SpVgg Greuther Fürth vs Rot-Weiß Essen Predictions

2. Bundesliga2. Bundesliga · Germany
medium confidence
SpVgg Greuther Fürth

SpVgg Greuther Fürth

Full Time

2 - 0

AI predicted 2 - 1

Rot-Weiß Essen

Rot-Weiß Essen

🗓️ Tuesday, 26 May 2026 at 20:30 CEST (venue time) · 18:30 UTC (your time)📍 Sportpark Ronhof Thomas Sommer, Fürth

Win Probability (1X2)

SpVgg Greuther Fürth 45%Draw 29%Rot-Weiß Essen 26%

Best Value Pick

Match Result: SpVgg Greuther Fürth Win

Match Result

7.2/10

Fürth Secure 2-0 Win Over Rot-Weiß Essen to Cap Season in Style

SpVgg Greuther Fürth ended their 2. Bundesliga campaign on a high note with a confident 2-0 victory over Rot-Weiß Essen at the Sportpark Ronhof Thomas Sommer. The hosts controlled proceedings for much of the match, capitalizing on their dominance in possession and chances created. Goals in either half—first from N. Futkeu in the 29th minute and then a quickfire second just after the break in the 47th—ensured the three points stayed in Fürth. Fürth’s attacking intent was evident from the outset, as they pressed high and forced Essen onto the back foot. Despite some spirited resistance and occasional threats from the visitors, Essen struggled to break down Fürth’s organized defense and ultimately failed to register on the scoresheet. Three yellow cards for the away side reflected their frustration as Fürth’s midfield dictated the tempo and saw out the match with relative comfort.

😅 AI Prediction Report

CLOSE BUT NO CIGAR

Predicted

2 - 1

⚡

Actual

2 - 0

✅Result
❌BTTS
❌O/U 2.5
❌Score

💰 Bet Results1/3 hit

1x2 — home
✅
over_under_2_5 — over
❌
btts — yes
❌

Key Moments

29' — Goal

N. Futkeu breaks the deadlock for Fürth with a well-taken finish.

47' — Goal

Fürth double their lead early in the second half, seizing control.

55' — Yellow Card

Essen pick up their first yellow card amid mounting frustration.

68' — Yellow Card

Second Essen booking as Fürth continue to dominate possession.

77' — Yellow Card

Third yellow for Essen as tempers flare late on.

SpVgg Greuther Fürth

SpVgg Greuther Fürth

8/10

Fürth delivered a composed and professional performance, making the most of their 57% possession and registering 16 shots, 6 of which were on target. Their attacking quartet, supported by a solid midfield base, consistently found space between the lines and created numerous opportunities. Defensively, they remained disciplined, conceding just 4 shots on target and keeping their discipline with no cards issued. The early goal by Futkeu set the tone, and the second shortly after halftime allowed Fürth to manage the game effectively. Their use of width and set pieces, evidenced by 9 corners, kept Essen under pressure throughout.

Key Players

N. Futkeu: Opened the scoring in the 29th minute, providing the breakthrough.
S. Ltaief: Influential in the attacking midfield role, helping link play and create chances.
P. Will: Anchored the midfield, controlling tempo and breaking up Essen attacks.

Strengths

Dominated possessionEffective use of set piecesDisciplined defenseClinical finishing

Weaknesses

Could have converted more chancesOccasional vulnerability to counter-attacks
Rot-Weiß Essen

Rot-Weiß Essen

5.5/10

Essen struggled to impose themselves against a well-drilled Fürth side, managing only 43% possession and 4 shots on target from 13 attempts. Their 3-5-2 setup aimed to congest midfield areas, but they were often overrun and forced into committing 12 fouls, resulting in three yellow cards. While there were moments of promise, particularly on the break, Essen lacked the cutting edge and composure in the final third to threaten a comeback. Despite a spirited effort after going two goals down, Essen’s attempts to claw back into the game were stifled by Fürth’s organization and game management.

Key Players

J. Golz: Made several key saves to keep the scoreline respectable.
K. Mizuta: Worked tirelessly in midfield, trying to disrupt Fürth’s rhythm.

