Rot-Weiß Essen vs FC Ingolstadt 04 Predictions
3. Liga · Germany
Rot-Weiß Essen
Full Time
4 - 1
AI predicted 2 - 1
FC Ingolstadt 04
Win Probability (1X2)
Best Value Pick
BTTS: Yes
@ 3.1(+24% edge)
Match Result
7.8/10Rampant Rot-Weiß Essen Crush Ingolstadt in Four-Goal Display
Rot-Weiß Essen delivered a commanding performance at Stadion an der Hafenstrasse, overpowering FC Ingolstadt 04 with a 4-1 victory. The hosts took control early, opening the scoring in the 19th minute, and despite an Ingolstadt equalizer before the half-hour mark, Essen responded with three unanswered goals to seal the win. The match showcased Essen's attacking intent and clinical finishing, especially in the second half, where they pulled away decisively. Ingolstadt struggled to keep pace, finding the net only once and failing to mount a significant response after the break. Essen's late double in the 90th minute put the result beyond doubt, capping a dominant home display that delighted the local supporters.
🔥 AI Prediction Report
CERTIFIED WPredicted
2 - 1
Actual
4 - 1
💰 Bet Results3/3 hit
Key Moments
19' — Goal
Rot-Weiß Essen open the scoring, setting the tone for their dominant display.
28' — Goal
Ognjen Drakulic equalizes for Ingolstadt, briefly restoring parity.
47' — Goal
Essen retake the lead immediately after the break, swinging momentum firmly in their favor.
90' — Goal
Essen score twice in stoppage time, putting the result beyond doubt.
Rot-Weiß Essen
Rot-Weiß Essen played with confidence and attacking verve, asserting themselves from the outset in their familiar 4-2-3-1 formation. Their early goal set the tone, and even after conceding an equalizer, they maintained composure and intensity. The second half saw them step up another gear, scoring three more goals, including a late brace that underlined their superiority. Defensively, they were largely untroubled after the break, managing the game well and showing discipline despite picking up three yellow cards.
Key Players
Strengths
Weaknesses
FC Ingolstadt 04
FC Ingolstadt 04 started in a 3-4-3 formation and showed some promise after equalizing in the 28th minute, but ultimately could not match Essen's intensity or quality. Their midfield struggled to contain the hosts, and defensive frailties were exposed, particularly in the latter stages. Ingolstadt's attack was largely blunted after their lone goal, and the team failed to create meaningful chances to get back into the game. A solitary yellow card reflected their inability to disrupt Essen's rhythm.
Key Players
Strengths
Weaknesses
Tactical Analysis
Rot-Weiß Essen's 4-2-3-1 provided a solid platform for both defensive stability and attacking fluidity. Their double pivot shielded the back line while allowing the attacking midfield trio to press high and support the lone striker. Essen's width and quick transitions repeatedly stretched Ingolstadt's back three, who struggled to cope with the movement and interplay in the final third. Set pieces and late runs from midfielders also proved problematic for the visitors. Ingolstadt's 3-4-3 looked promising in spells, especially when pushing wing-backs forward, but they were often outnumbered in midfield and left exposed during Essen's surges. Substitutions and tactical tweaks failed to stem the tide, as Essen's relentless pressing forced turnovers and created late scoring opportunities.
Turning Point
Essen's goal immediately after halftime (47th minute) restored their lead and shifted all momentum, leaving Ingolstadt chasing the game.
Man of the Match
Marek Janssen
Led the line with authority, scored a key goal, and was central to Essen's attacking threat throughout.
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Expected goals · model says 2.15
Expected goals · model says 1.15
Over 2.5 Goals
64%
BTTS: Yes
60%
Likely Scores
2-1 · 1-1 · 2-0
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Powered by the same Poisson scoreline model behind the prediction. For fun and exploration — not betting advice.
Rot-Weiß Essen vs FC Ingolstadt 04 Prediction Confidence at a Glance
How strongly the model leans on each market.
Who do you think wins: Rot-Weiß Essen vs FC Ingolstadt 04?
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Where the Model Sees Value: Rot-Weiß Essen vs FC Ingolstadt 04(3)
Selections where the model's probability beats the bookmaker's implied probability. Expected value is computed from real consensus odds, not opinion.
BTTS: Yes@ 3.1
Both teams have high BTTS rates (3/5 last games each, 64%+ over 2.5 season for both), and Ingolstadt's away attack is above league average. Odds offer significant value versus model probability.
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Match Result: Rot-Weiß Essen Win@ 1.4
Rot-Weiß Essen are in top form (W5), strong at home (10W/16), and face an Ingolstadt side on a L2 streak. Price is short, so only small value, but home win is the likeliest outcome.
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Over/Under 2.5: Over 2.5@ 1.45
Both teams trend over 2.5 goals (Essen 64.5%, Ingolstadt 67.7%), and H2H often sees 3+ goals. Odds are fair but not a major edge.
