SSV Jahn Regensburg vs Energie Cottbus Predictions
3. Liga · Germany
SSV Jahn Regensburg
Full Time
0 - 1
AI predicted 1 - 2
Energie Cottbus
Win Probability (1X2)
Best Value Pick
Match Result: Draw
@ 4.33(+2% edge)
Match Result
6.5/10Engelhardt Strike Lifts Energie Cottbus Past Jahn Regensburg
Energie Cottbus claimed a narrow but crucial 1-0 away victory over SSV Jahn Regensburg at the Jahnstadion Regensburg, with Erik Engelhardt’s first-half goal proving decisive. In a match characterized by tight margins and physical battles, Cottbus made the most of their opportunities, while Regensburg struggled to break down a resilient visiting defense. The game’s only goal arrived in the 28th minute, as Engelhardt capitalized on a rare opening to put the visitors ahead. Despite Regensburg’s efforts to claw their way back, they could not find a way past Marius Funk and a disciplined Cottbus backline. The contest saw four yellow cards in total, reflecting the high stakes and competitive edge throughout.
💪 AI Prediction Report
DECENT HITPredicted
1 - 2
Actual
0 - 1
💰 Bet Results0/1 hit
Key Moments
28' — Goal
Erik Engelhardt scores for Energie Cottbus, finishing a well-worked move to put the visitors ahead.
First Half' — Yellow Card
Cottbus pick up their first yellow card as the game’s intensity rises.
Second Half' — Yellow Card
Regensburg receive a booking as frustration grows in search of an equalizer.
Late Second Half' — Yellow Card
Cottbus collect two more yellow cards while defending their narrow lead.
SSV Jahn Regensburg
Regensburg set up in a 4-1-4-1 formation and looked to control the midfield, but struggled to create clear chances in the final third. Their attacking efforts were largely stifled by Cottbus, and they failed to find the breakthrough that would have salvaged a point at home. Defensive organization was generally sound, but a lapse in the 28th minute proved costly. Despite pressing for an equalizer, Regensburg lacked the cutting edge and composure needed in the attacking phase. Their frustration was evident as they picked up a yellow card, and ultimately, the hosts were left to rue their inability to convert possession into goals.
Key Players
Strengths
Weaknesses
Energie Cottbus
Energie Cottbus executed their 4-2-3-1 system effectively, absorbing pressure and striking clinically when the opportunity arose. Erik Engelhardt’s goal was a product of sharp attacking play, and the visitors managed the game well after taking the lead, showing composure and discipline in defense. Cottbus’s physical approach was reflected in their three yellow cards, but they balanced aggression with tactical awareness to protect their advantage. Marius Funk marshaled his area confidently, while the midfield duo shielded the backline and disrupted Regensburg’s rhythm.
Key Players
Strengths
Weaknesses
Tactical Analysis
Regensburg’s 4-1-4-1 formation aimed to provide midfield solidity and width, but their lone striker often found himself isolated against a compact Cottbus defense. The home side’s attempts to build through the middle were frequently disrupted by Cottbus’s double pivot, who broke up play and launched counterattacks. Cottbus’s 4-2-3-1 shape allowed them to crowd the midfield and transition quickly when winning possession. After taking the lead, they dropped deeper, inviting pressure but defending their box with numbers. Set pieces and physical duels became increasingly important as Regensburg pressed, but Cottbus’s organization and willingness to commit tactical fouls (as evidenced by three yellow cards) ultimately saw them through.
Turning Point
Erik Engelhardt’s 28th-minute goal gave Cottbus the lead and allowed them to dictate the tempo and structure of the match thereafter.
Man of the Match
Erik Engelhardt
Scored the game’s only goal and led the line with intelligence and determination.
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Expected goals · model says 0.80
Expected goals · model says 1.70
Over 2.5 Goals
46%
BTTS: Yes
45%
Likely Scores
0-1 · 0-2 · 1-1
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Powered by the same Poisson scoreline model behind the prediction. For fun and exploration — not betting advice.
SSV Jahn Regensburg vs Energie Cottbus Prediction Confidence at a Glance
How strongly the model leans on each market.
Who do you think wins: SSV Jahn Regensburg vs Energie Cottbus?
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Where the Model Sees Value: SSV Jahn Regensburg vs Energie Cottbus(2)
Selections where the model's probability beats the bookmaker's implied probability. Expected value is computed from real consensus odds, not opinion.
Match Result: Draw@ 4.33
Model sees a higher probability for the draw than the implied odds, with both teams showing some inconsistency and Regensburg capable of getting results at home.
Read more ↓
Double Chance: Draw or Energie Cottbus@ 1.17
Energie Cottbus are in strong league position and form, while Regensburg have struggled for consistency. Away team are less likely to lose, and model probability (0.83) is higher than typical market implied.
