SpVgg Greuther Fürth vs SV Darmstadt 98 Predictions
2. Bundesliga · Germany
SpVgg Greuther Fürth
Full Time
3 - 2
AI predicted 1 - 2
SV Darmstadt 98
Win Probability (1X2)
Best Value Pick
BTTS: Yes
@ 3.5(+22% edge)
Match Result
8.4/10Fürth Edge Five-Goal Thriller Against Darmstadt With Dramatic Late Winner
SpVgg Greuther Fürth claimed a pulsating 3-2 victory over SV Darmstadt 98 at the Sportpark Ronhof Thomas Sommer, thanks to a dramatic stoppage-time winner. In a contest that ebbed and flowed, Darmstadt struck first in the 35th minute, only for Fürth to respond just before the break. The visitors regained the lead midway through the second half, but Fürth rallied with two late goals, sealing all three points in front of their home fans. Fürth, despite having less possession (44%), were the more incisive side, registering 20 shots with 7 on target compared to Darmstadt's 12 shots and 3 on target. The hosts' persistence paid off, as they capitalized on their attacking intent late on, overturning a deficit in the final minutes. Both sides finished with two yellow cards apiece in a fiercely contested encounter that kept spectators on the edge of their seats until the final whistle.
💪 AI Prediction Report
DECENT HITPredicted
1 - 2
Actual
3 - 2
💰 Bet Results1/2 hit
Key Moments
35' — Goal
I. Lidberg puts Darmstadt ahead after sustained pressure.
41' — Goal
Fürth equalize, shifting momentum before halftime.
77' — Goal
Darmstadt retake the lead, capitalizing on a defensive lapse.
85' — Goal
Fürth level again, setting up a tense finale.
90' — Goal
N. Futkeu nets the winner for Fürth in stoppage time.
Various' — Yellow Cards
Both teams collect two yellow cards in a fiercely contested affair.
SpVgg Greuther Fürth
Fürth showcased impressive resilience and attacking verve, coming from behind twice to snatch victory. Their 4-2-3-1 setup allowed them to transition quickly and create numerous chances, as evidenced by their 20 shots and 7 on target. The midfield trio provided energy and creativity, while the forward line pressed high and forced errors. Defensively, Fürth were occasionally exposed, conceding twice, but their determination shone through in the closing stages. The late goals were a testament to their never-say-die attitude and tactical adjustments, particularly in the final quarter of the match.
Key Players
Strengths
Weaknesses
SV Darmstadt 98
Darmstadt controlled possession for long spells (56%) and looked composed in midfield, but ultimately fell short defensively in the dying moments. Their 4-2-3-1 formation allowed them to dictate tempo and build from the back, and they twice took the lead through well-worked moves. However, Darmstadt struggled to turn possession into clear-cut chances, managing just 3 shots on target from 12 attempts. Defensive lapses late on proved costly, as they were unable to withstand Fürth's late surge.
Key Players
Strengths
Weaknesses
Tactical Analysis
Both sides lined up in a 4-2-3-1 formation, leading to a balanced midfield battle. Darmstadt's emphasis on possession and patient build-up allowed them to control large portions of the match, but their inability to penetrate Fürth's defensive lines limited their threat in the final third. Fürth, meanwhile, focused on quick transitions and direct attacks, exploiting spaces left by Darmstadt's advanced full-backs. Substitutions and tactical tweaks in the second half saw Fürth push more men forward, increasing their shot output and pinning Darmstadt back. Set pieces and wide play became increasingly important as the game progressed, with Fürth's late goals stemming from sustained pressure and clever movement in the box.
Turning Point
N. Futkeu's 90th-minute winner, capping Fürth's late comeback and shattering Darmstadt's resistance.
Man of the Match
N. Futkeu
Scored the decisive stoppage-time goal and was a constant threat in attack.
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Expected goals · model says 1.10
Expected goals · model says 2.00
Over 2.5 Goals
60%
BTTS: Yes
58%
Likely Scores
1-1 · 1-2 · 0-1
Play this match once with the probabilities above — every run is different.
Powered by the same Poisson scoreline model behind the prediction. For fun and exploration — not betting advice.
SpVgg Greuther Fürth vs SV Darmstadt 98 Prediction Confidence at a Glance
How strongly the model leans on each market.
Who do you think wins: SpVgg Greuther Fürth vs SV Darmstadt 98?
Cast your vote, then see how it stacks up against the model.
Where the Model Sees Value: SpVgg Greuther Fürth vs SV Darmstadt 98(2)
Selections where the model's probability beats the bookmaker's implied probability. Expected value is computed from real consensus odds, not opinion.
