Sunderland vs Fulham Predictions
Premier League · England
Sunderland
Full Time
1 - 3
AI predicted 1 - 1
Fulham
Win Probability (1X2)
Best Value Pick
Over/Under 1.5: Over 1.5
Match Result
7.2/10Fulham Power Past Sunderland with Second-Half Surge at Stadium of Light
Fulham produced a clinical second-half display to dispatch Sunderland 3-1 at the Stadium of Light, overturning a goalless first half with three well-taken goals. After a cagey opening period, the visitors found their rhythm after the break, with Raúl Jiménez breaking the deadlock in the 54th minute. Fulham doubled their lead seven minutes later, effectively seizing control of the contest. Sunderland briefly threatened a comeback when Brian Brobbey pulled one back in the 76th minute, but Fulham extinguished any hopes of a revival with a decisive third goal five minutes from time. Statistically, both sides finished with 12 shots, but Fulham's sharper edge in front of goal—registering four shots on target to Sunderland's two—proved telling. The hosts enjoyed a slight possession advantage (53%) and forced six corners, but Fulham's disciplined defending and clinical finishing made the difference. The result keeps Fulham's momentum alive, while Sunderland are left to rue missed opportunities and lapses in concentration during a pivotal second-half spell.
💀 AI Prediction Report
DOWN BADPredicted
1 - 1
Actual
1 - 3
💰 Bet Results0/1 hit
Key Moments
54' — Goal
Raúl Jiménez opens the scoring for Fulham, breaking the deadlock after a tight first half.
61' — Goal
Fulham double their lead, capitalizing on Sunderland's defensive uncertainty.
76' — Goal
Brian Brobbey pulls one back for Sunderland, igniting hopes of a comeback.
85' — Goal
Fulham restore their two-goal cushion, sealing the victory.
Yellow Cards' — Discipline
Both sides see a player booked, reflecting the match's competitive edge.
Sunderland
Sunderland started brightly, dictating play with 53% possession and matching Fulham's shot tally. However, their lack of cutting edge in the final third—just two shots on target—ultimately undermined their efforts. The 4-1-4-1 formation allowed for midfield control, but defensive lapses after halftime proved costly, as Fulham capitalized on moments of disorganization. Brian Brobbey's 76th-minute goal offered hope, but it was too little, too late, as Sunderland conceded again before the final whistle.
Key Players
Strengths
Weaknesses
Fulham
Fulham delivered a professional away performance, absorbing pressure before striking decisively in the second half. Their 4-2-3-1 setup provided balance, with Sander Berge and Alex Iwobi anchoring midfield and allowing creative players like Harry Wilson and Emile Smith Rowe to flourish. Raúl Jiménez led the line superbly, opening the scoring and leading by example. Fulham's defensive unit, marshaled by Joachim Andersen and Calvin Bassey, stood firm under pressure, conceding just once and making key interventions when needed.
Key Players
Strengths
Weaknesses
Tactical Analysis
Sunderland lined up in a 4-1-4-1, aiming to control the midfield and build patiently from the back. This approach yielded a possession advantage and allowed them to probe Fulham's defensive lines, but failed to translate into high-quality chances. Fulham's 4-2-3-1 provided solidity in midfield and allowed their wide players to exploit spaces on the counter. The visitors' tactical discipline was evident, especially after taking the lead, as they sat deeper and struck clinically on the break. Both teams made use of set pieces, but Fulham's transitions and ability to exploit Sunderland's defensive gaps after turnovers proved decisive.
Turning Point
Raúl Jiménez's opener in the 54th minute shifted the momentum decisively in Fulham's favor, forcing Sunderland to chase the game and leaving them exposed at the back.
Man of the Match
Raúl Jiménez
Led the line superbly, scored the crucial opening goal, and set the tone for Fulham's second-half dominance.
🎮 Prediction Playground
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Expected goals · model says 1.00
Expected goals · model says 0.85
Over 2.5 Goals
28%
BTTS: Yes
36%
Likely Scores
0-0 · 1-0 · 0-1
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Powered by the same Poisson scoreline model behind the prediction. For fun and exploration — not betting advice.
