Udinese vs Como Prediction
Serie A · Italy
Udinese
Full Time
Como
📍 Bluenergy Stadium - Stadio Friuli, Udine
🗓️ Monday, 6 Apr 2026 at 10:30
Match Result
6.5/10Stalemate in Udine: Udinese and Como Share the Spoils in Goalless Draw
Udinese and Como played out a tense 0-0 draw at the Bluenergy Stadium, with both sides unable to find the breakthrough despite a flurry of chances. The match was a balanced affair, as reflected in the statistics: Udinese registered 14 shots (4 on target) to Como's 12 (also 4 on target), and possession was split almost evenly at 49% to 51%. Both teams battled hard in midfield and created moments of danger, but resolute defending and some sharp goalkeeping ensured the deadlock remained unbroken. The contest was marked by physicality and tactical discipline, with a total of five yellow cards shown—two for Udinese and three for Como. While Udinese looked to press with their 3-4-2-1 setup, Como’s 4-2-3-1 formation gave them a slight edge in controlling possession. However, neither side could convert their opportunities, and the match ended with both teams taking a point that does little to alter their respective positions in the Serie A table.
💪 AI Prediction Report
DECENT HITPredicted
0 - 2
Actual
0 - 0
💰 Bet Results0/2 hit
Key Moments
12' — Yellow Card
Jakub Piotrowski (Udinese) booked for a late tackle in midfield.
28' — Yellow Card
Lucas Da Cunha (Como) receives a yellow for dissent.
35' — Save
Maduka Okoye makes a sharp save to deny Anastasios Douvikas.
52' — Yellow Card
Kingsley Ehizibue (Udinese) cautioned for a tactical foul.
65' — Yellow Card
Diego Carlos (Como) goes into the book for a foul on Zaniolo.
78' — Yellow Card
Máximo Perrone (Como) shown yellow for a late challenge.
85' — Save
Jean Butez pulls off a crucial stop to deny Ekkelenkamp’s effort.
Udinese
Udinese delivered a solid, if unspectacular, performance, showing good structure in their 3-4-2-1 formation. They matched Como in possession and edged the shot count, but a lack of cutting edge in the final third proved costly. The midfield duo of Jakub Piotrowski and Jesper Karlström provided energy and control, while Nicolò Zaniolo and Jürgen Ekkelenkamp tried to unlock the Como defense without success. Defensively, Udinese were compact and limited Como’s clear-cut chances, with Maduka Okoye making key saves when called upon.
Key Players
Strengths
Weaknesses
Como
Como matched their hosts for long stretches, utilizing their 4-2-3-1 formation to maintain a slight possession advantage and create several promising attacks. The midfield trio of Maxence Caqueret, Lucas Da Cunha, and Máximo Perrone provided balance and creativity, while Anastasios Douvikas led the line with intent. Defensively, Diego Carlos and Marc-Oliver Kempf marshaled the backline well, and Jean Butez was reliable between the posts. Despite their efforts, Como, like Udinese, were unable to convert their chances in a game defined by defensive solidity.
Key Players
Strengths
Weaknesses
Tactical Analysis
Udinese set up in a 3-4-2-1 formation, looking to use wing-backs Kingsley Ehizibue and Hassane Kamara to provide width and support in both defense and attack. Their midfield pairing of Piotrowski and Karlström worked tirelessly to disrupt Como’s rhythm and recycle possession. The front three rotated positions in search of space, but Como’s back four remained disciplined. Como’s 4-2-3-1 offered stability in midfield and allowed them to shade possession. Their double pivot shielded the defense and helped launch counterattacks, while the attacking trio behind Douvikas sought to exploit gaps. Both teams pressed in phases but were careful not to overcommit, resulting in a tactical chess match where defenses ultimately prevailed over attacking ambition.
Turning Point
Jean Butez’s crucial save in the 85th minute from Ekkelenkamp’s shot preserved Como’s clean sheet and ensured the points were shared.
Man of the Match
Jean Butez
Produced several key saves, including a late stop to deny Udinese a winner, and commanded his area with authority.
Pre-Match Prediction
Prediction Summary
Predicted Score
0 - 2
Match Odds (1X2)
Home: 13.0%
Draw: 23.0%
Away: 64.0%
Both Teams to Score
No
79.0% confidence
💰 Recommended Bets(3)
over_under_2_5 — over@ 4.75
EV: 6.0%
Model probability (28%) is higher than the odds-implied probability (21%) for over 2.5 goals, suggesting a small value edge despite both teams trending under. Como's attack is strong and could break open the game.
1x2 — away@ 1.25
EV: -16.0%
Como are in excellent form (WWWDW, W3 streak), have a strong away record (7W/4D/3L, 22:11), and face an inconsistent Udinese. However, odds are very short, so only moderate staking.
double_chance — X2
Como are unbeaten in 4 of last 5 away, Udinese have lost 6 of 15 at home and are outmatched on form and season stats. X2 is highly probable but likely low odds.
Match Analysis
Como travel to Udinese with momentum, sitting 4th and chasing European qualification. Their recent form is outstanding, with 4 wins in the last 5 and a strong away record. Udinese, mid-table and inconsistent, have struggled for clean sheets at home and lack attacking punch. Expect Como to control the game, limit Udinese's opportunities, and likely secure a low-scoring win.
Key Factors
- →Como's form: WWWDW (last 5), strong away record (7W/4D/3L, 22:11).
- →Udinese's home record: 5W/4D/6L, negative goal difference.
- →Como's defense: best in Serie A (0.73 conceded/game, 46.67% clean sheet rate).
- →Udinese's attack: only 1.17 goals/game, failed to score in 2 of last 5.
- →H2H: 2 Como wins in last 3, including 1-0 away this season.
- →No injuries reported for either side.
- →Low expected goals and BTTS probability.
Risk Notes
- ⚠️Limited shots and possession data for Como's last 5 matches (some missing stats).
- ⚠️Udinese can be unpredictable at home, with wins over Fiorentina and AS Roma.
- ⚠️Bookmaker odds for Como are very short, limiting value.
- ⚠️Low-scoring match increases variance risk for correct score/goal markets.
This analysis is for informational purposes only and does not constitute financial advice. Betting involves risk — always gamble responsibly.