SpVgg Greuther Fürth vs Rot-Weiß Essen Predictions

SpVgg Greuther Fürth
Full Time
2 - 0
AI predicted 2 - 1

Rot-Weiß Essen
Win Probability (1X2)
Best Value Pick
Match Result: SpVgg Greuther Fürth Win
Match Result
7.2/10Fürth Secure 2-0 Win Over Rot-Weiß Essen to Cap Season in Style
SpVgg Greuther Fürth ended their 2. Bundesliga campaign on a high note with a confident 2-0 victory over Rot-Weiß Essen at the Sportpark Ronhof Thomas Sommer. The hosts controlled proceedings for much of the match, capitalizing on their dominance in possession and chances created. Goals in either half—first from N. Futkeu in the 29th minute and then a quickfire second just after the break in the 47th—ensured the three points stayed in Fürth. Fürth’s attacking intent was evident from the outset, as they pressed high and forced Essen onto the back foot. Despite some spirited resistance and occasional threats from the visitors, Essen struggled to break down Fürth’s organized defense and ultimately failed to register on the scoresheet. Three yellow cards for the away side reflected their frustration as Fürth’s midfield dictated the tempo and saw out the match with relative comfort.
😅 AI Prediction Report
CLOSE BUT NO CIGARPredicted
2 - 1
Actual
2 - 0
💰 Bet Results1/3 hit
Key Moments
29' — Goal
N. Futkeu breaks the deadlock for Fürth with a well-taken finish.
47' — Goal
Fürth double their lead early in the second half, seizing control.
55' — Yellow Card
Essen pick up their first yellow card amid mounting frustration.
68' — Yellow Card
Second Essen booking as Fürth continue to dominate possession.
77' — Yellow Card
Third yellow for Essen as tempers flare late on.
SpVgg Greuther Fürth
Fürth delivered a composed and professional performance, making the most of their 57% possession and registering 16 shots, 6 of which were on target. Their attacking quartet, supported by a solid midfield base, consistently found space between the lines and created numerous opportunities. Defensively, they remained disciplined, conceding just 4 shots on target and keeping their discipline with no cards issued. The early goal by Futkeu set the tone, and the second shortly after halftime allowed Fürth to manage the game effectively. Their use of width and set pieces, evidenced by 9 corners, kept Essen under pressure throughout.
Key Players
Strengths
Weaknesses
Rot-Weiß Essen
Essen struggled to impose themselves against a well-drilled Fürth side, managing only 43% possession and 4 shots on target from 13 attempts. Their 3-5-2 setup aimed to congest midfield areas, but they were often overrun and forced into committing 12 fouls, resulting in three yellow cards. While there were moments of promise, particularly on the break, Essen lacked the cutting edge and composure in the final third to threaten a comeback. Despite a spirited effort after going two goals down, Essen’s attempts to claw back into the game were stifled by Fürth’s organization and game management.
Key Players
Strengths
Weaknesses
Tactical Analysis
Fürth’s 4-2-3-1 formation allowed them to control the midfield and exploit width, with overlapping fullbacks and dynamic attacking midfielders supporting the lone striker. Their pressing forced Essen into mistakes, and their set-piece threat was a constant menace, as evidenced by 9 corners won. The midfield duo of Banse and Will provided balance, shielding the defense and recycling possession efficiently. Essen’s 3-5-2 aimed to provide solidity in the center, but the wingbacks were often pinned back, limiting their attacking contributions. The visitors struggled to transition quickly, and their attempts to press were bypassed by Fürth’s sharp passing. Substitutions brought fresh legs but failed to shift the tactical balance, as Fürth’s structure remained intact.
Turning Point
Fürth’s second goal just after halftime (47th minute) killed off any Essen hopes of a comeback and allowed the hosts to dictate the remainder of the match.
Man of the Match
N. Futkeu
His opening goal and relentless movement set the tone for Fürth’s dominant display.
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Expected goals · model says 1.75
Expected goals · model says 1.35
Over 2.5 Goals
60%
BTTS: Yes
61%
Likely Scores
1-1 · 2-1 · 1-0
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Powered by the same Poisson scoreline model behind the prediction. For fun and exploration — not betting advice.
SpVgg Greuther Fürth vs Rot-Weiß Essen Prediction Confidence at a Glance
How strongly the model leans on each market.
Who do you think wins: SpVgg Greuther Fürth vs Rot-Weiß Essen?
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Where the Model Sees Value: SpVgg Greuther Fürth vs Rot-Weiß Essen(3)
Selections where the model's probability beats the bookmaker's implied probability. Expected value is computed from real consensus odds, not opinion.
Match Result: SpVgg Greuther Fürth Win
Fürth have home advantage, stronger recent form, and face an Essen side stepping up a division with defensive frailties shown in their last 5 matches.
