QPR vs Blackburn Predictions

ChampionshipChampionship · England
high confidence
QPR

QPR

Full Time

1 - 3

AI predicted 1 - 0

Blackburn

Blackburn

🗓️ Saturday, 14 Feb 2026 at 15:00 GMT (venue time) · 15:00 UTC (your time)📍 Loftus Road, London

Win Probability (1X2)

QPR 51%Draw 32%Blackburn 17%

Best Value Pick

BTTS: No

@ 1.13

Match Result

7/10

Clinical Blackburn Punish Wasteful QPR in Loftus Road Upset

Blackburn Rovers delivered a ruthless away performance to claim a 3-1 victory over Queens Park Rangers at Loftus Road, capitalizing on their chances despite QPR dominating much of the play. The visitors struck first through Andri Guðjohnsen in the 21st minute, but QPR responded with a well-taken goal from Richard Kone on 35 minutes. However, Blackburn regained the lead just before halftime and extended it early in the second half, leaving the home side chasing the game. QPR enjoyed 58% possession and peppered the Blackburn goal with 20 shots, but could only muster three on target. In contrast, Blackburn were clinical, converting three of their four shots on target from just seven attempts. Despite a late push from the hosts, Blackburn's defense held firm, and the visitors left London with all three points.

💀 AI Prediction Report

DOWN BAD

Predicted

1 - 0

⚡

Actual

1 - 3

❌Result
❌BTTS
❌O/U 2.5
❌Score

💰 Bet Results0/2 hit

1x2 — home@ 1.5
❌
btts — no@ 1.13
❌
correct_score — 1-0
❓

Key Moments

21' — Goal

Andri Guðjohnsen puts Blackburn ahead with a composed finish.

35' — Goal

Richard Kone equalizes for QPR, finishing a flowing move.

40' — Goal

Blackburn restore their lead just before halftime.

50' — Goal

Blackburn extend their advantage early in the second half, taking control of the match.

Assorted' — Yellow Cards

A total of five yellow cards shown as tempers flared in a competitive encounter.

QPR

QPR

5.5/10

QPR controlled possession and dictated much of the tempo, but their lack of cutting edge in the final third proved costly. Despite creating numerous opportunities and winning eight corners, they struggled to break down a resolute Blackburn defense and were punished for defensive lapses at key moments. The hosts' attacking intent was evident, but their inefficiency in front of goal undermined their efforts.

Key Players

Richard Kone: Scored QPR's only goal in the 35th minute, offering a glimmer of hope.
Harvey Vale: Instrumental in midfield, helping QPR dominate possession and drive attacks.

Strengths

Dominated possessionCreated significant chancesEffective set-piece delivery

Weaknesses

Poor finishingDefensive lapsesStruggled to convert pressure into goals
Blackburn

Blackburn

7.5/10

Blackburn executed a textbook away performance, soaking up pressure and punishing QPR on the break. Despite having just 42% possession and only one corner, their efficiency in front of goal was exemplary. Defensively, they remained organized under sustained pressure, while their midfield worked tirelessly to disrupt QPR's rhythm and launch incisive counter-attacks.

Key Players

Andri Guðjohnsen: Opened the scoring and led the line with clinical finishing.
Balázs Tóth: Made key saves to keep QPR at bay, especially during the hosts' late surge.

Strengths

Clinical finishingCompact defensive shapeEffective counter-attacks

Weaknesses

Limited possessionFew attacking opportunitiesConceded numerous shots

Tactical Analysis

Both sides lined up in 4-2-3-1 formations, but the tactical battle was defined by QPR's territorial dominance versus Blackburn's defensive discipline and counter-attacking threat. QPR looked to build from the back and utilize the width provided by Harvey Vale and Koki Saito, but struggled to break down Blackburn's compact lines. Blackburn's midfield duo of Moussa Baradji and Sondre Tronstad were pivotal in breaking up play and launching quick transitions, which led directly to their goals. Substitutions did little to alter the tactical landscape, as Blackburn remained resolute and QPR's attacking changes failed to produce the desired impact. Set pieces offered QPR hope, but the visitors' organization at the back was unyielding.

Turning Point

Blackburn's third goal in the 50th minute, which gave them a two-goal cushion and forced QPR to chase the game, ultimately sealing the visitors' victory.

Man of the Match

Andri Guðjohnsen

Led the line with intelligence, scored the opener, and was central to Blackburn's clinical attacking display.

🎮 Prediction Playground

Think the model has it wrong? Nudge each team's expected goals and watch every probability react — then simulate the match and see what happens.

QPR1.05

Expected goals · model says 1.05

Blackburn0.45

Expected goals · model says 0.45

Win Probability
QPR 50% Draw 34% Blackburn 16%

Over 2.5 Goals

19%

BTTS: Yes

24%

Likely Scores

1-0 · 0-0 · 2-0

Play this match once with the probabilities above — every run is different.

Powered by the same Poisson scoreline model behind the prediction. For fun and exploration — not betting advice.

QPR vs Blackburn Prediction Confidence at a Glance

How strongly the model leans on each market.

