Real Salt Lake vs New England Revolution Predictions
Major League Soccer · USA
Real Salt Lake
Full Time
3 - 0
AI predicted 1 - 2
New England Revolution
Win Probability (1X2)
Best Value Pick
Match Result: New England Revolution Win
@ 3.1(+49% edge)
Match Result
7.5/10Clinical Real Salt Lake Stun Revolution With Ruthless 3-0 Home Win
Real Salt Lake produced a masterclass in efficiency as they dispatched New England Revolution 3-0 at Rio Tinto Stadium, despite seeing just 33% of the ball. The hosts struck early through A. Hezarkhani in the 2nd minute, seizing the initiative and forcing the Revolution to chase the game. New England dominated possession and peppered the Salt Lake goal with 16 shots, but lacked the cutting edge in the final third. Second-half goals from S. Solans (62') and M. Guilavogui (80') put the result beyond doubt, as Real Salt Lake punished New England on the break and from set pieces. While New England racked up 11 corners and dictated much of the tempo, they were repeatedly denied by a resolute Salt Lake defense and the sharp reflexes of Rafael Cabral. In contrast, Salt Lake made the most of their limited opportunities, firing 6 of their 9 shots on target and converting three times.
😅 AI Prediction Report
CLOSE BUT NO CIGARPredicted
1 - 2
Actual
3 - 0
💰 Bet Results0/1 hit
Key Moments
2' — Goal
A. Hezarkhani fires Real Salt Lake ahead with a clinical early finish.
62' — Goal
S. Solans doubles the lead for Salt Lake, capitalizing on a swift counter.
80' — Goal
M. Guilavogui seals the win with a third goal for the hosts.
various' — Yellow Cards
Both teams pick up two yellow cards each in a competitive midfield battle.
Real Salt Lake
Real Salt Lake executed a textbook counter-attacking display, soaking up pressure and striking decisively when chances arose. Despite conceding 67% possession and facing 16 shots, their back three and midfield shield stayed compact and disciplined. The front three, led by A. Hezarkhani, were clinical, converting half their shots on target. Defensively, Salt Lake limited New England to just 4 shots on target and kept their composure under sustained pressure. Their ability to transition quickly from defense to attack was key, and they showed great resilience to see out the game after their early lead.
Key Players
Strengths
Weaknesses
New England Revolution
New England Revolution controlled the ball for long stretches, finishing with 67% possession and 16 total shots, but were left frustrated by their inability to break down Salt Lake's defense. Their 11 corners and 14 fouls reflected both their attacking intent and growing desperation as the match wore on. Despite the creative efforts of Carles Gil and D. Gazdag in midfield, the Revolution lacked penetration in the final third, managing just 4 shots on target. Defensive lapses and vulnerability to quick transitions ultimately cost them, as they were punished clinically by the hosts.
Key Players
Strengths
Weaknesses
Tactical Analysis
Real Salt Lake set up in a compact 3-4-3, prioritizing defensive solidity and quick transitions. Their wingbacks tucked in to form a back five when out of possession, frustrating New England's attempts to play through the middle. The front three pressed selectively, waiting for opportunities to break at speed. New England's 4-2-3-1 saw them dominate the ball and push fullbacks high, but their attacks often stalled at the edge of the box. Despite a flurry of corners, they struggled to convert set pieces into clear chances. The lack of tactical flexibility and inability to stretch Salt Lake's backline proved costly, especially after falling behind early.
Turning Point
S. Solans' goal in the 62nd minute—doubling the lead and deflating New England's hopes of a comeback.
Man of the Match
A. Hezarkhani
His early goal set the tone and gave Salt Lake the platform to execute their game plan perfectly.
Real Salt Lake vs New England Revolution: Match Preview
Real Salt Lake enter this fixture in a tailspin, having taken just a single point from their last five matches and slipping to 11th in the table. Their recent home defeat to New York City FC (0-2) epitomised their struggles, with a blunt attack and defensive lapses undermining any momentum. In contrast, New England Revolution are surging, climbing to third after a run of four wins in five and back-to-back away victories at Chicago and NYCFC, scoring twice in each.
Statistically, the contrast is stark. Salt Lake have averaged just 0.6 goals scored and 2.0 conceded per game in their last five, failing to keep a single clean sheet and scoring only once before half-time. New England, meanwhile, are averaging 1.8 goals per game, with all five of their last matches seeing both teams score. The visitors' attack has been especially effective early, with five first-half goals in five games, while Salt Lake have struggled to impose themselves before the break. Both sides concede chances—Salt Lake allow 5 shots on target per game recently, New England 6.4—but the visitors' sharper finishing and lower card count (1.8 yellows per game vs Salt Lake's 3.2) could prove decisive.