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Over/Under 2.5: Over 2.5
Both teams' last 5 games show high BTTS and goals per match, Fürth's season over 2.5 rate is high (67.65%), and Essen's recent matches have been open.
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BTTS: Yes
BTTS has landed in 4 of last 5 for both sides, and Fürth's defence has been leaky all season.
More 2. Bundesliga Predictions
The Case For This SpVgg Greuther Fürth vs Rot-Weiß Essen Prediction
Fürth enter this crucial fixture with the momentum of a strong home win and a clear attacking threat, but their defensive vulnerabilities remain. Rot-Weiß Essen, newly promoted and inconsistent, have shown both attacking promise and defensive fragility in recent 3. Liga matches. Expect an open game with both teams likely to score, but Fürth's experience at this level and home advantage may prove decisive.
Key Factors at a Glance
Defence
- →Fürth's last 5: WLDLW, 1.8 goals scored, 1.4 conceded per game.
- →Essen's last 5: WWLLL, 1.8 goals scored, 3 conceded per game.
Injuries & Team News
- →No significant injuries reported for either side.
Match Context
- →Fürth's home record: 6W, 5D, 6L; Essen's away record at this level unknown.
- →Fürth's over 2.5 goals rate: 67.65%.
- →Both teams with high BTTS frequency in recent matches.
🚩 SpVgg Greuther Fürth vs Rot-Weiß Essen Corners Prediction
low confidenceOur corners model projects roughly 5.6 corners for SpVgg Greuther Fürth and 5 for Rot-Weiß Essen, for an expected total of 10.6. That makes the model lean Over 9.5 corners (61%). Over 8.5: 73% · Over 10.5: 49%.
How SpVgg Greuther Fürth and Rot-Weiß Essen Are Arriving
Form, fitness and who's likely to start.
SpVgg Greuther Fürth vs Rot-Weiß Essen Goalscorer Form
Goals scored in last 5 matches across all competitions. Rate = goals ÷ 5 games. XI badge shows player is in the expected starting lineup.
Regular contributor
Occasional threat
Scoring consistently
Occasional threat
Occasional threat
Fürth's recent form is mixed but trending positive, with a convincing 3-0 win at home last out and 1.8 goals per game over their last five. Essen have alternated between heavy defeats and narrow wins, finishing their 3. Liga campaign with two wins but conceding frequently, including a 1-6 away loss.
SpVgg Greuther Fürth vs Rot-Weiß Essen — Last 10 Matches
Strengths
- +Solid recent form — 3+ wins in last 5
- +50% clean sheet rate this season
Concerns
- −Leaky defence — 2.0 conceded/game
What History Says: SpVgg Greuther Fürth vs Rot-Weiß Essen
There is no head-to-head record available between Fürth and Essen, making it difficult to draw conclusions about matchup dynamics or recurring scorelines.
SpVgg Greuther Fürth vs Rot-Weiß Essen Head-to-Head History
Last 2 meetings between these sides
1
SpVgg Greuther Fürth wins
0
Draws
1
Rot-Weiß Essen wins
Where the Model Disagrees with the Odds: SpVgg Greuther Fürth vs Rot-Weiß Essen
No bookmaker odds are available for this fixture, so it is not possible to identify value edges or divergences between model probabilities and market prices. Bettors should monitor opening odds for potential value once markets are posted.
Odds from Bet365. Positive edge = our model gives a higher probability than the odds imply. EV = expected value per £1 staked.
1X2
Over/Under 2.5
Both Teams Score
Best Value Markets Found by the Model
EV per £1 staked. Positive EV means this bet has mathematical edge over the long run. Past model accuracy is tracked on our predictions tracker.
Edge and EV are derived from model probabilities only and do not constitute financial advice. Odds fluctuate — always verify current prices with your bookmaker.
Things to Watch: SpVgg Greuther Fürth vs Rot-Weiß Essen
- ⚠️No head-to-head data available.
- ⚠️Essen's season stats at 2. Bundesliga level are unknown; step up in class is a major variable.
- ⚠️No bookmaker odds provided, so value edges cannot be calculated.
- ⚠️Limited data on Essen's set pieces, shots, or possession.
This analysis is for informational purposes only and does not constitute financial advice. Betting involves risk — always gamble responsibly.
How This Prediction Was Made
The numbers on this page come from a structured statistical pack for SpVgg Greuther Fürth vs Rot-Weiß Essen: recent results and scoring data for both sides, home/away splits, the head-to-head record, current league standings, known injuries and live bookmaker odds, all sourced from the API-Football data feed.
An AI model analyses that pack and produces the probabilities, predicted score and written analysis shown above. Nothing is edited by hand, and no information outside the data pack is used.
Last updated: 20 May 2026 (refreshed automatically as new team data arrives). Every prediction is scored against the real result once the match finishes — see the verified track record or read the full methodology. Football is inherently uncertain: treat this page as analysis, not advice.
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