Çorum FK vs Sivasspor Prediction
1. Lig · Turkey
Çorum FK
Sivasspor
📍 Corum Stadyumu, Corum
🗓️ Sunday, 19 Apr 2026 at 13:00
Pre-Match Prediction
Prediction Summary
Predicted Score
1 - 0
Match Odds (1X2)
Home: 52.0%
Draw: 30.0%
Away: 18.0%
Both Teams to Score
No
75.0% confidence
💰 Recommended Bets(2)
1x2 — draw@ 3.8
EV: 15.2%
Both teams have drawn several recent matches, and Çorum FK's home games have seen a high draw rate. The model's probability for a draw (30%) is slightly higher than the implied probability from odds, offering a marginal value edge.
over_under_2_5 — under@ 1.2
EV: -6.0%
Both teams have low over 2.5 rates (Çorum FK 48.6%, Sivasspor 37.1%), and recent form points to low-scoring matches. While the value is not strong, the under is very likely.
Match Analysis
This is a clash between two sides with solid defensive records and a tendency for low-scoring games. Çorum FK are strong at home, with only two home losses all season and a tight defense (12 conceded in 17 home games). Sivasspor have improved away but still struggle to create chances, averaging just 1.2 goals scored and 1.2 shots on target per game in their last five. Recent form for both sides is mixed, with draws and narrow wins common. Expect a tactical, cagey match with few clear-cut chances, especially in the first half.
Key Factors
- →Çorum FK's home record: 11W 4D 2L, only 12 goals conceded in 17 home matches.
- →Sivasspor's away attack is weak: 1.2 goals and 1.2 shots on target per game in last 5.
- →Both teams' recent matches are low-scoring; under 2.5 goals hit in 4 of last 5 for each.
- →Çorum FK have failed to score in only 1 of last 5, but rarely score more than 1.
- →No significant injuries reported for either side.
- →Head-to-head history is very limited and inconclusive.
Risk Notes
- ⚠️Limited head-to-head data (only 2 recent meetings, both close).
- ⚠️Some missing match stats for Sivasspor's recent away games reduces confidence in attack/defense estimates.
- ⚠️Bookmaker odds on favorites and unders are very short, limiting value.
- ⚠️Lineups not confirmed; late changes could impact expected defensive solidity.
This analysis is for informational purposes only and does not constitute financial advice. Betting involves risk — always gamble responsibly.