Strengths

Resilient goalkeepingMidfield work rateOccasional threat on the counter

Weaknesses

Struggled to retain possessionLack of creativity in attackDisciplinary issues

Tactical Analysis

Fürth’s 4-2-3-1 formation allowed them to control the midfield and exploit width, with overlapping fullbacks and dynamic attacking midfielders supporting the lone striker. Their pressing forced Essen into mistakes, and their set-piece threat was a constant menace, as evidenced by 9 corners won. The midfield duo of Banse and Will provided balance, shielding the defense and recycling possession efficiently. Essen’s 3-5-2 aimed to provide solidity in the center, but the wingbacks were often pinned back, limiting their attacking contributions. The visitors struggled to transition quickly, and their attempts to press were bypassed by Fürth’s sharp passing. Substitutions brought fresh legs but failed to shift the tactical balance, as Fürth’s structure remained intact.

Turning Point

Fürth’s second goal just after halftime (47th minute) killed off any Essen hopes of a comeback and allowed the hosts to dictate the remainder of the match.

Man of the Match

N. Futkeu

His opening goal and relentless movement set the tone for Fürth’s dominant display.

🎮 Prediction Playground

Think the model has it wrong? Nudge each team's expected goals and watch every probability react — then simulate the match and see what happens.

SpVgg Greuther Fürth1.75

Expected goals · model says 1.75

Rot-Weiß Essen1.35

Expected goals · model says 1.35

Win Probability
SpVgg Greuther Fürth 47% Draw 23% Rot-Weiß Essen 30%

Over 2.5 Goals

60%

BTTS: Yes

61%

Likely Scores

1-1 · 2-1 · 1-0

Play this match once with the probabilities above — every run is different.

Powered by the same Poisson scoreline model behind the prediction. For fun and exploration — not betting advice.

SpVgg Greuther Fürth vs Rot-Weiß Essen Prediction Confidence at a Glance

How strongly the model leans on each market.

Match Result (1X2)
45%
29%
26%
SpVgg Greuther Fürth 45%Draw 29%Rot-Weiß Essen 26%
Both Teams to Score
61%
39%
Yes 61%No 39%
Over/Under 2.5 Goals
62%
38%
Over 2.5 62%Under 2.5 38%
Corners (Over/Under 9.5)
61%
39%
Over 9.5 61%Under 9.5 39%

Who do you think wins: SpVgg Greuther Fürth vs Rot-Weiß Essen?

Cast your vote, then see how it stacks up against the model.

More 2. Bundesliga Predictions

The Case For This SpVgg Greuther Fürth vs Rot-Weiß Essen Prediction

Fürth enter this crucial fixture with the momentum of a strong home win and a clear attacking threat, but their defensive vulnerabilities remain. Rot-Weiß Essen, newly promoted and inconsistent, have shown both attacking promise and defensive fragility in recent 3. Liga matches. Expect an open game with both teams likely to score, but Fürth's experience at this level and home advantage may prove decisive.

Key Factors at a Glance

Defence

  • →Fürth's last 5: WLDLW, 1.8 goals scored, 1.4 conceded per game.
  • →Essen's last 5: WWLLL, 1.8 goals scored, 3 conceded per game.

Injuries & Team News

  • →No significant injuries reported for either side.

Match Context

  • →Fürth's home record: 6W, 5D, 6L; Essen's away record at this level unknown.
  • →Fürth's over 2.5 goals rate: 67.65%.
  • →Both teams with high BTTS frequency in recent matches.

🚩 SpVgg Greuther Fürth vs Rot-Weiß Essen Corners Prediction

low confidence
10.6expected total corners
Over 61%
Under 39%
Over 9.5Under 9.5

Our corners model projects roughly 5.6 corners for SpVgg Greuther Fürth and 5 for Rot-Weiß Essen, for an expected total of 10.6. That makes the model lean Over 9.5 corners (61%). Over 8.5: 73% · Over 10.5: 49%.

More corners tips:Over 9.5 →Under 9.5 →

How SpVgg Greuther Fürth and Rot-Weiß Essen Are Arriving

Form, fitness and who's likely to start.

SpVgg Greuther Fürth vs Rot-Weiß Essen Goalscorer Form

Goals scored in last 5 matches across all competitions. Rate = goals ÷ 5 games. XI badge shows player is in the expected starting lineup.

SpVgg Greuther FürthSpVgg Greuther Fürthlast 5 matches
N. FutkeuXI
2 goals in 5
40%

Regular contributor

B. HrgotaXI
1 goal in 5
20%

Occasional threat

Rot-Weiß EssenRot-Weiß Essenlast 5 matches
T. MuselXI
3 goals in 5
60%

Scoring consistently

B. HuningXI
1 goal in 5
20%

Occasional threat

G. SwajkowskiXI
1 goal in 5
20%

Occasional threat

Fürth's recent form is mixed but trending positive, with a convincing 3-0 win at home last out and 1.8 goals per game over their last five. Essen have alternated between heavy defeats and narrow wins, finishing their 3. Liga campaign with two wins but conceding frequently, including a 1-6 away loss.