Sunderland vs Fulham Prediction Confidence at a Glance
How strongly the model leans on each market.
Who do you think wins: Sunderland vs Fulham?
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Where the Model Sees Value: Sunderland vs Fulham(2)
Selections where the model's probability beats the bookmaker's implied probability. Expected value is computed from real consensus odds, not opinion.
Match Result: Draw@ 3.2
Both teams are mid-table, similar recent form, and Sunderland's strong home record is offset by Fulham's attacking threat. High draw probability relative to odds.
Read more ↓
Over/Under 1.5: Over 1.5
Both teams average over 1 goal scored per match, and Fulham's away defence is vulnerable. Over 1.5 is likely, but odds not provided.
More Premier League Predictions
The Case For This Sunderland vs Fulham Prediction
This is a tight mid-table clash with Sunderland boasting a strong home record (7W, 5D, 1L) but struggling for goals recently. Fulham's away form is poor (3W, 2D, 8L), but they are more prolific in attack and have seen more high-scoring games. Sunderland's defence at home is solid, while Fulham concede heavily on the road. Recent form is mixed for both, with neither side showing consistent dominance. Expect a cautious first half and a close, low-scoring contest, with a draw the most likely outcome.
Key Factors at a Glance
Recent Form
- →Sunderland have lost 3 of their last 5 but are strong at home (only 1 home loss all season).
Attack
- →Head-to-head is balanced, but recent meetings have been low-scoring and close.
Defence
- →Fulham have lost 4 of their last 5 away games and concede 1.85 goals per away match.
- →Both teams struggle for clean sheets but also have low BTTS rates in recent games.
Match Context
- →Both teams are mid-table with little relegation risk, reducing urgency.
🚩 Sunderland vs Fulham Corners Prediction
medium confidenceOur corners model projects roughly 4.8 corners for Sunderland and 5.6 for Fulham, for an expected total of 10.4. That makes the model lean Over 9.5 corners (59%). Over 8.5: 71% · Over 10.5: 47%.
How Sunderland and Fulham Are Arriving
Form, fitness and who's likely to start.
Sunderland vs Fulham Goalscorer Form
Goals scored in last 5 matches across all competitions. Rate = goals ÷ 5 games. XI badge shows player is in the expected starting lineup.
Sunderlandlast 5 matchesNo scorer data yet — available after predictions are regenerated.
Fulhamlast 5 matchesNo scorer data yet — available after predictions are regenerated.
Scorer data populates once predictions are regenerated with the updated pipeline.
Sunderland vs Fulham — Last 10 Matches
Concerns
- −Inconsistent — 3+ losses in last 5
- −Leaky defence — 2.2 conceded/game
Strengths
- +Defensively solid — 0.6 conceded/game
- +3 clean sheets in last 5 matches
What History Says: Sunderland vs Fulham
Sunderland vs Fulham Head-to-Head History
Last 10 meetings between these sides
3
Sunderland wins
2
Draws
5
Fulham wins
Things to Watch: Sunderland vs Fulham
- ⚠️Limited recent match stats (shots, xG, lineups) for some games lowers confidence in attack/defence estimates.
- ⚠️Market odds are very close, indicating high bookmaker uncertainty.
- ⚠️Fulham's lineup rotation and Sunderland's missing Alese could impact defensive solidity.
This analysis is for informational purposes only and does not constitute financial advice. Betting involves risk — always gamble responsibly.
How This Prediction Was Made
The numbers on this page come from a structured statistical pack for Sunderland vs Fulham: recent results and scoring data for both sides, home/away splits, the head-to-head record, current league standings, known injuries and live bookmaker odds, all sourced from the API-Football data feed.
An AI model analyses that pack and produces the probabilities, predicted score and written analysis shown above. Nothing is edited by hand, and no information outside the data pack is used.
Last updated: 17 February 2026 (refreshed automatically as new team data arrives). Every prediction is scored against the real result once the match finishes — see the verified track record or read the full methodology. Football is inherently uncertain: treat this page as analysis, not advice.