Read more ↓
More 3. Liga Predictions
The Case For This SSV Jahn Regensburg vs Energie Cottbus Prediction
Energie Cottbus travel to Regensburg as strong favorites, sitting second in the table and needing points to secure promotion. Regensburg have shown some attacking spark recently but remain defensively vulnerable, conceding 1.8 goals per game over their last five. Cottbus are more consistent, with a solid away record and better defensive numbers. The match is likely to be competitive, with Cottbus controlling more of the play and Regensburg looking to exploit home advantage. Expect a cautious first half with Cottbus gradually asserting themselves, but Regensburg are capable of scoring, especially if they fall behind.
Key Factors at a Glance
Recent Form
- →H2H: 3 draws in last 5, but Cottbus unbeaten in all.
Defence
- →Regensburg last 5: LWWLD, averaging 2.0 goals scored, 1.8 conceded.
- →Cottbus last 5: WLWWL, averaging 2.0 goals scored, 1.4 conceded.
- →Regensburg have failed to keep a clean sheet in last 5.
Injuries & Team News
- →No significant injuries reported.
Match Context
- →Cottbus are 2nd in the league, Regensburg 12th.
- →Cottbus away record: 9W, 2D, 7L; Regensburg home: 9W, 3D, 6L.
- →Market heavily favors Cottbus, but draw has value.
🚩 SSV Jahn Regensburg vs Energie Cottbus Corners Prediction
low confidenceOur corners model projects roughly 5 corners for SSV Jahn Regensburg and 5 for Energie Cottbus, for an expected total of 10. That makes the model lean Over 9.5 corners (54%). Over 8.5: 67% · Over 10.5: 42%.
How SSV Jahn Regensburg and Energie Cottbus Are Arriving
Form, fitness and who's likely to start.
SSV Jahn Regensburg vs Energie Cottbus Goalscorer Form
Goals scored in last 5 matches across all competitions. Rate = goals ÷ 5 games. XI badge shows player is in the expected starting lineup.
SSV Jahn Regensburglast 5 matchesRegular contributor
Occasional threat
Energie Cottbuslast 5 matchesOccasional threat
Occasional threat
Occasional threat
Occasional threat
Occasional threat
SSV Jahn Regensburg vs Energie Cottbus — Last 5 Matches
Concerns
- −Inconsistent — 3+ losses in last 5
- −No clean sheets in last 5 matches
Strengths
- +4/5 wins in last 5 — excellent form
- +Prolific attack — 2.2 goals/game (last 5)
What History Says: SSV Jahn Regensburg vs Energie Cottbus
SSV Jahn Regensburg vs Energie Cottbus Head-to-Head History
Last 6 meetings between these sides
0
SSV Jahn Regensburg wins
3
Draws
3
Energie Cottbus wins
Where the Model Disagrees with the Odds: SSV Jahn Regensburg vs Energie Cottbus
Odds from Bet365. Positive edge = our model gives a higher probability than the odds imply. EV = expected value per £1 staked.
1X2
Over/Under 2.5
Both Teams Score
Best Value Markets Found by the Model
EV per £1 staked. Positive EV means this bet has mathematical edge over the long run. Past model accuracy is tracked on our predictions tracker.
Edge and EV are derived from model probabilities only and do not constitute financial advice. Odds fluctuate — always verify current prices with your bookmaker.
Things to Watch: SSV Jahn Regensburg vs Energie Cottbus
- ⚠️Some missing granular stats (shots, possession) for several recent matches.
- ⚠️Both teams have shown volatility in results.
- ⚠️Final round of season may impact motivation and approach.
- ⚠️Bookmaker odds suggest strong away bias; possible overpricing of Cottbus.
This analysis is for informational purposes only and does not constitute financial advice. Betting involves risk — always gamble responsibly.
How This Prediction Was Made
The numbers on this page come from a structured statistical pack for SSV Jahn Regensburg vs Energie Cottbus: recent results and scoring data for both sides, home/away splits, the head-to-head record, current league standings, known injuries and live bookmaker odds, all sourced from the API-Football data feed.
An AI model analyses that pack and produces the probabilities, predicted score and written analysis shown above. Nothing is edited by hand, and no information outside the data pack is used.
Last updated: 10 May 2026 (refreshed automatically as new team data arrives). Every prediction is scored against the real result once the match finishes — see the verified track record or read the full methodology. Football is inherently uncertain: treat this page as analysis, not advice.
More SSV Jahn Regensburg vs Energie Cottbus Resources
SSV Jahn Regensburg Predictions
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Energie Cottbus Predictions
All Energie Cottbus fixtures & tips
SSV Jahn Regensburg vs Energie Cottbus Stats
Full H2H record & season stats
3. Liga Predictions
All fixtures for this competition
Model Accuracy
Track record & verified results