Tottenham vs Arsenal Prediction

Premier LeaguePremier League ยท England
Tottenham

Tottenham

vs
Arsenal

Arsenal

๐Ÿ“ Tottenham Hotspur Stadium, London

๐Ÿ—“๏ธ Sunday, 22 Feb 2026 at 16:30

Prediction Summary

Predicted Score

0 - 2

Match Odds (1X2)

Home: 9.0%

Draw: 22.0%

Away: 69.0%

Both Teams to Score

No

76.0% confidence

๐Ÿ’ฐ Recommended Bets(3)

1x2 โ€” Arsenal@ 1.18

8
/ 10
Stake
2u

Arsenal have won 7 of the last 10 H2H, are top of the league, and have a strong away record (7W/4D/2L). Tottenham are 16th, winless in 5, and have just 2 home wins all season.

btts โ€” no@ 1.18

6
/ 10
Stake
1u

Arsenal have conceded just 0.2 goals/game in their last 5, with 4 clean sheets, and Tottenham have failed to score in 1 of their last 5. Arsenal's defence is elite.

correct_score โ€” 0-2

5
/ 10
Stake
1u

Most probable correct score based on Arsenal's recent defensive strength and Tottenham's attacking struggles.

Match Analysis

This North London Derby finds Tottenham in poor form and low on confidence, sitting 16th with a poor home record and back-to-back defeats. Arsenal, in contrast, are top of the table, unbeaten in their last 5 league games, and have conceded just once in that stretch. The Gunners have dominated recent derbies, including a 4-1 win in the reverse fixture. Expect Arsenal's defensive solidity and attacking efficiency to control the match, with Tottenham struggling to break through.

Key Factors

  • โ†’Arsenal's last 5: 4 wins, 1 draw, 13:1 goal difference
  • โ†’Tottenham's last 5: 2 draws, 2 losses, 1 win
  • โ†’Tottenham home record: 2W, 4D, 7L (16:18 goals)
  • โ†’Arsenal away record: 7W, 4D, 2L (19:10 goals)
  • โ†’Arsenal: 4 clean sheets in last 5, 50% season clean sheet rate
  • โ†’Tottenham: 1 clean sheet in last 5, 26.9% season clean sheet rate
  • โ†’Head-to-head: Arsenal 7 wins in last 10, including 4-1 earlier this season
  • โ†’No major injuries reported for either side

Risk Notes

  • โš ๏ธSome recent match stats missing (shots, possession for several games)
  • โš ๏ธDerby matches can be unpredictable due to rivalry factor
  • โš ๏ธBookmaker odds on Arsenal and unders are very short, limiting value
  • โš ๏ธTottenham's underlying attacking numbers are low, but variance possible

This analysis is for informational purposes only and does not constitute financial advice. Betting involves risk โ€” always gamble responsibly.

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