Match Result (1X2)
51%
32%
17%
QPR 51%Draw 32%Blackburn 17%
Both Teams to Score
22%
78%
Yes 22%No 78%
Over/Under 2.5 Goals
19%
81%
Over 2.5 19%Under 2.5 81%
Corners (Over/Under 9.5)
57%
43%
Over 9.5 57%Under 9.5 43%

Who do you think wins: QPR vs Blackburn?

Cast your vote, then see how it stacks up against the model.

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The Case For This QPR vs Blackburn Prediction

QPR host Blackburn in a clash between a mid-table side and a team fighting relegation. QPR's home form and defensive solidity (3 clean sheets in last 5) contrast with Blackburn's poor recent run and lack of attacking threat (0.6 goals scored per game in last 5). Injuries to key QPR players may blunt their attack, but Blackburn's away record is weak and their attack is underperforming. Expect a tight, low-scoring game with QPR likely edging it, possibly by a single goal.

Key Factors at a Glance

Recent Form

  • →Head-to-head: No draws in last 10; home team often edges it

Defence

  • →QPR last 5: 3 clean sheets, only 0.8 goals scored/conceded per game
  • →Blackburn last 5: 0.6 goals scored, 1.4 conceded per game

Match Context

  • →QPR home: 8W, 2D, 5L, 28:21 GF:GA
  • →Blackburn away: 5W, 3D, 7L, 12:18 GF:GA
  • →QPR missing several key players (Chair, Dembele, Clarke-Salter)
  • →QPR 13th, Blackburn 22nd (relegation zone), big motivation for away side

🚩 QPR vs Blackburn Corners Prediction

medium confidence
10.2expected total corners
Over 57%
Under 43%
Over 9.5Under 9.5

Our corners model projects roughly 5.8 corners for QPR and 4.4 for Blackburn, for an expected total of 10.2. That makes the model lean Over 9.5 corners (57%). Over 8.5: 69% · Over 10.5: 44%.

More corners tips:Over 9.5 →Under 9.5 →

How QPR and Blackburn Are Arriving

Form, fitness and who's likely to start.

QPR vs Blackburn Goalscorer Form

Goals scored in last 5 matches across all competitions. Rate = goals ÷ 5 games. XI badge shows player is in the expected starting lineup.

QPRQPRlast 5 matches

No scorer data yet — available after predictions are regenerated.

BlackburnBlackburnlast 5 matches

No scorer data yet — available after predictions are regenerated.

Scorer data populates once predictions are regenerated with the updated pipeline.

QPR vs Blackburn — Last 10 Matches

QPRQPRLast 10 results
L2-3
L1-2
L0-2
D0-0
D1-1
W2-1
W6-1
W3-1
L0-1
L0-4
Lvs Derby2-3
Lvs Swansea1-2
L@ Millwall0-2
Dvs Bristol City0-0
D@ Preston1-1
Wvs Watford2-1
Wvs Portsmouth6-1
W@ Leicester3-1
L@ Birmingham0-1
Lvs Middlesbrough0-4

Concerns

  • −Inconsistent — 3+ losses in last 5
BlackburnBlackburnLast 10 results
W3-1
D1-1
L0-3
D1-1
D0-0
W1-0
D0-0
W2-1
L0-1
D1-1
W@ Sheffield Utd3-1
Dvs Coventry1-1
L@ Southampton0-3
D@ Stoke City1-1
Dvs West Brom0-0
W@ Birmingham1-0
Dvs Middlesbrough0-0
W@ Millwall2-1
L@ Oxford United0-1
Dvs Portsmouth1-1

What History Says: QPR vs Blackburn

QPR vs Blackburn Head-to-Head History

Last 10 meetings between these sides

4

QPR wins

0

Draws

6

Blackburn wins

40%0% draws60%
14 Feb 26QPR vs Blackburn1-3
26 Nov 25Blackburn vs QPR0-1
4 Feb 25QPR vs Blackburn2-1
28 Sept 24Blackburn vs QPR2-0
3 Feb 24Blackburn vs QPR1-2
7 Oct 23QPR vs Blackburn0-4

Things to Watch: QPR vs Blackburn

  • ⚠️QPR have significant injury absences, including creative midfielders
  • ⚠️Blackburn's attack has been poor but away record is not disastrous
  • ⚠️Low-scoring trend increases variance for correct score and goal markets
  • ⚠️Bookmaker odds on main markets offer little value

This analysis is for informational purposes only and does not constitute financial advice. Betting involves risk — always gamble responsibly.

How This Prediction Was Made

The numbers on this page come from a structured statistical pack for QPR vs Blackburn: recent results and scoring data for both sides, home/away splits, the head-to-head record, current league standings, known injuries and live bookmaker odds, all sourced from the API-Football data feed.

An AI model analyses that pack and produces the probabilities, predicted score and written analysis shown above. Nothing is edited by hand, and no information outside the data pack is used.

Last updated: 13 February 2026 (refreshed automatically as new team data arrives). Every prediction is scored against the real result once the match finishes — see the verified track record or read the full methodology. Football is inherently uncertain: treat this page as analysis, not advice.

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