significant injuries reported for either side.
Match Context
- →Çorum FK have failed to score in only 1 of last 5, but rarely score more than 1.
- →Head-to-head history is very limited and inconclusive.
🚩 Çorum FK vs Sivasspor Corners Prediction
medium confidenceOur corners model projects roughly 6.5 corners for Çorum FK and 6.6 for Sivasspor, for an expected total of 13.1. That makes the model lean Over 9.5 corners (84%). Over 8.5: 90% · Over 10.5: 76%.
How Çorum FK and Sivasspor Are Arriving
Form, fitness and who's likely to start.
Çorum FK vs Sivasspor Goalscorer Form
Goals scored in last 5 matches across all competitions. Rate = goals ÷ 5 games. XI badge shows player is in the expected starting lineup.
Çorum FKlast 5 matchesNo scorer data yet — available after predictions are regenerated.
Sivassporlast 5 matchesNo scorer data yet — available after predictions are regenerated.
Scorer data populates once predictions are regenerated with the updated pipeline.
Çorum FK vs Sivasspor — Last 10 Matches
Strengths
- +Dominant in possession — 62% avg
Strengths
- +Solid recent form — 3+ wins in last 5
What History Says: Çorum FK vs Sivasspor
Çorum FK vs Sivasspor Head-to-Head History
Last 2 meetings between these sides
0
Çorum FK wins
1
Draws
1
Sivasspor wins
Where the Model Disagrees with the Odds: Çorum FK vs Sivasspor
Odds from William Hill. Positive edge = our model gives a higher probability than the odds imply. EV = expected value per £1 staked.
1X2
Over/Under 2.5
Both Teams Score
Best Value Markets Found by the Model
EV per £1 staked. Positive EV means this bet has mathematical edge over the long run. Past model accuracy is tracked on our predictions tracker.
Edge and EV are derived from model probabilities only and do not constitute financial advice. Odds fluctuate — always verify current prices with your bookmaker.
Things to Watch: Çorum FK vs Sivasspor
- ⚠️Limited head-to-head data (only 2 recent meetings, both close).
- ⚠️Some missing match stats for Sivasspor's recent away games reduces confidence in attack/defense estimates.
- ⚠️Bookmaker odds on favorites and unders are very short, limiting value.
- ⚠️Lineups not confirmed; late changes could impact expected defensive solidity.
This analysis is for informational purposes only and does not constitute financial advice. Betting involves risk — always gamble responsibly.
How This Prediction Was Made
The numbers on this page come from a structured statistical pack for Çorum FK vs Sivasspor: recent results and scoring data for both sides, home/away splits, the head-to-head record, current league standings, known injuries and live bookmaker odds, all sourced from the API-Football data feed.
An AI model analyses that pack and produces the probabilities, predicted score and written analysis shown above. Nothing is edited by hand, and no information outside the data pack is used.
Last updated: 14 April 2026 (refreshed automatically as new team data arrives). Every prediction is scored against the real result once the match finishes — see the verified track record or read the full methodology. Football is inherently uncertain: treat this page as analysis, not advice.