SpVgg Greuther Fürth vs Rot-Weiß Essen — Last 10 Matches

SpVgg Greuther FürthSpVgg Greuther FürthLast 10 results
W2-0
L0-1
W3-0
L1-2
D1-1
L1-2
W3-2
D0-0
L0-2
L1-3
Wvs Rot-Weiß Essen2-0
L@ Rot-Weiß Essen0-1
Wvs Fortuna Düsseldorf3-0
L@ Hertha BSC1-2
Dvs 1. FC Nürnberg1-1
L@ VfL Bochum1-2
Wvs SV Darmstadt 983-2
D@ Preußen Münster0-0
Lvs SC Paderborn 070-2
L@ Karlsruher SC1-3
Rot-Weiß EssenRot-Weiß EssenLast 2 results
L0-2
W1-0
L@ SpVgg Greuther Fürth0-2
Wvs SpVgg Greuther Fürth1-0

Strengths

  • +Solid recent form — 3+ wins in last 5
  • +50% clean sheet rate this season

Concerns

  • −Leaky defence — 2.0 conceded/game

What History Says: SpVgg Greuther Fürth vs Rot-Weiß Essen

There is no head-to-head record available between Fürth and Essen, making it difficult to draw conclusions about matchup dynamics or recurring scorelines.

SpVgg Greuther Fürth vs Rot-Weiß Essen Head-to-Head History

Last 2 meetings between these sides

1

SpVgg Greuther Fürth wins

0

Draws

1

Rot-Weiß Essen wins

50%0% draws50%
26 May 26SpVgg Greuther Fürth vs Rot-Weiß Essen2-0
22 May 26Rot-Weiß Essen vs SpVgg Greuther Fürth1-0

Where the Model Disagrees with the Odds: SpVgg Greuther Fürth vs Rot-Weiß Essen

No bookmaker odds are available for this fixture, so it is not possible to identify value edges or divergences between model probabilities and market prices. Bettors should monitor opening odds for potential value once markets are posted.

Odds from Bet365. Positive edge = our model gives a higher probability than the odds imply. EV = expected value per £1 staked.

1X2

SelectionOddsModel %Edge
SpVgg Greuther Fürth Win1.3045.0%-31.9%
Drawvalue4.2029.0%+5.2%
Rot-Weiß Essen Win3.4026.0%-3.4%

Over/Under 2.5

SelectionOddsModel %Edge
Over 2.5value3.7562.0%+35.3%
Under 2.51.2538.0%-42.0%

Both Teams Score

SelectionOddsModel %Edge
Yesvalue4.0061.0%+36.0%
No1.2239.0%-43.0%

Best Value Markets Found by the Model

1X2: Draw @ 4.20EV +0.218
Over/Under 2.5: Over 2.5 @ 3.75EV +1.325
Both Teams Score: Yes @ 4.00EV +1.440

EV per £1 staked. Positive EV means this bet has mathematical edge over the long run. Past model accuracy is tracked on our predictions tracker.

Edge and EV are derived from model probabilities only and do not constitute financial advice. Odds fluctuate — always verify current prices with your bookmaker.

Things to Watch: SpVgg Greuther Fürth vs Rot-Weiß Essen

  • ⚠️No head-to-head data available.
  • ⚠️Essen's season stats at 2. Bundesliga level are unknown; step up in class is a major variable.
  • ⚠️No bookmaker odds provided, so value edges cannot be calculated.
  • ⚠️Limited data on Essen's set pieces, shots, or possession.

This analysis is for informational purposes only and does not constitute financial advice. Betting involves risk — always gamble responsibly.

How This Prediction Was Made

The numbers on this page come from a structured statistical pack for SpVgg Greuther Fürth vs Rot-Weiß Essen: recent results and scoring data for both sides, home/away splits, the head-to-head record, current league standings, known injuries and live bookmaker odds, all sourced from the API-Football data feed.

An AI model analyses that pack and produces the probabilities, predicted score and written analysis shown above. Nothing is edited by hand, and no information outside the data pack is used.

Last updated: 20 May 2026 (refreshed automatically as new team data arrives). Every prediction is scored against the real result once the match finishes — see the verified track record or read the full methodology. Football is inherently uncertain: treat this page as analysis, not advice.

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