BTTS: Yes@ 3.5
Model probability for BTTS (yes) is 51%, while the implied probability from odds is only 29%. Both teams average 1+ goals per game, and Fürth have a very low clean sheet rate (13.8%). Recent H2H and defensive stats suggest both can score.
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Match Result: SV Darmstadt 98 Win@ 1.57
Darmstadt are much stronger overall, Fürth are struggling (17th, -21 GD), and Darmstadt's away form is solid. However, odds are short and edge is minimal.
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More 2. Bundesliga Predictions
The Case For This SpVgg Greuther Fürth vs SV Darmstadt 98 Prediction
Darmstadt travel to relegation-threatened Greuther Fürth as clear favorites. Fürth have struggled defensively all season, conceding over 2 goals per game, and their home record is poor. Darmstadt have stumbled recently but remain far superior in both attack and defense, with a strong away record and much higher clean sheet rate. Expect Darmstadt to control the game, but Fürth's desperation and attacking intent could see both teams on the scoresheet.
Key Factors at a Glance
Defence
- →Fürth have conceded 61 goals in 29 matches (2.1 per game), worst in the league.
- →Fürth home: 4W 4D 6L, 19:28 goals, very leaky defense.
- →Last 5 form: both teams average 1.0 goals scored, 1.2 conceded.
- →Fürth clean sheet %: 13.8%, Darmstadt: 34.5%.
Injuries & Team News
- →No significant injuries reported.
Match Context
- →Darmstadt are 5th, Fürth 17th (relegation zone), high motivation for both.
- →Darmstadt away: 3W 7D 4L, 21:22 goals, showing resilience but not dominance.
- →H2H: Last 3 meetings all saw 3+ goals, with Darmstadt winning two.
🚩 SpVgg Greuther Fürth vs SV Darmstadt 98 Corners Prediction
low confidenceOur corners model projects roughly 5 corners for SpVgg Greuther Fürth and 4.4 for SV Darmstadt 98, for an expected total of 9.4. That makes the model lean Under 9.5 corners (53%). Over 8.5: 60% · Over 10.5: 34%.
How SpVgg Greuther Fürth and SV Darmstadt 98 Are Arriving
Form, fitness and who's likely to start.
SpVgg Greuther Fürth vs SV Darmstadt 98 Goalscorer Form
Goals scored in last 5 matches across all competitions. Rate = goals ÷ 5 games. XI badge shows player is in the expected starting lineup.
SpVgg Greuther Fürthlast 5 matchesNo scorer data yet — available after predictions are regenerated.
SV Darmstadt 98last 5 matchesNo scorer data yet — available after predictions are regenerated.
Scorer data populates once predictions are regenerated with the updated pipeline.
SpVgg Greuther Fürth vs SV Darmstadt 98 — Last 10 Matches
Strengths
- +Over 2.5 goals in 67.74% of games this season
Concerns
- −Inconsistent — 3+ losses in last 5
Strengths
- +Prolific attack — 2.0 goals/game (last 5)
- +Both teams scoring in most recent games
Concerns
- −Inconsistent — 3+ losses in last 5
- −Leaky defence — 2.4 conceded/game
- −No clean sheets in last 5 matches
What History Says: SpVgg Greuther Fürth vs SV Darmstadt 98
SpVgg Greuther Fürth vs SV Darmstadt 98 Head-to-Head History
Last 10 meetings between these sides
3
SpVgg Greuther Fürth wins
3
Draws
4
SV Darmstadt 98 wins
Things to Watch: SpVgg Greuther Fürth vs SV Darmstadt 98
- ⚠️Fürth's attack is inconsistent; 2/5 recent matches they failed to score.
- ⚠️Darmstadt's recent form is not strong (LLDDW), with only 1 win in 5.
- ⚠️Odds for BTTS (yes) may reflect market expectation of a one-sided match.
- ⚠️Some recent match stats (shots, xG) are missing, increasing model uncertainty.
This analysis is for informational purposes only and does not constitute financial advice. Betting involves risk — always gamble responsibly.
How This Prediction Was Made
The numbers on this page come from a structured statistical pack for SpVgg Greuther Fürth vs SV Darmstadt 98: recent results and scoring data for both sides, home/away splits, the head-to-head record, current league standings, known injuries and live bookmaker odds, all sourced from the API-Football data feed.
An AI model analyses that pack and produces the probabilities, predicted score and written analysis shown above. Nothing is edited by hand, and no information outside the data pack is used.
Last updated: 14 April 2026 (refreshed automatically as new team data arrives). Every prediction is scored against the real result once the match finishes — see the verified track record or read the full methodology. Football is inherently uncertain: treat this page as analysis, not advice.
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