Given these trajectories, the model expects New England's attacking momentum and Salt Lake's current lack of confidence to shape the match. The away side are well positioned to strike early and control the tempo, exploiting Salt Lake's slow starts and recent defensive lapses. While Salt Lake's home record warns against writing them off completely, the form lines point to a 2-1 win for New England, with the most plausible risk being a Salt Lake resurgence at home or a high-variance, goal-heavy draw.
How Real Salt Lake and New England Revolution Are Arriving
Form, fitness and who's likely to start.
Real Salt Lake vs New England Revolution Goalscorer Form
Goals scored in last 5 matches across all competitions. Rate = goals ÷ 5 games. XI badge shows player is in the expected starting lineup.
Real Salt Lakelast 5 matchesRegular contributor
Occasional threat
Occasional threat
New England Revolutionlast 5 matchesIn exceptional form
Scoring consistently
Occasional threat
Occasional threat
Real Salt Lake are in the midst of a severe downturn, losing four of their last five and failing to score in three, with a form string of 'LLDLL'. In stark contrast, New England Revolution are riding a wave of momentum, winning four of five and netting nine goals, including consecutive away victories. The visitors' current trajectory is among the strongest in MLS, while Salt Lake's slide has coincided with a blunt attack and defensive leaks.
Real Salt Lake vs New England Revolution — Last 10 Matches
Strengths
- +Over 2.5 goals in 66.67% of games this season
Concerns
- −4/5 losses in last 5 — poor form
Strengths
- +Solid recent form — 3+ wins in last 5
- +Both teams scoring in most recent games
- +Over 2.5 goals in 70.37% of games this season
- +High-volume attack — 14 shots/game
Concerns
- −No clean sheets in last 5 matches
Real Salt Lake vs New England Revolution Prediction Confidence at a Glance
How strongly the model leans on each market.
Stats Worth Knowing
The numbers behind Real Salt Lake vs New England Revolution that most previews miss.
- 1Salt Lake have scored just one first-half goal in their last five matches, while New England have five in the same span.
- 2Both teams have failed to keep a clean sheet in any of their last five games, with BTTS landing in seven of those ten combined fixtures.
- 3Salt Lake's home matches average 3.42 goals per game this season, while New England's away games average 3.00.
🎮 Prediction Playground
Think the model has it wrong? Nudge each team's expected goals and watch every probability react — then simulate the match and see what happens.
Expected goals · model says 1.30
Expected goals · model says 1.85
Over 2.5 Goals
61%
BTTS: Yes
61%
Likely Scores
1-1 · 1-2 · 0-1
Play this match once with the probabilities above — every run is different.
Powered by the same Poisson scoreline model behind the prediction. For fun and exploration — not betting advice.
Who do you think wins: Real Salt Lake vs New England Revolution?
Cast your vote, then see how it stacks up against the model.
The Case For This Real Salt Lake vs New England Revolution Prediction
Momentum is the story here: New England Revolution have found their stride with three away wins in their last four, while Real Salt Lake are mired in a five-match winless run, their attack sputtering. The visitors' recent surge is underpinned by a consistent scoring threat and late goals, while Salt Lake's defensive frailty and lack of first-half output have left them chasing games. Expect New England to dictate the tempo, capitalising on Salt Lake's current vulnerabilities and extending their impressive run.
Key Factors at a Glance
Attack
- →Salt Lake have failed to score in three of their last five and average just 0.6 goals per game in that span.
Defence
- →New England's last five: WWLWD, with nine goals scored and just six conceded.
Match Context
- →New England have scored first in four of their last five, while Salt Lake have just one first-half goal in five.
Where the Model Sees Value: Real Salt Lake vs New England Revolution(2)
Selections where the model's probability beats the bookmaker's implied probability. Expected value is computed from real consensus odds, not opinion.
Match Result: New England Revolution Win@ 3.07
New England Revolution arrive on a surge of form, having won four of their last five and scoring nine goals in that span, while Real Salt Lake have lost four of five and failed to score in three. The model's 48% away win probability is well above the 32% implied by the odds, driven by the visitors' attacking momentum and Salt Lake's current slide.