More 3. Liga Predictions
The Case For This Rot-Weiß Essen vs FC Ingolstadt 04 Prediction
Rot-Weiß Essen enter this clash in outstanding form, riding a five-game winning streak and sitting second in the table. Their attack is firing (2.4 goals/game last 5), and they have been especially strong at home. Ingolstadt, meanwhile, have struggled recently (LLWLD), with two straight losses and inconsistent away form. However, they have shown they can score on the road and have a history of competitive matches against Essen. Expect Essen to control the match, but Ingolstadt's attack could make it interesting, with goals likely at both ends.
Key Factors at a Glance
Recent Form
- →Essen have dominated recent H2H, unbeaten in last 5 (3W, 2D).
Injuries & Team News
- →No significant injuries reported for either side.
Tactical Angle
- →Essen fighting for promotion, Ingolstadt mid-table with less pressure.
Match Context
- →Rot-Weiß Essen: 5 wins in a row, 2.4 goals/game last 5, 10W/16 at home.
- →Ingolstadt: 2 straight losses, only 1 win in last 5, but 28 away goals this season.
- →Both teams have high over 2.5 goal rates and BTTS rates in recent matches.
🚩 Rot-Weiß Essen vs FC Ingolstadt 04 Corners Prediction
medium confidenceOur corners model projects roughly 5.2 corners for Rot-Weiß Essen and 3.8 for FC Ingolstadt 04, for an expected total of 9. That makes the model lean Under 9.5 corners (59%). Over 8.5: 54% · Over 10.5: 29%.
How Rot-Weiß Essen and FC Ingolstadt 04 Are Arriving
Form, fitness and who's likely to start.
Rot-Weiß Essen vs FC Ingolstadt 04 Goalscorer Form
Goals scored in last 5 matches across all competitions. Rate = goals ÷ 5 games. XI badge shows player is in the expected starting lineup.
Rot-Weiß Essenlast 5 matchesNo scorer data yet — available after predictions are regenerated.
FC Ingolstadt 04last 5 matchesNo scorer data yet — available after predictions are regenerated.
Scorer data populates once predictions are regenerated with the updated pipeline.
Rot-Weiß Essen vs FC Ingolstadt 04 — Last 10 Matches
Strengths
- +5/5 wins in last 5 — excellent form
- +Prolific attack — 2.8 goals/game (last 5)
- +Both teams scoring in most recent games
- +Over 2.5 goals in 66.67% of games this season
Strengths
- +Both teams scoring in most recent games
- +Over 2.5 goals in 69.7% of games this season
Concerns
- −4/5 losses in last 5 — poor form
- −Leaky defence — 2.0 conceded/game
- −No clean sheets in last 5 matches
What History Says: Rot-Weiß Essen vs FC Ingolstadt 04
Rot-Weiß Essen vs FC Ingolstadt 04 Head-to-Head History
Last 8 meetings between these sides
4
Rot-Weiß Essen wins
3
Draws
1
FC Ingolstadt 04 wins
Where the Model Disagrees with the Odds: Rot-Weiß Essen vs FC Ingolstadt 04
Odds from 10Bet. Positive edge = our model gives a higher probability than the odds imply. EV = expected value per £1 staked.
1X2
Over/Under 2.5
Both Teams Score
Best Value Markets Found by the Model
EV per £1 staked. Positive EV means this bet has mathematical edge over the long run. Past model accuracy is tracked on our predictions tracker.
Edge and EV are derived from model probabilities only and do not constitute financial advice. Odds fluctuate — always verify current prices with your bookmaker.
Things to Watch: Rot-Weiß Essen vs FC Ingolstadt 04
- ⚠️Some missing granular stats (shots, possession) for recent matches, especially for Ingolstadt.
- ⚠️Model confidence is reduced on corners and cards due to lack of recent data.
- ⚠️Odds for main markets (1x2, over 2.5) are short; best value is in BTTS.
- ⚠️Ingolstadt's away form is inconsistent, increasing variance.
This analysis is for informational purposes only and does not constitute financial advice. Betting involves risk — always gamble responsibly.
How This Prediction Was Made
The numbers on this page come from a structured statistical pack for Rot-Weiß Essen vs FC Ingolstadt 04: recent results and scoring data for both sides, home/away splits, the head-to-head record, current league standings, known injuries and live bookmaker odds, all sourced from the API-Football data feed.
An AI model analyses that pack and produces the probabilities, predicted score and written analysis shown above. Nothing is edited by hand, and no information outside the data pack is used.
Last updated: 7 April 2026 (refreshed automatically as new team data arrives). Every prediction is scored against the real result once the match finishes — see the verified track record or read the full methodology. Football is inherently uncertain: treat this page as analysis, not advice.