Read more ↓
Double Chance: Draw or New England Revolution@ 1.6
With New England unbeaten in four of their last five away and Salt Lake winless in five, the X2 covers the draw and away win, reflecting the strong momentum gap.
Read more ↓
More Major League Soccer Predictions
🚩 Real Salt Lake vs New England Revolution Corners Prediction
low confidenceOur corners model projects roughly 5.3 corners for Real Salt Lake and 4.7 for New England Revolution, for an expected total of 10. That makes the model lean Over 9.5 corners (55%). Over 8.5: 67% · Over 10.5: 42%.
What History Says: Real Salt Lake vs New England Revolution
Salt Lake have historically held the upper hand in this fixture, winning six of the last ten meetings and four of the last five at home, including a 2-0 win in 2024. However, the head-to-head edge is offset by Salt Lake's current poor form and New England's recent surge, making historical trends less predictive here.
Real Salt Lake vs New England Revolution Head-to-Head History
Last 10 meetings between these sides
6
Real Salt Lake wins
2
Draws
2
New England Revolution wins
Where the Model Disagrees with the Odds: Real Salt Lake vs New England Revolution
The standout value is on the away win, with the model assigning New England a 48% chance but odds implying just 32%, yielding a substantial positive expected value. The double chance (X2) also offers value given Salt Lake's recent slide. BTTS and over 2.5 goals are accurately priced by the market, offering less edge despite strong statistical support.
Odds from Bet365. Positive edge = our model gives a higher probability than the odds imply. EV = expected value per £1 staked.
1X2
Over/Under 2.5
Both Teams Score
Best Value Markets Found by the Model
EV per £1 staked. Positive EV means this bet has mathematical edge over the long run. Past model accuracy is tracked on our predictions tracker.
Edge and EV are derived from model probabilities only and do not constitute financial advice. Odds fluctuate — always verify current prices with your bookmaker.
Things to Watch: Real Salt Lake vs New England Revolution
- ⚠️Salt Lake's home record (7W, 2D, 3L) is strong over the season, so a bounce-back cannot be ruled out.
- ⚠️Both sides have failed to keep a clean sheet in their last five, raising volatility in the scoreline.
- ⚠️No major injuries reported, but lineups are not available at time of prediction.
This analysis is for informational purposes only and does not constitute financial advice. Betting involves risk — always gamble responsibly.
Final Verdict
Real Salt Lake 1–2 New England RevolutionThe model projects a 2-1 away win for New England Revolution, with the single strongest data point being the visitors' four wins in their last five and Salt Lake's ongoing five-match winless streak. The main risk to this outcome is Salt Lake rediscovering their early-season home form and exploiting New England's tendency to concede, which could turn the match into a high-scoring draw.
Real Salt Lake vs New England Revolution: Common Questions
Who will win Real Salt Lake vs New England Revolution?
Based on recent form and momentum, New England Revolution are favoured with a 48% win probability, compared to 24% for Salt Lake and 28% for the draw. The visitors have won four of their last five, while Salt Lake are winless in five.
Will both teams score in Real Salt Lake vs New England Revolution?
There's a 62% chance of both teams scoring, supported by the fact that neither side has kept a clean sheet in their last five matches and New England have seen BTTS in all of those games.
Can New England Revolution continue their winning streak?
The data gives New England a strong chance to extend their run, with back-to-back away wins and nine goals scored in their last five. Their attacking momentum and Salt Lake's recent struggles suggest the streak is likely to continue.
How This Prediction Was Made
The numbers on this page come from a structured statistical pack for Real Salt Lake vs New England Revolution: recent results and scoring data for both sides, home/away splits, the head-to-head record, current league standings, known injuries and live bookmaker odds, all sourced from the API-Football data feed.
This fixture was routed to The Form Guide, the momentum specialist — weights the last five matches above everything. An AI model running that profile analyses the pack and produces the probabilities, predicted score and written analysis shown above. Nothing is edited by hand, and no information outside the data pack is used.
Last updated: 20 September 2026 (refreshed automatically as new team data arrives). Every prediction is scored against the real result once the match finishes — see the verified track record or read the full methodology. Football is inherently uncertain: treat this page as analysis, not advice.
More Real Salt Lake vs New England Revolution Resources
Real Salt Lake Predictions
All Real Salt Lake fixtures & tips
New England Revolution Predictions
All New England Revolution fixtures & tips
Real Salt Lake vs New England Revolution Stats
Full H2H record & season stats
Major League Soccer Predictions
All fixtures for this competition
Model Accuracy
Track record & verified results